Oily-Hubris — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.62K

Unrealized P&L

-$144

Hit rate

53.1%

Resolved

165

Trades

441

lifetime

Volume

$70.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$160

Open exposure

$1.35K

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-13 11:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Sports

51% 58% -$90

Politics

24% 50% -$3,555

Other

17% 39% -$730

Crypto

8% 40% -$2,243

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	+673	$410	49¢	$330	-$80	11-12 19:06
UFC 334: Caio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui (Middleweight, Main Card)	Caio Borralho	+483	$285	58¢	$283	-$2	11-11 08:07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+1,155	$287	21¢	$240	-$47	11-08 11:41
Spread: Germany (-1.5)	Germany	+373	$205	56¢	$207	+$2	11-12 10:52
UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Kayla Harrison	+298	$188	62¢	$183	-$4	11-11 18:32
UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)	Kevin Holland	+232	$95	40¢	$94	-$1	11-13 11:14
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+34	$23	37¢	$13	-$11	11-03 04:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	16	$5.1K	2,000	9,500	-7,500	Yes	-$4,152	01-31 07:09
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	9	$3.7K	2,413	1,885	+528	Yes	+$597	11-04 03:49
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	10	$3.6K	2,110	2,110	+0	open	—	11-06 06:19
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	11	$3.2K	3,581	2,908	+673	open	—	11-12 19:06
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	12	$3.0K	2,125	2,125	+0	open	—	11-11 20:16
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	8	$2.4K	2,714	2,714	+0	open	—	11-11 12:51
will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	25	$2.1K	4,174	0	+4,174	Yes	-$2,138	06-04 01:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?	3	$1.8K	2,312	2,312	+0	Yes	-$500	06-03 20:51
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	8	$1.6K	2,294	1,139	+1,155	open	—	11-08 11:41
UFC Fight Night: Jose Delano vs. Murtazali Magomedov (Featherweight, Prelims)	5	$1.2K	1,263	785	+478	Murtazali Magomedov	-$234	11-07 23:45
UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	5	$1.2K	822	690	+132	Abubakar Vagaev	+$175	10-24 15:42
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)	2	$1.2K	720	720	+0	Valter Walker	+$260	07-25 16:20
ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31	1	$1.1K	2,500	0	+2,500	Volkanovski	-$1,050	01-31 07:11
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Gabriel Lorenço (Heavyweight, Prelims)	4	$982	548	548	+0	Thomas Petersen	+$112	11-08 00:40
ufc mac1 gil 2026 08 15	2	$804	1,141	0	+1,141	Mackenzie Dern	+$336	08-16 02:58
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)	8	$778	1,624	0	+1,624	Tom Nolan	+$846	11-01 02:42
ufc dan7 uro 2026 08 01	1	$723	939	0	+939	Uroš Medic	+$216	07-27 12:59
bitcoin up or down on june 5 2026	6	$718	1,400	0	+1,400	Down	-$718	06-04 18:58
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet	5	$704	525	525	+0	Buvaysar Gadamauri	+$96	11-09 14:19
UFC Fight Night: Priscila Cachoeira vs. Nina Miloševic (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	2	$670	370	370	+0	Nina Miloševic	+$70	11-08 02:11
ufc ant gre3 2026 08 22	2	$659	1,400	0	+1,400	Gregory Rodrigues	-$159	08-23 02:27
bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 5pm et	12	$623	1,126	0	+1,126	Up	+$503	06-03 21:00
UFC Fight Night: Tatiana Suarez vs. Virna Jandiroba (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)	2	$613	878	0	+878	Tatiana Suarez	+$265	11-08 03:21
M25 Santa Cruz do Sul: Andrey Barbiero vs Yuki Ikeda	5	$612	1,025	0	+1,025	Andrey Barbiero	+$413	11-08 18:53
ufc nor4 kla 2026 09 05	4	$611	1,159	0	+1,159	Nora Cornolle	-$453	09-05 16:51
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	8	$574	516	482	+34	open	—	11-03 04:27
UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	4	$520	504	222	+282	Ismail Naurdiev	-$20	10-03 20:51
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	2	$506	755	0	+755	Max Holloway	+$249	07-06 15:02
UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Carlos Calderon (Featherweight, Prelims)	3	$499	268	268	+0	Austin Bashi	+$36	11-07 23:17
UFC 333: Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki (Featherweight, Early Prelims)	4	$486	534	227	+307	Daniel Santos	-$32	10-24 15:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 11:14:13	UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)	Kevin Holland	BUY	232	41¢	$95	0xeb265c…
11-13 02:46:28	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x707866…
11-12 19:06:22	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	409	49¢	$200	0x7a3b29…
11-12 16:15:28	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	264	46¢	$122	0x03f5bd…
11-12 16:14:27	Counter-Strike: Balkan Outlaws vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #12 Group D	Balkan Outlaws	BUY	390	61¢	$238	0xafeadb…
11-12 16:14:06	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	529	46¢	$243	0x155efc…
11-12 15:22:27	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Team Allied (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group B	CyberHero	BUY	443	56¢	$250	0x5dff1d…
11-12 13:52:25	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	429	47¢	$202	0xa35ce5…
11-12 10:58:39	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	50¢	$250	0x4722bf…
11-12 10:52:10	Spread: Germany (-1.5)	Germany	BUY	145	55¢	$80	0x4a0125…
11-12 06:05:27	Spread: Germany (-1.5)	Germany	BUY	228	55¢	$125	0x7d7622…
11-11 20:54:43	Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs The Last Resort (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage	Walczaki	BUY	301	65¢	$196	0x785c57…
11-11 20:22:58	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	986	51¢	$505	0xe69ac3…
11-11 20:22:34	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	SELL	1,023	49¢	$505	0x21b9e8…
11-11 20:20:55	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	BUY	456	52¢	$238	0x4e41b7…
11-11 20:18:06	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	BUY	567	54¢	$306	0x06e675…
11-11 20:17:49	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	663	46¢	$306	0x8497a6…
11-11 20:17:42	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	663	49¢	$327	0x727987…
11-11 20:16:51	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	381	86¢	$328	0x698303…
11-11 19:56:27	Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs The Last Resort (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage	Walczaki	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x0aa340…
11-11 19:56:01	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	60	86¢	$52	0x8f527b…
11-11 19:53:39	Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs The Last Resort (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage	Walczaki	BUY	420	44¢	$187	0x96e103…
11-11 19:53:19	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	225	86¢	$194	0x2c5144…
11-11 18:32:28	UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Kayla Harrison	BUY	298	63¢	$188	0xff28cc…
11-11 18:32:12	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0x66fe65…
11-11 18:32:04	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	190	87¢	$165	0x3eab00…
11-11 15:14:55	M25 Montreal: Jaden Weekes vs Thomas Gerbaud	Jaden Weekes	BUY	276	58¢	$160	0xedc9ea…
11-11 12:52:31	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	400	87¢	$348	0xd98067…
11-11 12:51:28	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	188	47¢	$88	0xca73d1…
11-11 08:07:10	UFC 334: Caio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui (Middleweight, Main Card)	Caio Borralho	BUY	483	59¢	$285	0xb08645…
11-11 08:06:42	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	150	47¢	$70	0x4be243…
11-10 14:26:54	M15 Roldan: Francisco Crosio vs Juan Ignacio Centurion Delvalle	Francisco Crosio	BUY	240	61¢	$147	0x2b4b25…
11-10 14:26:37	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	338	45¢	$153	0xf2b3b6…
11-10 11:01:57	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	676	45¢	$306	0x4f0373…
11-09 14:19:12	Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet	Buvaysar Gadamauri	SELL	293	99¢	$291	0x3b8a46…
