Burly-Plaster — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

408

lifetime

Volume

$4.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 06-09 11:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

66% 0% $-0

Politics

28% 0% $-31

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$246	100	200	-100	No	$-18	04-28 14:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$245	200	200	+0	open	—	04-28 13:35
will mrbeasts next video get between 44 and 47 million views on day 2	4	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	03-22 21:42
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	8	$196	205	205	+0	open	—	03-01 14:49
googl close above 300 on march 3 2026	4	$173	105	105	+0	open	—	03-03 19:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$163	100	100	+0	open	—	04-28 13:32
khamenei seen in public by march 1 655 132 582	4	$133	60	80	-20	open	—	02-28 21:03
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	4	$113	70	70	+0	open	—	03-17 16:39
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	7	$112	124	124	+0	open	—	03-15 16:14
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?	4	$110	40	100	-60	Yes	$-12	05-10 16:49
aapl above 265 on march 6 2026	9	$110	110	110	+0	open	—	03-03 14:07
will mrbeasts next video get less than 44 million views on day 2	3	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-22 20:58
epl lee wol 2026 04 18 lee	12	$100	41	59	-17	open	—	04-18 19:04
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	9	$99	65	85	-20	open	—	03-01 21:46
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	5	$99	100	100	+0	open	—	03-16 04:52
will crude oil cl hit high 70 by end of march 696 795 574 483 322 319 847	18	$94	208	244	-35	open	—	03-01 21:08
will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	3	$92	100	100	+0	open	—	03-15 16:21
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	7	$84	150	150	+0	open	—	03-15 23:51
will thrash be the top us netflix movie this week 862	11	$83	100	140	-40	open	—	04-19 21:43
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$81	50	50	+0	open	—	03-15 15:00
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	9	$81	105	65	+40	open	—	03-01 00:48
lw quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt63	2	$76	50	50	+0	open	—	03-20 05:29
will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 5	2	$75	50	100	-50	open	—	03-17 13:52
will qatar strike iran by march 31	8	$74	60	65	-5	open	—	03-15 15:00
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 7th	14	$72	80	80	+0	open	—	03-01 00:57
donald trump of truth social posts february 24 march 3 140 159	8	$71	79	79	+0	open	—	03-02 12:13
fds quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 31 2026 4pt37	2	$66	50	50	+0	open	—	03-21 14:48
chatgpt outage by april 24	4	$65	40	40	+0	open	—	04-07 15:03
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	3	$47	174	87	+87	open	—	03-24 00:49
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$45	152	172	-20	open	—	03-05 10:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 11:50:15	will breel embolo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x383868…
05-21 20:49:00	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x236872…
05-16 18:19:43	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xd541cc…
05-16 15:14:48	Will Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above $1.50B?	Yes	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x93891d…
05-16 15:13:35	Will Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above $1.50B?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x00ecf6…
05-16 14:43:50	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x30e96b…
05-10 16:49:46	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x680020…
05-10 16:49:42	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	72¢	$29	0x421b26…
05-10 15:41:34	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x02fec5…
05-10 15:14:37	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xeefbdf…
05-10 14:05:59	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x7e21b0…
05-10 12:55:38	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x4d99e7…
05-10 12:21:38	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0x0fcbc9…
05-10 12:17:29	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x05c7e1…
05-10 12:14:36	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xdbd0b0…
05-10 07:52:32	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	81¢	$65	0x758daa…
05-10 05:23:58	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x839361…
04-28 14:02:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	200	82¢	$164	0xfb8ff3…
04-28 14:01:26	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x664ea4…
04-28 13:51:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x070a35…
04-28 13:50:10	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc444ee…
04-28 13:35:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0x933f55…
04-28 13:35:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xcdfa90…
04-28 13:35:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x2e2c05…
04-28 13:32:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	100	81¢	$81	0x2ecb00…
04-28 13:32:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x1102aa…
04-28 02:15:24	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Iran" this week?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xeeead5…
04-27 22:45:48	Will Drake feature Lil Wayne on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x250887…
04-27 22:45:46	Will "2026" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xde14fc…
04-27 22:45:40	Will "Caleb" be said on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x875b48…
04-27 13:40:52	Will "Trump" or "Obama" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xb04eba…
04-27 11:35:12	Will "Toronto" be said on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	8	45¢	$4	0xa1c717…
04-27 10:13:56	Will "Caleb" be said on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xf228ac…
04-27 08:15:20	Will "Toronto" be said on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x902ce6…
04-27 07:35:54	Will "2026" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x6e5c2b…
04-27 06:40:24	Will Drake feature Lil Wayne on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xc3c91f…
04-27 06:36:44	Will "Trump" or "Obama" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xeb4cca…
04-27 02:22:26	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Iran" this week?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x9db234…
04-27 02:21:14	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Iran" this week?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9a0104…
04-26 12:48:18	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x95bc5c…
