Brisk-Subway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.86K

Unrealized P&L

+$300

Hit rate

77.6%

Resolved

114

Trades

449

lifetime

Volume

$70.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$156

Open exposure

$4.27K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 10-27 07:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Other

58% 54% +$5,637

Politics

24% 72% -$6,611

Sports

16% 80% -$499

Tech

1% 50% -$245

Crypto

1% 40% -$139

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+1,280	$1,050	86¢	$1.1K	+$57	10-14 13:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	+1,000	$940	100¢	$998	+$58	09-17 05:23
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+1,000	$930	92¢	$925	-$5	10-26 01:56
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+1,200	$780	66¢	$798	+$18	10-26 01:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+500	$270	88¢	$442	+$172	08-11 05:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	7	$8.3K	5,894	4,614	+1,280	open	—	10-14 13:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	10	$6.5K	3,418	3,418	+0	No	+$291	05-11 07:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	13	$6.4K	7,255	1,600	+5,655	No	+$962	06-16 13:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	15	$4.3K	2,360	2,360	+0	No	+$384	04-27 05:58
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	5	$3.8K	4,555	0	+4,555	No	+$754	08-02 02:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	29	$2.9K	3,765	0	+3,765	No	+$870	05-24 13:51
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	11	$2.7K	4,400	0	+4,400	Yes	-$2,682	06-12 23:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$2.3K	2,988	0	+2,988	Yes	-$2,286	06-12 07:23
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on October 31, 2026?	3	$1.9K	2,165	0	+2,165	open	—	09-28 14:29
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	9	$1.9K	2,091	0	+2,091	Yes	-$1,866	06-12 13:54
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$379	04-06 01:19
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?	4	$1.6K	1,350	1,350	+0	No	+$966	04-22 23:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	4	$1.6K	2,800	0	+2,800	No	+$1,226	07-01 12:52
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	3	$1.6K	2,200	0	+2,200	No	+$638	06-27 13:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	3	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$25	06-08 05:24
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?	21	$1.1K	1,260	0	+1,260	open	—	10-22 09:37
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$990	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	-$990	01-26 07:42
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on November 30, 2026?	4	$975	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	10-20 20:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	1	$940	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	09-17 05:23
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$930	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	10-26 01:56
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	5	$781	1,904	1,400	+504	No	-$53	06-12 07:47
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$780	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	10-26 01:56
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$698	707	0	+707	No	+$9	01-31 11:40
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	3	$575	600	0	+600	No	+$25	06-11 03:11
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$566	600	0	+600	No	+$34	02-10 10:26
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	2	$488	555	555	+0	open	—	09-26 10:58
will the silicon data h100 index sdh100rt hit 2pt20 low by february 28 2026	6	$479	609	0	+609	No	+$130	02-08 13:03
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$424	1,380	1,380	+0	No	+$131	07-12 00:52
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	6	$402	300	300	+0	Yes	-$81	06-12 05:18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$399	514	0	+514	Yes	+$115	07-29 10:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 07:35:27	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	30¢	$26	0x600ab0…
10-27 06:17:02	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x5f5c3b…
10-27 04:53:30	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x2d4e11…
10-27 04:38:35	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	158	30¢	$47	0x4d771a…
10-27 04:38:35	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x21cb7e…
10-26 01:56:42	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,200	65¢	$780	0x7346d3…
10-26 01:56:18	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,000	93¢	$930	0xab11d1…
10-22 09:37:24	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x0cd064…
10-22 01:19:20	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xfabb0f…
10-22 01:19:20	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xd68597…
10-21 20:14:24	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0xdb53b9…
10-21 13:25:02	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x989c71…
10-21 13:25:02	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x2d8597…
10-21 06:09:14	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	93¢	$31	0x86c123…
10-20 20:01:20	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	852	98¢	$831	0x480323…
10-20 19:01:18	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x47ff09…
10-20 14:00:24	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	125	98¢	$122	0x66c621…
10-20 14:00:24	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$12	0x0ace0e…
10-20 13:59:41	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	74	93¢	$68	0xcac513…
10-17 14:13:32	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	166	79¢	$131	0x3cbcbe…
10-14 13:04:47	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	4,614	79¢	$3,645	0x5dfb26…
10-06 17:24:54	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	402	87¢	$349	0xc74f33…
10-06 17:23:17	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x7a5aa1…
10-06 17:23:17	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x3ea72a…
10-06 17:16:56	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xc620bb…
10-06 17:16:36	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x5ddc07…
10-06 15:26:08	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x88a651…
