Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$317

Unrealized P&L

+$49

Hit rate

59.0%

Resolved

Trades

249

lifetime

Volume

$7.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

$1.62K

25 positions

First seen

2026-08-09

last 10-26 16:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Politics

51% 57% -$251

Other

47% 41% -$66

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (25) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	No	+195	$149	80¢	$155	+$6	10-21 02:33
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	No	+201	$148	77¢	$154	+$7	10-19 12:02
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	No	+214	$150	72¢	$153	+$3	10-20 13:01
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	+246	$146	60¢	$148	+$1	10-20 05:22
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	No	+208	$148	70¢	$147	-$1	10-21 13:31
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	+154	$93	64¢	$99	+$6	10-19 17:32
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	+118	$87	83¢	$98	+$11	10-21 06:38
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?	No	+138	$97	68¢	$94	-$3	10-21 18:31
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	No	+87	$60	88¢	$77	+$17	10-18 03:30
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	+95	$63	74¢	$71	+$8	10-20 23:36
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	+84	$60	71¢	$60	+$0	10-19 06:35
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	+89	$55	64¢	$57	+$2	10-17 23:34
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	+62	$52	84¢	$52	$0	10-21 15:58
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+113	$60	45¢	$50	-$10	10-02 20:33
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	+68	$25	43¢	$29	+$4	09-30 06:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+31	$25	88¢	$27	+$2	09-22 00:51
will louisiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2026	No	+28	$25	96¢	$27	+$2	09-30 00:35
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	+31	$19	74¢	$23	+$4	09-29 22:39
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	+77	$26	28¢	$21	-$5	10-02 04:29
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	No	+20	$15	98¢	$19	+$5	10-05 06:32
No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	+76	$17	21¢	$16	-$1	09-27 11:00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+62	$20	26¢	$16	-$4	09-17 01:34
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	+81	$17	18¢	$14	-$2	09-26 07:20
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+35	$10	26¢	$9	-$1	09-19 01:43
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	+26	$6	18¢	$5	-$1	09-26 22:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	3	$203	296	50	+246	open	—	10-20 05:22
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	3	$160	208	7	+201	open	—	10-19 12:02
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	2	$154	150	150	+0	Yes	+$34	10-11 20:15
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	1	$150	214	0	+214	open	—	10-20 13:01
Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31?	1	$150	187	0	+187	open	—	10-22 01:57
Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?	1	$149	187	0	+187	open	—	10-20 23:00
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	1	$149	195	0	+195	open	—	10-21 02:33
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	1	$148	208	0	+208	open	—	10-21 13:31
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?	1	$148	221	0	+221	open	—	10-20 01:31
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 20%-25%?	1	$147	242	0	+242	open	—	10-20 16:24
Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election?	1	$145	156	0	+156	open	—	10-22 09:27
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?	2	$124	88	88	+0	open	—	10-12 16:51
Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	2	$115	68	68	+0	open	—	10-12 14:30
Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?	4	$104	91	91	+0	No	+$15	09-06 16:30
Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	4	$104	73	73	+0	No	+$5	09-20 17:15
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	4	$103	67	67	+0	No	+$5	09-23 21:00
Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	1	$98	430	0	+430	Yes	-$98	10-20 14:31
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?	1	$97	138	0	+138	open	—	10-21 18:31
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	2	$94	88	88	+0	open	—	10-14 09:15
Will Jaime Stein win the next Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	1	$93	317	0	+317	Yes	-$93	10-21 09:05
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	1	$93	154	0	+154	open	—	10-19 17:32
Will Philip Brown win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?	1	$91	267	0	+267	open	—	10-21 21:58
Will Jessie Sunner win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	1	$90	258	0	+258	No	-$90	10-22 09:28
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?	3	$89	230	36	+195	open	—	10-17 23:35
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	1	$87	118	0	+118	open	—	10-21 06:38
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	3	$80	68	37	+31	open	—	09-29 22:39
Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 30, 2026?	1	$73	171	0	+171	open	—	10-21 07:33
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?	4	$69	48	48	+0	No	+$4	09-11 17:45
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	1	$63	95	0	+95	open	—	10-20 23:36
Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	2	$62	150	5	+145	open	—	10-13 19:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 16:26:54	Will Vox win the most seats in Burgos in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0x8a00f1…
10-22 22:28:57	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	78	65¢	$51	0x2648f8…
10-22 09:28:05	Will Jessie Sunner win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	258	35¢	$90	0x40f351…
10-22 09:27:48	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	156	93¢	$145	0xa9d6c5…
10-22 01:57:36	Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31?	No	BUY	187	80¢	$150	0x5e5a7b…
10-22 00:36:14	Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x64ed75…
10-21 21:58:27	Will Philip Brown win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	267	34¢	$91	0xa8f72f…
10-21 18:31:00	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	138	71¢	$97	0xc46265…
10-21 16:37:05	Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	No	SELL	23	71¢	$17	0x6932e1…
10-21 15:58:54	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	BUY	62	85¢	$52	0x55cb2f…
10-21 13:31:29	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	No	BUY	208	71¢	$148	0xf2e96d…
10-21 09:05:35	Will Jaime Stein win the next Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	317	29¢	$93	0xedbef8…
10-21 07:33:44	Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	171	42¢	$73	0xa55ab5…
10-21 06:38:36	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	BUY	118	74¢	$87	0x7f61d5…
10-21 02:33:18	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	195	76¢	$149	0xa25cc0…
10-20 23:36:27	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	BUY	95	66¢	$63	0xee27f1…
10-20 23:00:21	Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?	No	BUY	187	79¢	$149	0x3d06d7…
10-20 20:59:17	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?	No	BUY	43	72¢	$31	0x54de7c…
10-20 16:24:05	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	242	61¢	$147	0xa9bf56…
10-20 14:31:53	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	No	BUY	430	23¢	$98	0x6ca6ca…
10-20 13:01:06	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	No	BUY	214	70¢	$150	0x89cccc…
10-20 08:07:46	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	12¢	$8	0x756912…
10-20 07:10:32	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x6ccb57…
10-20 07:06:53	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xfde781…
10-20 05:22:17	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	246	61¢	$150	0x615844…
10-20 01:31:15	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?	No	BUY	221	67¢	$148	0x4d28e5…
10-19 17:32:42	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	154	60¢	$93	0xbd5f81…
10-19 12:02:47	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	No	BUY	201	74¢	$148	0x33086b…
10-19 06:35:14	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	84	71¢	$60	0xd9eb8e…
10-18 16:29:26	Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	42	55¢	$23	0x5ec632…
10-18 03:30:03	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	No	BUY	87	69¢	$60	0x0876c3…
10-17 23:35:54	Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?	No	BUY	195	30¢	$58	0xb272d4…
10-17 23:34:41	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	89	62¢	$55	0xe34b3d…
10-16 17:40:35	Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0xf31fa0…
10-16 02:02:49	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?	No	BUY	56	44¢	$24	0x7853fb…
10-15 19:00:22	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	SELL	17	91¢	$16	0x18cd01…
10-15 18:15:25	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	SELL	36	57¢	$21	0x34ce2e…
10-14 09:15:14	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	88	60¢	$52	0x9dc410…
10-13 19:47:07	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xd426b5…
10-13 07:42:02	Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?	No	SELL	36	31¢	$11	0x02844b…
10-12 16:51:38	Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?	No	SELL	88	73¢	$65	0xd6266e…
10-12 14:30:17	Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	No	SELL	68	82¢	$56	0xa4b473…
10-12 13:00:17	Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0x34a048…
10-12 09:15:17	Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0xcf8586…
10-11 20:15:21	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	150	63¢	$94	0x86be04…
10-11 19:00:21	Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0x1221b4…
10-11 15:30:15	Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0x28a55d…
10-10 17:00:18	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	32	93¢	$30	0x787dbb…
10-10 15:49:43	Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	SELL	17	48¢	$8	0x6dcaad…
10-09 17:15:38	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	33	71¢	$24	0x8b5fcb…
