Klutzy-Cape — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$204

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

8.3%

Resolved

1,087

Trades

16,695

lifetime

Volume

$52.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 07-06 19:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 2% $-204

Other

1% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 409 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes		+53	$11	10¢	$5	$-5	06-22 19:12
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		-105	$-2	3¢	$-3	$-1	07-06 19:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775703000	26	$220	190	262	-73	open	—	04-09 02:49
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$100	142	0	+142	open	—	03-05 16:23
btc updown 5m 1776092400	6	$98	110	10	+100	open	—	04-13 15:03
James Comey arrested by April 29?	2	$96	110	0	+110	open	—	04-29 17:02
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	2	$69	77	77	+0	open	—	02-27 18:09
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	1	$60	95	0	+95	open	—	03-16 22:34
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	1	$59	100	0	+100	open	—	03-05 15:46
btc updown 5m 1775876100	5	$54	60	0	+60	open	—	04-11 02:59
btc updown 5m 1775916900	3	$53	60	0	+60	open	—	04-11 14:19
btc updown 5m 1775876400	4	$52	60	0	+60	open	—	04-11 03:04
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$50	96	0	+96	open	—	02-18 22:48
James Comey arrested by May 15?	1	$47	50	0	+50	open	—	04-29 17:03
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	1	$42	50	0	+50	open	—	04-21 14:30
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	1	$30	100	0	+100	open	—	01-08 17:17
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	1	$30	63	0	+63	open	—	01-08 17:17
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$30	115	0	+115	open	—	03-16 22:34
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	1	$29	60	0	+60	open	—	06-26 17:03
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	1	$28	51	0	+51	open	—	06-22 19:12
btc updown 5m 1775592000	7	$27	39	20	+18	open	—	04-07 20:01
btc updown 5m 1775604300	5	$27	40	10	+30	open	—	04-07 23:26
btc updown 5m 1775004900	5	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	04-01 01:00
btc updown 5m 1775662800	5	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	04-08 15:44
btc updown 5m 1775171700	1	$25	52	0	+52	open	—	04-02 23:19
btc updown 5m 1775170500	1	$25	59	0	+59	open	—	04-02 22:59
btc updown 5m 1775163900	1	$25	27	0	+27	open	—	04-02 21:09
btc updown 5m 1775172600	1	$25	27	0	+27	open	—	04-02 23:34
btc updown 5m 1775165100	1	$25	27	0	+27	open	—	04-02 21:29
btc updown 5m 1775171100	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	04-02 23:09
btc updown 5m 1775172300	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	04-02 23:29
btc updown 15m 1774633500	2	$25	57	0	+57	open	—	03-27 17:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 19:03:49	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0xf19b69…
07-06 19:03:17	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	2¢	$2	0x54976e…
07-01 19:24:55	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x6fc314…
07-01 15:21:26	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 spread home 1pt5	England	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xe55b29…
07-01 15:21:16	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x626ac6…
06-30 20:40:20	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	Sweden	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x7c484e…
06-30 17:26:23	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 btts	No	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0xba5439…
06-29 22:35:35	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 shots brian brobbey gte3	Yes	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0x73525a…
06-29 19:33:49	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Paraguay	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x0e853a…
06-29 19:31:49	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 shots jamal musiala gte3	Yes	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0xeb68fc…
06-29 19:30:34	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 shots jamal musiala gte3	Yes	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x07e039…
06-29 19:28:05	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 shots felix nmecha gte2	Yes	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0xf9f2aa…
06-29 17:18:16	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x09444e…
06-26 17:24:34	fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 spread home 1pt5	Iraq	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x9612f8…
06-26 17:03:49	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	France	BUY	60	48¢	$29	0x9a6ccf…
06-25 19:33:23	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0x178dcd…
06-25 19:33:14	fifwc par aus 2026 06 25 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0xa6b2b8…
06-25 19:32:26	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 spread away 2pt5	Netherlands	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x41dbec…
06-25 19:32:01	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0xd8dcc4…
06-25 19:31:25	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 btts	Yes	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0xb3f1c3…
06-24 17:09:50	fifwc rsa kr 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x3a7b90…
06-24 17:09:28	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 2pt5	Haiti	BUY	30	61¢	$19	0x268aa6…
06-24 17:09:04	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x84f368…
06-24 17:08:37	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0xd00144…
06-24 17:07:53	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 btts	Yes	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x748cef…
06-24 17:06:55	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Qatar	BUY	30	51¢	$16	0xcb6611…
06-22 19:12:38	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	France	BUY	51	56¢	$28	0x0c9c5b…
06-22 19:12:11	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	BUY	53	20¢	$11	0x735c7f…
06-17 15:27:47	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xd6e722…
05-10 12:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0xed1a47…
05-10 12:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xe106a5…
05-10 12:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x71feba…
05-10 12:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x530822…
05-10 12:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf2abb9…
05-10 12:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x954ffa…
05-10 12:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x3aadd2…
05-10 12:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe555e0…
05-10 12:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xa0af7a…
05-10 12:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3c4e2b…
05-10 12:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x378d11…
05-10 12:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xfe246d…
05-10 12:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x8264f0…
05-10 12:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xc8b629…
05-10 12:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8fd2e4…
05-10 12:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x845fd7…
05-10 12:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x670c29…
05-10 12:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1bf09b…
05-10 12:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x5ec950…
05-10 12:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa5a2f4…
05-10 12:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x5fc757…
05-10 12:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xd180de…
05-10 12:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x6bcdae…
05-10 12:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x14b6ce…
05-10 12:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xecaa4a…
05-10 11:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0xe56925…
05-10 11:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xe3b0e5…
05-10 11:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd24c11…
05-10 11:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb8f36b…
05-10 11:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x28324e…
05-10 11:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x28238a…
05-10 11:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x99d328…
05-10 11:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x22c7fe…
05-10 11:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x80f615…
05-10 11:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xe1cd12…
05-10 11:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x5de657…
05-10 11:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xfacb6c…
05-10 11:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x4f420c…
05-10 11:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x219953…
05-10 11:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x8b0ff3…
05-10 10:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x9db473…
05-10 10:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xc51a22…
05-10 10:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xa1ea26…
05-10 10:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x05d8aa…
05-10 10:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xcb2f9f…
05-10 10:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xc03f7a…
05-10 10:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x862887…
05-10 10:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x5449f9…
05-10 10:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xdf0248…
05-10 10:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	28	1¢	$0	0x5754bc…
05-10 10:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x3d4f96…
05-10 10:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x58b352…
05-10 10:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xc5aeaf…
05-10 10:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa24de3…
05-10 10:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x99cc11…
05-10 10:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5bf468…
05-10 10:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x16ae2c…
05-10 09:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	41	1¢	$0	0xe350c7…
05-10 09:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xb048d1…
05-10 09:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa44ad7…
05-10 09:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x5c7849…
05-10 09:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xbe2b69…
05-10 09:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xa97f7a…
05-10 09:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x4894da…
05-10 09:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x34fc60…
05-10 09:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe6daf8…
05-10 09:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xdf0616…
05-10 09:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	28	1¢	$0	0xdb07da…
05-10 09:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x2f5924…
05-10 09:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x1161be…
05-10 09:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x27f801…