10-06 13:21:21	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x4d2e86…
10-06 12:58:37	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0x30fbd0…
10-05 15:49:25	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xddef63…
10-05 15:49:05	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	97	87¢	$84	0x24e50d…
10-04 19:05:35	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	259	87¢	$225	0xed9b63…
10-04 18:00:58	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x148c02…
10-04 12:50:40	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	128	87¢	$112	0x3ad02c…
09-30 10:15:06	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	1,000	81¢	$810	0xa2de75…
09-30 08:09:56	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	1,100	81¢	$891	0xa76b9f…
09-28 14:29:35	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,094	93¢	$1,019	0x397fbd…
09-28 05:33:39	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xe763ca…
09-28 05:33:11	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x4202f9…
09-28 05:33:09	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	3,509	79¢	$2,772	0x6b99e2…
09-28 05:25:41	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	106	93¢	$99	0x25ad57…
09-26 11:01:44	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	280	78¢	$218	0x079692…
09-26 10:58:36	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	555	40¢	$222	0xef02bb…
09-26 09:00:03	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	965	83¢	$800	0xf8c68a…
09-17 05:23:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	1,000	94¢	$940	0xd02a71…
09-07 09:19:04	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	555	48¢	$266	0x358422…
09-07 06:59:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	538	52¢	$280	0xa14087…
08-28 02:53:42	Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.00 on September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	80	68¢	$54	0xca55dc…
08-11 05:04:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	500	54¢	$270	0x467e08…
08-02 02:06:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	555	92¢	$511	0xdfefb3…
08-01 05:35:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,100	2¢	$34	0xf222dd…
07-29 10:12:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	514	78¢	$399	0xbd1985…
07-16 09:43:50	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	470	58¢	$272	0xcdfd08…
07-15 08:50:53	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xd5df6e…
07-14 08:40:58	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	470	21¢	$100	0x6fe595…
07-13 13:23:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,000	85¢	$850	0xc3ef06…
07-12 00:52:32	Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	317	46¢	$146	0x13acca…
07-12 00:52:16	Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	551	31¢	$171	0xfbdf30…
07-12 00:52:04	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,380	20¢	$277	0x6e65a0…
07-10 23:29:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,000	77¢	$770	0xfe7c4e…
07-09 01:57:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,000	84¢	$840	0xc9764f…
07-08 11:43:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,000	83¢	$830	0xf9dadd…
07-01 12:52:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	600	70¢	$420	0x9a2fdf…
06-27 13:37:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,000	53¢	$530	0xe01dde…
06-27 13:37:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1,200	74¢	$888	0xd0ee04…
06-25 20:55:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,000	48¢	$480	0x252baa…
06-19 08:08:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	600	73¢	$438	0xa63fbf…
06-16 13:48:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	400	59¢	$236	0x310d2e…
06-16 13:47:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,400	84¢	$1,176	0x43b5e5…
06-15 01:10:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,000	72¢	$720	0x2dc0e6…
06-12 23:54:22	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	800	56¢	$448	0xe1a26f…
06-12 23:45:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	331	55¢	$182	0xfd7b0f…
06-12 23:45:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xcd1253…
06-12 23:43:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x86e4b5…
06-12 23:25:03	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1a1df3…
06-12 23:21:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x80a797…
06-12 23:15:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	655	55¢	$360	0x2fcdba…
06-12 13:55:21	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	600	62¢	$372	0xb012f6…
06-12 13:54:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	400	62¢	$248	0x3697e6…
06-12 13:54:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	1,200	62¢	$744	0xd0cbb3…
06-12 13:54:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	600	91¢	$545	0x232b75…
06-12 08:25:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	91	89¢	$81	0x35d8f4…
06-12 07:47:04	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	104	90¢	$93	0x818e6a…
06-12 07:23:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0xce4e80…
06-12 07:22:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	800	89¢	$711	0x938f64…
06-12 05:22:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	346	88¢	$304	0x01bf8b…
06-12 05:21:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0xea08dd…
06-12 05:20:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	84	88¢	$74	0xc4169c…
06-12 05:19:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	20	88¢	$17	0x163389…
06-12 05:19:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x179548…
06-12 05:19:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	75¢	$750	0xc07667…
06-12 05:19:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x462c4f…
06-12 05:18:10	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	300	54¢	$160	0x534883…
06-12 04:36:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,200	74¢	$888	0xbe3f97…
06-12 03:52:52	Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0xe8a412…
06-12 03:52:48	Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0xf89e98…
06-12 03:52:43	Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x1c5e74…
06-12 03:50:55	Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xd6b05b…
06-12 03:50:55	Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xd15b4f…
06-12 03:49:39	Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xae8f02…