(anonymous) 0xc04804…1927d0
← all wallets
Realized P&L (24h)
+$49
Unrealized P&L
+$70
Hit rate
95.2%
Resolved (24h)
4
Trades (24h)
1
249 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$40
$7.55K lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$1.64K
25 positions
First seen
2026-08-09
last 10-26 16:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 24 days
Categories
Politics
51% 57% -$251
Other
47% 41% -$66
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? No +214 $150 76¢ $164 +$14 10-20 13:01
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +195 $149 80¢ $155 +$6 10-21 02:33
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +201 $148 76¢ $153 +$6 10-19 12:02
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +208 $148 72¢ $151 +$3 10-21 13:31
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +246 $146 60¢ $148 +$1 10-20 05:22
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +154 $93 65¢ $100 +$7 10-19 17:32
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +118 $87 83¢ $98 +$11 10-21 06:38
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No +138 $97 68¢ $94 -$3 10-21 18:31
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +87 $60 88¢ $77 +$17 10-18 03:30
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +95 $63 74¢ $71 +$8 10-20 23:36
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +84 $60 72¢ $61 +$1 10-19 06:35
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +89 $55 65¢ $58 +$3 10-17 23:34
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +62 $52 85¢ $52 +$0 10-21 15:58
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +113 $60 46¢ $52 -$8 10-02 20:33
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +68 $25 43¢ $29 +$4 09-30 06:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +31 $25 88¢ $27 +$2 09-22 00:51
will louisiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2026 No +28 $25 96¢ $27 +$2 09-30 00:35
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +31 $19 74¢ $23 +$4 09-29 22:39
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +77 $26 26¢ $20 -$5 10-02 04:29
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes +76 $17 26¢ $20 +$2 09-27 11:00
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +20 $15 98¢ $19 +$5 10-05 06:32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +62 $20 26¢ $16 -$4 09-17 01:34
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +81 $17 18¢ $15 -$2 09-26 07:20
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +35 $10 26¢ $9 -$1 09-19 01:43
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? No +26 $6 18¢ $5 -$1 09-26 22:20