Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

19.6%

Resolved

Trades

926

lifetime

Volume

$736

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 07-07 08:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

67% 100% +$0

Other

28% 0% $-0

Sports

4% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+3	$3	84¢	$3	$-0	07-02 16:40
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	+2	$1	78¢	$1	+$0	06-21 18:40
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	+1	$1	84¢	$1	+$0	07-07 05:49
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	+1	$1	80¢	$1	$-0	06-21 16:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	-6	$-4	4¢	$-0	+$4	06-15 03:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	69	$79	199	199	+0	open	—	04-21 17:55
will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	14	$68	34	34	+0	open	—	04-16 12:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	40	$65	128	127	+1	open	—	05-29 21:13
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	8	$35	19	19	+0	open	—	04-23 14:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	53	$26	48	48	+0	open	—	05-30 13:00
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	9	$22	22	22	+0	open	—	07-07 02:55
Iran leadership change by May 31?	14	$19	11	10	+1	open	—	05-24 04:03
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	16	$19	114	114	+0	open	—	04-16 12:40
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	15	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-23 20:26
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	18	$18	225	0	+225	open	—	04-17 06:05
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	9	$16	10	6	+4	open	—	04-15 23:42
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$15	8	8	+0	Yes	$-0	04-19 20:36
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	04-19 09:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	29	$13	10	16	-6	open	—	06-15 03:06
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	10	$13	81	0	+81	open	—	05-09 12:50
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	46	$12	18	18	+0	open	—	06-19 23:14
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	14	$12	23	23	+0	open	—	07-02 14:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	7	$12	67	11	+55	open	—	04-26 11:26
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-24 06:09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	34	$11	11	11	+0	open	—	04-27 04:57
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	15	$11	8	4	+4	open	—	05-31 11:09
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	12	$10	22	3	+19	open	—	06-14 11:21
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	8	$9	12	5	+7	open	—	05-26 01:57
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	4	$9	18	18	+0	open	—	04-25 03:07
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	14	$8	54	54	+0	open	—	06-22 01:55
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	20	$8	12	4	+7	open	—	04-15 13:43
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	26	$7	7	5	+1	open	—	06-14 20:38
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	06-01 17:10
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	26	$6	19	30	-11	open	—	05-31 18:26
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	4	$6	3	4	-1	open	—	06-17 15:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 08:58:02	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf988a2…
07-07 08:03:40	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x995e8c…
07-07 07:29:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3bc6a4…
07-07 06:03:11	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe67ee7…
07-07 06:02:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x7eee07…
07-07 05:52:28	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd5dfa5…
07-07 05:49:01	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x56046e…
07-07 05:40:17	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc44dbc…
07-07 05:28:23	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd4b966…
07-07 03:46:41	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xddaa03…
07-07 03:38:16	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8510f1…
07-07 02:55:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x50b864…
07-07 02:54:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xc3ba2f…
07-06 14:01:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xfee47b…
07-06 14:00:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x21a373…
07-06 14:00:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9d4e49…
07-06 13:59:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb437de…
07-06 13:58:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3b8750…
07-06 13:58:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x12a0f5…
07-06 13:51:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf364ee…
07-02 16:40:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd8c92c…
07-02 16:37:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x4098e5…
07-02 15:40:38	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6cff60…
07-02 14:33:59	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0xd2ded7…
07-02 14:33:47	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x5ba8e7…
07-02 14:27:56	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x02913d…
07-02 14:26:34	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0xfd988f…
07-02 14:23:47	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0xfe9791…
07-02 14:19:47	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x84d5a1…
07-02 14:06:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0xe9ee0b…
07-02 14:06:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xb03d0b…
07-02 12:29:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb22037…
07-02 11:27:59	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x43f8df…
07-02 10:04:47	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0x0856a8…
07-02 08:39:53	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0xdc0726…
07-01 12:50:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa932f3…
07-01 12:46:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x7a48cd…
06-28 02:18:32	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf79cb2…
06-27 18:58:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x64d0a6…
06-26 03:34:31	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x12d261…
06-26 00:42:11	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6711a5…
06-25 23:34:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa58f17…
06-25 23:20:40	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6adf20…
06-25 23:09:41	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9937e5…
06-25 23:06:50	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe932e5…
06-25 06:40:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0xeeb50d…
06-25 06:32:55	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x55aa10…
06-22 01:55:11	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x7d65ce…
06-21 18:40:47	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa1c97f…
06-21 16:52:25	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf27c6a…
06-21 16:30:08	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x377592…
06-21 16:26:19	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xced0f5…
06-21 16:26:08	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x34a4d6…
06-21 15:46:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd1b1dd…
06-21 14:07:59	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xedefdf…
06-21 13:53:29	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2ba6d9…
06-20 15:28:53	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x58d277…
06-19 23:19:14	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x857ebd…
06-19 23:14:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4c6e34…
06-19 21:43:11	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc60a7a…
06-19 21:30:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x74a184…
06-19 21:30:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x63d723…
06-19 21:29:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x2480ce…
06-19 21:28:08	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x4acb60…
06-19 21:27:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xe002f2…
06-19 21:26:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xb5b097…
06-19 21:26:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x0e87b9…
06-19 21:26:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x15760b…
06-19 21:25:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x37e1a2…
06-19 21:25:47	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xba843f…
06-19 21:25:41	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xdbaccd…
06-19 21:25:34	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x51312f…
06-19 21:25:08	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xc4c68a…
06-19 21:24:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xacf5c7…
06-19 21:24:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x589501…
06-19 21:24:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x8dc371…
06-19 21:23:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x95f422…
06-19 21:23:47	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xdc5a11…
06-19 21:23:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xc8ce3f…
06-19 21:23:14	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x4e84cd…
06-19 21:23:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x82c708…
06-19 21:22:34	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x33ce9d…
06-19 21:21:59	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x17c3b6…
06-19 21:21:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x74149e…
06-19 21:21:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xdf59f7…
06-19 21:12:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x3ff505…
06-19 21:10:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x53b1c7…
06-19 17:29:43	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0xc7fdd1…
06-19 17:07:49	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x06bfb5…
06-19 17:05:10	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xc9790a…
06-19 17:00:13	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xa57a05…
06-19 16:56:13	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x182f82…
06-19 06:19:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0xb55ab3…
06-19 05:23:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x696a40…
06-19 05:14:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x15de29…
06-19 05:14:08	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf62c86…
06-19 05:14:08	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x78aee0…
06-19 05:13:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x0c0e13…
06-19 04:36:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x89850d…
06-18 18:20:23	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x246458…