04-24 23:04:54	Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x60a0a5…
04-24 23:03:22	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x909169…
04-24 23:03:14	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x952582…
04-24 23:02:48	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf205a0…
04-24 23:02:34	Will Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x08f9a3…
04-23 22:41:16	val kc3 fut1 2026 04 23	FUT Esports	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x32febb…
04-23 18:19:50	val kc3 fut1 2026 04 23	FUT Esports	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x596e51…
04-23 17:53:40	val gx fnc1 2026 04 23	Fnatic	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x30d006…
04-23 16:30:08	val gx fnc1 2026 04 23	Fnatic	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x675d02…
04-23 11:36:38	Valorant: BBL Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega	BBL Esports	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc3d70b…
04-23 11:36:24	val kc3 fut1 2026 04 23	FUT Esports	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xa6b9e0…
04-22 15:21:42	val ef pcfic 2026 04 22 game1	Pcific Esports	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0x33d44d…
04-22 15:08:38	val ef pcfic 2026 04 22 game1	Pcific Esports	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd72e59…
04-22 15:08:20	val ef pcfic 2026 04 22	Eternal Fire	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc10234…
04-22 06:54:20	FDA approves Sanofi’s Subcutaneous Sarclisa?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xa98ae3…
04-22 06:53:42	cde str ogc 2026 04 22 str	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x4de9ad…
04-21 21:55:58	cde str ogc 2026 04 22 str	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x272d33…
04-21 21:06:12	Will Encore Medical’s market cap be between $45M and $50M at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xddf6b8…
04-21 19:52:58	epl bri che 2026 04 21 draw	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xdfd7a3…
04-20 12:13:08	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x54b78d…
04-19 21:43:30	will thrash be the top us netflix movie this week 862	No	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0xde5027…
04-19 18:01:30	will thrash be the top us netflix movie this week 862	No	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0xf391fd…
04-19 17:21:46	bun bay stu 2026 04 19 bay	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x5cd6e9…
04-19 17:21:32	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	Yes	SELL	4	87¢	$3	0xc67137…
04-19 15:02:32	bun bay stu 2026 04 19 bay	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x32edab…
04-19 15:01:42	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x7941f3…
04-19 14:49:00	epl eve liv 2026 04 19 draw	Yes	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x66d9e2…
04-19 14:48:18	epl ast sun 2026 04 19 draw	Yes	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x03299a…
04-19 14:12:30	will thrash be the top us netflix movie this week 862	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x35ad53…
04-19 14:05:38	FDA approves Sanofi’s Subcutaneous Sarclisa?	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xaefb0f…
04-19 13:46:58	will thrash be the top us netflix movie this week 862	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xe7390e…
04-19 13:45:58	will thrash be the top us netflix movie this week 862	Yes	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x3b9b55…
04-19 11:52:28	epl ast sun 2026 04 19 draw	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x03fad5…
04-19 11:51:34	epl eve liv 2026 04 19 draw	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x98ce11…
04-19 11:50:46	fl1 psg lyo 2026 04 19 psg	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2ac464…
04-19 11:50:28	fl1 met pfc 2026 04 19 draw	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x11ffc7…
04-19 11:49:54	fl1 asm aja 2026 04 19 asm	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xceaf68…
04-19 11:47:30	will thrash be the top us netflix movie this week 862	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x0471c8…
04-19 11:35:20	will thrash be the top us netflix movie this week 862	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x5d4f1a…
04-19 10:54:02	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in April?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x1fd529…
04-19 10:03:30	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x90506c…
04-19 09:33:42	will thrash be the top us netflix movie this week 862	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xd88578…
04-19 07:36:48	will thrash be the top us netflix movie this week 862	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x7eefad…
04-19 07:18:06	Will William Forbes be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Nebraska?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xda063b…
04-19 02:37:38	Will William Forbes be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Nebraska?	Yes	SELL	19	9¢	$2	0x4853f5…
04-19 02:34:36	Will William Forbes be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Nebraska?	Yes	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x2f7b38…
04-19 02:34:32	Will William Forbes be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Nebraska?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x6374b2…
04-19 01:18:18	Will William Forbes be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x845c73…
04-19 01:14:48	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair before May 15?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xce12e3…
04-19 01:10:40	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair before May 15?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x802cea…
04-19 01:10:34	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair before May 15?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x2673d5…
04-19 01:09:52	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair before May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x0258a2…
04-19 00:36:02	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xd78933…
04-18 19:04:18	epl lee wol 2026 04 18 lee	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa79269…
04-18 18:36:56	Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xa14dc2…
04-18 18:36:52	Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x2a9303…
04-18 15:58:30	fl1 lor olm 2026 04 18 olm	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x61a299…
04-18 15:53:08	epl lee wol 2026 04 18 lee	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf5cf60…
04-18 15:53:08	epl lee wol 2026 04 18 lee	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaab736…
04-18 15:53:06	epl lee wol 2026 04 18 lee	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc68d60…