11-09 14:03:52	Counter-Strike: Balkan Outlaws vs ex-ENCE (BO3) - European Pro League Group B	Balkan Outlaws	BUY	70	60¢	$42	0x4b7bf0…
11-09 12:20:43	Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet	Buvaysar Gadamauri	BUY	103	53¢	$55	0x62df06…
11-09 12:17:25	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	200	46¢	$92	0x670f58…
11-09 11:47:52	Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet	Buvaysar Gadamauri	BUY	190	52¢	$99	0x8b0245…
11-09 11:46:48	Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet	Ugo Blanchet	SELL	232	47¢	$109	0xf01a47…
11-09 09:15:33	Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet	Ugo Blanchet	BUY	232	65¢	$151	0x0be67c…
11-09 08:04:57	M15 Kuala Lumpur: Jayson Blando vs Jules Melot	Jules Melot	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x7e7569…
11-09 07:57:43	M15 Kuala Lumpur: Jayson Blando vs Jules Melot	Jules Melot	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3fd671…
11-09 07:56:30	M15 Kuala Lumpur: Jayson Blando vs Jules Melot	Jules Melot	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x7b7eb0…
11-09 07:56:19	M15 Kuala Lumpur: Jayson Blando vs Jules Melot	Jules Melot	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0xb20ed2…
11-09 07:56:18	M15 Kuala Lumpur: Jayson Blando vs Jules Melot	Jules Melot	BUY	94	12¢	$11	0xf6c42c…
11-09 05:23:22	Monastir: Semen Pankin vs Maxime Janvier	Semen Pankin	BUY	152	43¢	$65	0x307800…
11-09 05:23:18	Monastir: Semen Pankin vs Maxime Janvier	Semen Pankin	BUY	277	42¢	$118	0x679e82…
11-08 18:53:57	M25 Santa Cruz do Sul: Andrey Barbiero vs Yuki Ikeda	Andrey Barbiero	BUY	98	65¢	$64	0xd0b25c…
11-08 18:53:57	M25 Santa Cruz do Sul: Andrey Barbiero vs Yuki Ikeda	Andrey Barbiero	BUY	1	65¢	$0	0x0c17bd…
11-08 18:53:22	M25 Santa Cruz do Sul: Andrey Barbiero vs Yuki Ikeda	Andrey Barbiero	BUY	290	65¢	$189	0x3eafa7…
11-08 18:52:01	M25 Santa Cruz do Sul: Andrey Barbiero vs Yuki Ikeda	Andrey Barbiero	BUY	236	59¢	$139	0xb03f54…
11-08 18:50:46	M25 Santa Cruz do Sul: Andrey Barbiero vs Yuki Ikeda	Andrey Barbiero	BUY	400	55¢	$220	0x8d8e4d…
11-08 12:34:16	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x26d0de…
11-08 11:41:39	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	265	19¢	$50	0x368f0c…
11-08 11:40:07	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	517	58¢	$300	0xe8a006…
11-08 04:08:03	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,552	45¢	$700	0x7b6e9d…
11-08 03:57:16	UFC Fight Night: Johnny Walker vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Waldo Cortes Acosta	BUY	276	73¢	$200	0x2040a5…
11-08 03:36:10	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	769	65¢	$500	0x4a1811…
11-08 03:21:12	UFC Fight Night: Tatiana Suarez vs. Virna Jandiroba (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)	Tatiana Suarez	BUY	389	77¢	$300	0x7f9fcf…
11-08 02:11:46	UFC Fight Night: Priscila Cachoeira vs. Nina Miloševic (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Nina Miloševic	SELL	370	100¢	$370	0x217e8a…
11-08 01:54:10	UFC Fight Night: Priscila Cachoeira vs. Nina Miloševic (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Nina Miloševic	BUY	370	81¢	$300	0x9157dc…
11-08 01:37:45	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	838	66¢	$553	0x920fdd…
11-08 00:58:18	UFC Fight Night: Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Ollie Schmid (Featherweight, Prelims)	Keiichiro Nakamura	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0xd1f956…
11-08 00:55:22	UFC Fight Night: Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Ollie Schmid (Featherweight, Prelims)	Keiichiro Nakamura	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x3087b0…
11-08 00:40:22	UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Gabriel Lorenço (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Thomas Petersen	SELL	548	100¢	$547	0x30b055…
11-08 00:21:49	UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Gabriel Lorenço (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Thomas Petersen	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x373ae7…
