Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$407

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

299 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$32.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$110

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-30

last 09-15 06:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

68% 78% +$1,378

Politics

31% 54% +$1,513

Crypto

1% 0% -$404

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$30	09-01 18:00
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	9	$2.9K	1,756	1,556	+200	Yes	+$77	09-15 06:50
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	6	$2.6K	2,746	0	+2,746	Yes	+$123	09-01 18:19
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?	3	$2.3K	2,328	0	+2,328	Yes	+$13	09-02 15:37
will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	12	$2.2K	3,327	1,577	+1,750	No	+$1,879	07-31 01:11
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	26	$2.1K	2,143	2,143	+0	Yes	+$634	08-04 03:26
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	7	$2.0K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$793	07-31 19:33
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	2	$1.3K	1,488	0	+1,488	No	+$199	08-07 18:48
will kai or speed die to a creeper 20260806175301183	8	$873	1,080	0	+1,080	Yes	+$206	08-08 13:57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$794	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$206	07-29 17:51
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	10	$760	600	300	+300	No	+$91	08-07 17:55
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	4	$706	920	391	+529	Yes	+$34	08-02 02:08
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	4	$703	777	0	+777	Yes	-$703	08-10 17:56
Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 2, 2026?	1	$592	594	0	+594	Yes	+$2	09-02 15:02
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	15	$554	976	0	+976	Yes	+$422	07-22 14:25
Will there be between 37 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?	1	$541	594	0	+594	No	+$53	08-02 06:21
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?	8	$503	281	281	+0	Yes	+$15	09-15 06:32
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	1	$486	666	0	+666	No	+$180	08-08 12:05
Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	3	$451	664	0	+664	No	-$451	08-10 08:56
Will Warsh say "Task Force" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	8	$447	688	0	+688	No	+$241	08-28 14:10
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	2	$407	1,100	0	+1,100	No	-$407	08-05 12:03
will trump speak to friedrich merz in july 20260626154217436	6	$387	524	0	+524	Yes	+$137	07-14 21:21
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	1	$371	417	0	+417	Yes	+$46	08-02 02:08
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	2	$343	600	119	+481	Yes	-$257	08-02 02:08
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$312	600	0	+600	No	+$288	08-08 12:07
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	6	$252	2,416	0	+2,416	No	-$252	08-05 12:40
will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 31 20260808192512607	1	$240	2,672	0	+2,672	Yes	-$240	08-09 11:51
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	3	$235	280	0	+280	Yes	+$45	06-30 05:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	24	$222	444	0	+444	Up	-$222	08-10 12:02
Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?	2	$211	218	0	+218	Yes	+$7	09-02 23:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 06:50:33	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x41c20c…
09-15 06:32:45	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	261	92¢	$240	0xb78cfb…
09-14 15:30:37	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x75fbce…
09-10 15:26:24	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,556	95¢	$1,475	0x662c02…
09-03 15:57:45	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	89¢	$41	0x438493…
09-03 00:13:34	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x955657…
09-03 00:11:30	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x08c8c2…
09-03 00:09:40	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x1f5e96…
09-03 00:08:22	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	137	82¢	$112	0xc3016d…
09-03 00:05:49	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$9	0xf4b92b…
09-03 00:04:55	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	137	82¢	$112	0x509ba6…
09-03 00:04:16	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	163	82¢	$133	0x04f387…
09-03 00:01:12	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	94¢	$210	0xe54b27…
09-02 23:50:49	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	80¢	$400	0xb4203d…
09-02 23:29:37	Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xfa66d3…
09-02 23:28:49	Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	203	97¢	$196	0xa3925e…
09-02 23:28:21	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	95¢	$56	0x027f5d…
09-02 23:26:46	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	429	97¢	$416	0xaee3df…
09-02 23:26:31	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	94	96¢	$90	0x7af166…
09-02 15:37:58	Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	555	99¢	$548	0xa2ca31…
09-02 15:23:27	Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	340	100¢	$339	0xb75fc7…
09-02 15:04:46	Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x15df29…
09-02 15:04:43	Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xdcbd10…
09-02 15:02:15	Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	594	100¢	$592	0x355bc6…
09-02 15:01:58	Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,433	100¢	$1,427	0x7edc6b…
09-01 18:19:00	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	226	93¢	$211	0x0ee69c…
09-01 18:15:57	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$4	0x6ff935…
09-01 18:15:54	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x7f0f8f…
09-01 18:09:46	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	400	96¢	$382	0x6032e5…
09-01 18:00:51	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	99¢	$4,970	0x2ebe18…
09-01 17:10:04	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	1,820	96¢	$1,747	0xa21763…
08-28 14:10:40	Will Warsh say "Task Force" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	No	BUY	1	59¢	$0	0x28ab62…