10-08 16:07:54	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x8b63a1…
10-05 20:20:31	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in October?	No	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0xba500f…
10-05 19:00:11	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0xf10d60…
10-05 17:20:02	Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?	No	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x26348c…
10-05 16:20:26	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in October?	No	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0xa45e33…
10-05 16:03:47	Will Víctor Julio León Álvarez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x25aaa5…
10-05 16:02:17	Will Víctor Julio León Álvarez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x5f744c…
10-05 06:32:50	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xb0a8d6…
10-05 03:33:25	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	150	39¢	$58	0x741aae…
10-05 00:39:37	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	103	58¢	$60	0xa32b5b…
10-04 16:47:40	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by December 31?	No	BUY	87	68¢	$59	0x74b589…
10-04 14:33:08	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	No	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x41d21a…
10-04 13:13:35	Will the Student List win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x51d3c1…
10-04 13:13:35	Will the Student List win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x0aa98e…
10-04 12:43:43	Will the Student List win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0xa144e1…
10-04 12:27:58	Will the Student List win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x1594c3…
10-04 12:27:56	Will the Student List win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0x57a550…
10-04 04:29:28	Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	No	BUY	68	88¢	$60	0x1077a2…
10-04 01:58:16	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	88	48¢	$42	0xb8d744…
10-03 22:30:32	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	150	40¢	$60	0xf02fbf…
10-03 21:29:43	Will Daniel Mullen win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?	No	BUY	84	70¢	$59	0xce81b3…
10-03 19:28:01	Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	47	69¢	$33	0x449061…
10-03 16:26:27	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	SELL	24	24¢	$6	0xdc1509…
10-03 11:45:11	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0xd016a7…
10-03 03:38:42	Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?	No	BUY	88	67¢	$59	0x48aa69…
10-02 20:33:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	113	53¢	$60	0x8c563b…
10-02 20:15:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	No	SELL	43	35¢	$15	0xe79fab…
10-02 04:29:14	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	77	28¢	$22	0x8a9d6c…
10-01 20:45:11	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	SELL	18	13¢	$2	0xcd6585…
10-01 20:29:24	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	71¢	$25	0xef1710…
10-01 17:30:03	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	90	19¢	$17	0x7ffa0e…
10-01 15:15:12	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	21	53¢	$11	0x5d23e6…
10-01 09:38:24	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	76¢	$31	0x92f5c4…
10-01 06:20:29	will nvda reach 240 in october 2026	No	BUY	16	34¢	$5	0x7be5ba…
10-01 06:20:26	will hood dip to 110 in october 2026	No	BUY	48	20¢	$10	0x63fdec…
10-01 02:28:57	will msft reach 525 in october 2026	No	BUY	48	20¢	$10	0x87ab74…
10-01 02:28:54	will meta dip to 700 in october 2026	No	BUY	44	22¢	$10	0x8afd59…
10-01 02:28:50	will amzn reach 256 in october 2026	No	BUY	54	18¢	$10	0xa78d66…
09-30 16:28:05	meta above 660 on october 30 2026	No	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0x83acad…
09-30 10:00:09	Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?	No	SELL	39	66¢	$26	0xce9e2f…
09-30 06:42:09	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x84e1f3…
09-30 06:30:42	Will the Student List win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x299b83…
09-30 05:41:02	will oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2026	No	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x8190ba…
09-30 04:42:09	will ohio enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2026	No	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xa679ca…
09-30 04:28:48	trump putin and xi seen together before 2027	No	BUY	61	30¢	$18	0xdd1b08…
09-30 02:27:06	will missouri enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2026	No	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xca68a7…
09-30 02:01:03	will indiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2026	No	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x535576…
09-30 00:35:05	will louisiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2026	No	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x77934f…
09-29 22:39:12	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xee0900…
09-29 14:45:11	Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	17	39¢	$7	0x29d21f…