11-08 00:20:55	UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Gabriel Lorenço (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Thomas Petersen	BUY	276	98¢	$270	0xf5df65…
11-08 00:10:43	UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Gabriel Lorenço (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Thomas Petersen	BUY	267	60¢	$160	0x117f01…
11-07 23:54:57	UFC Fight Night: Karine Silva vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	Gabriella Fernandes	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xe084e1…
11-07 23:45:19	UFC Fight Night: Jose Delano vs. Murtazali Magomedov (Featherweight, Prelims)	Murtazali Magomedov	SELL	308	99¢	$305	0xae4623…
11-07 23:32:10	UFC Fight Night: Jose Delano vs. Murtazali Magomedov (Featherweight, Prelims)	Jose Delano	SELL	478	42¢	$202	0x7c2649…
11-07 23:31:58	UFC Fight Night: Jose Delano vs. Murtazali Magomedov (Featherweight, Prelims)	Murtazali Magomedov	BUY	308	65¢	$200	0x678d6e…
11-07 23:22:12	UFC Fight Night: Jose Delano vs. Murtazali Magomedov (Featherweight, Prelims)	Jose Delano	BUY	484	62¢	$300	0x675269…
11-07 23:17:28	UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Carlos Calderon (Featherweight, Prelims)	Austin Bashi	SELL	268	100¢	$268	0x981662…
11-07 23:07:24	UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Carlos Calderon (Featherweight, Prelims)	Austin Bashi	BUY	35	89¢	$31	0x17ca02…
11-07 23:07:10	UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Carlos Calderon (Featherweight, Prelims)	Austin Bashi	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0xd2350c…
11-07 23:02:10	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,162	45¢	$522	0xa69ab9…
11-07 22:53:16	UFC Fight Night: Andre Petroski vs. Mantas Kondratavicius (Middleweight, Main Card)	Mantas Kondratavicius	BUY	119	76¢	$90	0xb76f09…
11-07 22:49:42	UFC Fight Night: Andre Petroski vs. Mantas Kondratavicius (Middleweight, Main Card)	Mantas Kondratavicius	BUY	346	87¢	$300	0x3500dd…
11-06 18:04:04	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	366	59¢	$216	0xda5512…
11-06 15:56:30	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	261	59¢	$154	0xadec0a…
11-06 06:20:19	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	211	57¢	$120	0x06bd9f…
11-06 06:19:21	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	No	SELL	125	95¢	$119	0xcae5e6…
11-06 05:50:33	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	890	24¢	$212	0x6c2621…
11-06 05:47:42	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	No	SELL	125	95¢	$119	0xfc535c…
11-06 05:11:16	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	No	SELL	250	95¢	$238	0xe17bab…
11-05 22:29:31	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	No	SELL	167	95¢	$159	0x954e6f…
11-05 20:52:48	Counter-Strike: Dark Moon vs Revise (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs	Revise	BUY	91	84¢	$77	0xdfa371…
11-05 19:20:27	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	No	SELL	223	95¢	$211	0xa4bf8d…
11-05 17:47:42	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	No	SELL	297	95¢	$282	0x3abea3…
11-05 13:29:54	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	No	SELL	396	95¢	$376	0xb2aaf9…
11-05 10:48:45	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	No	SELL	528	95¢	$501	0x0ff2a2…
11-05 10:07:48	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,162	43¢	$500	0x3e2279…
11-04 12:25:51	M25 Heraklion: Matias Reyniak vs Petros Tsitsipas	Matias Reyniak	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0xbe6693…
11-04 12:24:31	M25 Heraklion: Matias Reyniak vs Petros Tsitsipas	Matias Reyniak	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xdd2878…
11-04 12:17:58	M25 Heraklion: Matias Reyniak vs Petros Tsitsipas	Matias Reyniak	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x717c83…
11-04 03:49:37	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	No	BUY	669	78¢	$522	0x5b0e9a…
11-04 03:49:10	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	528	100¢	$526	0xfcefae…
11-04 03:42:52	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	No	BUY	1,441	76¢	$1,093	0xc25943…