08-28 14:10:40	Will Warsh say "Task Force" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	No	BUY	226	59¢	$133	0x0babb4…
08-28 14:08:40	Will Warsh say "Task Force" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xdc8ee4…
08-28 14:08:28	Will Warsh say "Regime" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0xe97a80…
08-28 14:08:13	Will Warsh say "Task Force" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	No	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x82440b…
08-28 14:08:06	Will Warsh say "Task Force" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x9c8898…
08-28 14:08:04	Will Warsh say "Task Force" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	No	BUY	29	71¢	$20	0x4801ab…
08-28 14:08:04	Will Warsh say "Task Force" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	No	BUY	300	71¢	$213	0x0096c6…
08-28 14:07:36	will warsh say ingenuity during jackson hole speech on august 28	No	BUY	67	85¢	$57	0x9903f6…
08-28 14:06:09	Will Warsh say "Challenge" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	Yes	BUY	147	96¢	$141	0xdedd78…
08-28 14:02:18	Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xd4cc4d…
08-28 14:02:18	Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	Yes	BUY	62	93¢	$58	0x5f0b07…
08-28 14:01:58	Will Warsh say "Regime" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	Yes	BUY	46	76¢	$35	0x78219f…
08-28 14:01:42	Will Warsh say "Challenge" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	Yes	BUY	14	83¢	$12	0x32270d…
08-28 14:01:19	Will Warsh say "Stable" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	No	BUY	135	81¢	$110	0x78bb54…
08-16 18:24:15	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	BUY	81	25¢	$20	0x7a013d…
08-15 14:07:48	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x60cef3…
08-10 17:56:28	Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	BUY	279	87¢	$243	0x79954d…
08-10 15:54:24	Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	BUY	21	87¢	$18	0x00fd2d…
08-10 13:50:15	Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	BUY	288	91¢	$262	0x5beef8…
08-10 12:02:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xe625ef…
08-10 12:02:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xdf7793…
08-10 12:02:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xc078ba…
08-10 12:02:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x766478…
08-10 12:02:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	36	50¢	$18	0x75bbb9…
08-10 12:02:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x6bbef3…
08-10 12:02:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	89	50¢	$44	0x6b81cd…
08-10 12:02:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x3c4f18…
08-10 12:02:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x1786bf…
08-10 12:02:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x145b7d…
08-10 12:02:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x12b2f2…
08-10 12:02:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x01bc88…
08-10 12:02:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xbde6d3…
08-10 12:02:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x5b4a9a…
08-10 12:02:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5302f3…
08-10 12:02:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	27	50¢	$14	0x4847fe…
08-10 12:02:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x2db8f4…
08-10 11:55:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x184a63…
08-10 11:49:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x43ef38…
08-10 11:46:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xaa14c6…
08-10 11:45:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x532731…
08-10 11:45:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe5086f…
08-10 10:45:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x4fad7f…
08-10 08:57:18	Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	BUY	189	95¢	$180	0x42c997…
08-10 08:56:31	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	BUY	130	58¢	$76	0x2aa8f6…
08-10 08:47:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	349	50¢	$174	0x3ca153…
08-10 08:46:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3e6883…
08-10 06:22:34	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	No	BUY	400	19¢	$76	0xfbad10…
08-09 11:54:37	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	No	BUY	248	19¢	$47	0xeb97eb…
08-09 11:51:21	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 31 20260808192512607	No	BUY	2,672	9¢	$240	0x994f5e…
08-08 19:19:21	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	BUY	233	71¢	$166	0x91d394…
08-08 19:09:03	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	BUY	300	70¢	$210	0x262903…
08-08 15:00:52	will kai or speed die to a polar bear 20260806175301193	No	BUY	60	91¢	$55	0xb3e865…
08-08 13:57:57	will kai or speed die to a creeper 20260806175301183	Yes	BUY	40	72¢	$29	0xeb4565…
08-08 13:54:24	will kai or speed die to a creeper 20260806175301183	Yes	BUY	300	75¢	$225	0x6f0283…
08-08 12:55:13	will kai or speed die to a creeper 20260806175301183	Yes	BUY	300	82¢	$247	0xebdfc2…
08-08 12:47:36	will kai or speed die to a creeper 20260806175301183	Yes	BUY	19	85¢	$16	0x5a603f…
08-08 12:07:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	600	52¢	$312	0x1cd097…
08-08 12:05:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	666	73¢	$486	0xe395e7…
08-08 11:22:48	will kai or speed die to a creeper 20260806175301183	Yes	BUY	120	86¢	$103	0xbe9b65…
08-08 10:00:51	will kai or speed die to a creeper 20260806175301183	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xbaa5ed…
08-07 23:32:58	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 10 20260807213124699	No	BUY	74	96¢	$71	0xbc4da5…
08-07 22:30:39	will kai or speed die to a polar bear 20260806175301193	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x64bea6…
08-07 22:30:36	will kai or speed die to a polar bear 20260806175301193	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xed7fd4…
08-07 20:51:48	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	5¢	$3	0xf3ad91…
08-07 20:51:48	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	216	5¢	$11	0xa70912…
08-07 18:48:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	600	86¢	$516	0x7f421d…
08-07 17:55:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	300	92¢	$276	0x0d2a75…
08-07 15:59:48	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x691821…