Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

19.6%

Resolved

Trades

999

lifetime

Volume

$780

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 07-31 04:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

68% 100% +$0

Other

27% 0% $-0

Sports

3% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	69	$79	199	199	+0	open	—	04-21 17:55
will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	14	$68	34	34	+0	open	—	04-16 12:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	40	$65	128	127	+1	open	—	05-29 21:13
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	8	$35	19	19	+0	open	—	04-23 14:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	53	$26	48	48	+0	open	—	05-30 13:00
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	9	$22	22	22	+0	open	—	07-07 02:55
Iran leadership change by May 31?	14	$19	11	10	+1	open	—	05-24 04:03
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	16	$19	114	114	+0	open	—	04-16 12:40
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	15	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-23 20:26
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	18	$18	225	0	+225	open	—	04-17 06:05
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	9	$16	10	6	+4	open	—	04-15 23:42
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$15	8	8	+0	Yes	$-0	04-19 20:36
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	04-19 09:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	29	$13	10	16	-6	open	—	06-15 03:06
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	10	$13	81	0	+81	open	—	05-09 12:50
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	46	$12	18	18	+0	open	—	06-19 23:14
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	14	$12	23	23	+0	open	—	07-02 14:33
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	27	$12	31	31	+0	open	—	07-29 19:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	7	$12	67	11	+55	open	—	04-26 11:26
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-24 06:09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	34	$11	11	11	+0	open	—	04-27 04:57
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	15	$11	8	4	+4	open	—	05-31 11:09
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	12	$10	22	3	+19	open	—	06-14 11:21
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	8	$9	12	5	+7	open	—	05-26 01:57
will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	7	$9	17	17	+0	open	—	07-30 21:57
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	4	$9	18	18	+0	open	—	04-25 03:07
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	5	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	07-30 18:49
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	14	$8	54	54	+0	open	—	06-22 01:55
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	20	$8	12	4	+7	open	—	04-15 13:43
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	26	$7	7	5	+1	open	—	06-14 20:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 09:21:06	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by august 31	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x807fbe…
08-01 08:57:21	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by august 31	Yes	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0xa40668…
08-01 07:07:41	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by august 31	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x1af1d7…
07-31 04:58:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x43583a…
07-31 04:57:59	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x3bebd7…
07-31 00:38:59	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xcce3c4…
07-30 21:57:14	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	SELL	14	24¢	$3	0x2753ff…
07-30 21:55:50	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x2d8968…
07-30 21:46:44	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4fddfc…
07-30 21:46:44	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x493c59…
07-30 21:46:42	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf54347…
07-30 21:46:42	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc02bd9…
07-30 21:41:48	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd9b40b…
07-30 19:21:14	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb8a7ea…
07-30 18:49:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	8	57¢	$5	0x227f21…
07-30 18:28:23	will iran target ukraine by september 30 2026 20260727234956918	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x4051e2…
07-29 23:10:23	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0xd8dc4f…
07-29 23:10:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xaf5bcc…
07-29 21:56:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x684c43…
07-29 21:53:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xa04f38…
07-29 21:51:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x75076f…
07-29 21:50:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x919e57…
07-29 20:07:06	will iran target ukraine by september 30 2026 20260727234956918	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2cc7fa…
07-29 19:42:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x0b1c6f…
07-29 19:41:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0xb2b6c0…
07-29 19:40:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x7ef992…
07-29 19:39:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x8d9090…
07-29 19:38:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x29d9a8…
07-29 19:38:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0xe987f6…
07-29 19:38:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	8	19¢	$1	0xe6fe33…
07-29 19:36:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x240402…
07-29 18:35:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0xfb3a36…
07-29 15:23:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8b2d63…
07-29 15:15:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7b72fa…
07-29 14:59:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc2c664…
07-29 14:26:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x68a67c…
07-29 14:20:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x1c03ed…
07-29 13:48:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0x7a68c2…
07-29 13:33:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x2ad91d…
07-29 13:32:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0xcaa474…
07-29 13:32:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0x2bed35…
07-29 13:32:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x21db6b…
07-29 13:32:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xa01938…
07-29 12:45:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0xb5d6a7…
07-29 12:42:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x9c4fe8…
07-29 12:42:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x8189d8…
07-29 12:42:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x60cb28…
07-29 12:41:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xed03c1…
07-29 12:35:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0xd113f2…
07-29 12:34:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x471e1e…
07-29 12:34:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x02a537…
07-28 21:00:59	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x5f146d…
07-28 20:18:07	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x5644c5…
07-28 18:53:08	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xd6c69e…
07-27 15:39:10	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x5d1e60…
07-27 15:35:03	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x3023de…
07-27 13:58:58	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x0b2b69…
07-26 23:41:21	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x6aca51…
07-26 18:30:24	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xee818d…
07-26 18:29:30	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xf140f1…
07-26 18:29:03	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xcc8a4f…
07-26 18:05:09	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6b2411…
07-26 17:53:33	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x1e6639…
07-25 19:37:06	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xfcec01…
07-25 19:09:31	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x4ba2f9…
07-25 19:09:12	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x6ade5f…
07-25 18:32:36	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xef48d2…
07-25 17:58:51	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xcb3cf8…
07-25 17:39:09	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x878f70…
07-25 17:34:51	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7bcf8a…
07-20 02:10:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xffb6ed…
07-20 02:09:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2ef4f5…
07-20 02:09:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x780980…
07-20 00:56:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe73ea8…
07-20 00:53:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xbc36ea…
07-13 18:04:44	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2007bd…
07-07 08:58:02	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf988a2…
07-07 08:03:40	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x995e8c…
07-07 07:29:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3bc6a4…
07-07 06:03:11	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe67ee7…
07-07 06:02:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x7eee07…
07-07 05:52:28	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd5dfa5…
07-07 05:49:01	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x56046e…
07-07 05:40:17	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc44dbc…
07-07 05:28:23	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd4b966…
07-07 03:46:41	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xddaa03…
07-07 03:38:16	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8510f1…
07-07 02:55:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x50b864…
07-07 02:54:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xc3ba2f…
07-06 14:01:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xfee47b…
07-06 14:00:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x21a373…
07-06 14:00:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9d4e49…
07-06 13:59:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb437de…
07-06 13:58:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3b8750…
07-06 13:58:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x12a0f5…
07-06 13:51:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf364ee…
07-02 16:40:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd8c92c…
07-02 16:37:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x4098e5…
07-02 15:40:38	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6cff60…
07-02 14:33:59	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0xd2ded7…