Fitting-Grit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$133

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.1%

Resolved

158

Trades

423

lifetime

Volume

$100.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$238

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 08-25 14:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Other

92% 97% +$126

Politics

3% 100% +$3

Tech

3% 100% +$2

Sports

1% 100% +$2

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$5.6K	2,806	2,806	+0	No	+$3	05-19 08:37
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	11	$5.2K	2,605	2,605	+0	No	-$8	05-21 06:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in June?	13	$3.0K	1,507	1,506	+0	No	+$2	06-03 11:43
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$3.0K	1,505	1,505	+0	No	+$3	05-14 15:20
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	1	$2.8K	2,783	0	+2,783	No	+$3	06-15 09:40
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$2.4K	2,402	0	+2,402	No	+$2	05-30 07:24
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	2	$2.3K	1,154	1,154	+0	No	+$3	07-02 01:17
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	3	$2.2K	1,202	1,002	+200	No	+$1	03-28 03:34
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,004	1,004	+0	No	+$3	06-27 09:05
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	28	$2.0K	1,007	1,007	+0	No	+$2	05-21 11:34
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,002	1,002	+0	No	+$1	05-31 16:06
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,002	1,002	+0	No	+$1	06-20 18:00
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 580plus	1	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	No	+$2	03-05 12:42
nvda above 155 on march 13 2026	1	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	Yes	+$2	03-12 09:55
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	2	$1.8K	902	902	+0	No	+$1	05-26 06:34
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	1	$1.7K	1,702	0	+1,702	No	+$2	06-28 03:39
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of June 1 2026?	1	$1.4K	1,402	0	+1,402	No	+$2	06-03 02:32
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 580plus	1	$1.4K	1,401	0	+1,401	No	+$1	04-17 08:35
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,201	0	+1,201	No	+$1	05-09 07:30
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$1.2K	1,201	0	+1,201	Yes	+$1	02-26 09:07
will nvda close below 155 week march 20 2026	29	$1.2K	607	571	+36	No	+$2	03-20 18:21
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$1.1K	561	561	+0	No	+$1	05-22 11:09
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$1.0K	502	502	+0	No	+$2	05-12 16:34
Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?	3	$1.0K	502	502	+0	No	+$1	05-12 19:30
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	2	$1.0K	502	502	+0	Yes	+$1	05-12 18:14
nflx above 60 on march 27 2026	2	$1.0K	501	501	+0	Yes	+$1	03-26 10:32
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	3	$1.0K	503	503	+0	No	+$1	05-25 05:11
will the us next strike iran on february 23 2026 et	1	$1.0K	1,001	0	+1,001	No	+$1	02-24 03:06
will south korea record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 652	1	$1.0K	1,001	0	+1,001	Yes	+$1	02-21 04:38
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	No	+$1	05-25 03:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-25 14:09:51	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	SELL	342	100¢	$342	0xc5ced9…
08-25 09:24:28	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	342	99¢	$340	0x04b542…
08-12 10:03:58	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	SELL	346	100¢	$346	0x94bb79…
08-09 10:10:21	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	346	100¢	$345	0x453cd4…
07-30 04:00:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	340	100¢	$340	0xbcae42…
07-17 09:34:19	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	346	100¢	$345	0x372c88…
07-15 03:47:29	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	346	100¢	$345	0xa6f406…
07-09 09:21:53	will nflx reach 95 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	342	100¢	$342	0x42e36d…
07-04 03:06:16	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	341	100¢	$340	0x0d51a3…
07-02 03:46:59	nflx above 90 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	998	100¢	$997	0xe7c85d…
07-02 03:46:37	nflx above 50 on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xc61d3a…
07-02 01:17:05	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	SELL	1,154	100¢	$1,153	0x814cbc…
07-01 03:13:17	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1,154	100¢	$1,150	0xa5748f…
07-01 03:11:55	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x47afd5…
07-01 03:10:55	will wti reach 105 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xeeea29…
07-01 03:09:46	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x0cee31…
07-01 03:09:40	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x088646…
07-01 03:09:26	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3?	No	BUY	370	100¢	$370	0x73ce77…
07-01 03:09:05	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3?	No	BUY	214	100¢	$214	0x69cbe0…
07-01 03:08:29	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3?	No	BUY	921	100¢	$919	0xb6a284…
07-01 03:08:14	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3?	No	BUY	270	100¢	$270	0xf35fd5…
06-28 03:39:31	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,702	100¢	$1,700	0xc88b2f…
06-27 09:05:23	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,004	100¢	$1,003	0x364553…
06-26 20:01:29	nflx above 90 on june 26 2026	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xbdb778…
06-26 02:46:31	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	151	99¢	$150	0xe3395a…
06-26 02:35:43	nflx above 90 on june 26 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xf4a764…
06-25 02:23:14	nflx above 90 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x4d7d08…
06-25 02:22:58	nflx above 90 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x3ce15f…
06-25 01:55:34	will wti reach 105 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	148	100¢	$148	0x29690d…
06-22 09:31:44	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x467f10…
06-21 02:58:40	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,004	100¢	$1,000	0x47591d…
06-20 18:00:44	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	SELL	1,002	100¢	$1,001	0x341f33…
06-20 09:00:10	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x447e55…
06-20 08:59:32	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x333b97…
06-20 08:51:47	nflx above 120 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xd35799…
06-20 08:47:16	will wti reach 105 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x169724…
06-20 08:47:04	will wti reach 110 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	590	100¢	$589	0x921a07…
06-20 08:44:23	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1,002	100¢	$1,000	0xc441d7…
06-19 02:01:47	will xauusd reach 4550 by june 15 2026	No	BUY	203	100¢	$203	0x631b6c…
06-18 15:27:11	will wti dip to 55 by june 15 2026	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0xc95d75…
06-18 03:00:20	will wti dip to 55 by june 15 2026	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x3f958a…
06-15 09:40:45	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	2,783	100¢	$2,780	0xf043d2…
06-15 09:26:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 Week of June 15 2026?	No	BUY	199	100¢	$199	0x907fa7…
06-15 09:25:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 Week of June 15 2026?	No	BUY	438	100¢	$438	0x04ce32…
06-03 11:43:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in June?	No	SELL	293	100¢	$292	0x4b32ae…
06-03 10:57:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in June?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xce6244…
06-03 10:40:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in June?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x81f18e…
06-03 08:54:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in June?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xfc53a9…
06-03 02:32:25	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of June 1 2026?	No	BUY	1,402	100¢	$1,400	0xd0c15c…
06-02 12:44:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in June?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9cd7a1…
06-02 12:26:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in June?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xa5bc80…
06-02 08:52:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in June?	No	SELL	689	100¢	$688	0x6cbe9a…
06-02 08:27:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in June?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xba69d5…
06-02 06:38:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in June?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x2b6402…
06-02 05:51:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in June?	No	SELL	192	100¢	$192	0x8747a6…
06-02 03:51:40	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $120-$130 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x82e98e…
06-01 20:00:50	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $120-$130 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?	No	SELL	135	100¢	$135	0xdcb93c…
06-01 16:17:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in June?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x919c9f…
06-01 16:09:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in June?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5813b5…
06-01 06:42:10	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $120-$130 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?	No	BUY	187	100¢	$187	0xfce7be…
06-01 06:41:31	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$130 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?	No	BUY	490	100¢	$490	0x68ebe4…
06-01 06:40:42	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of June 1 above $150?	No	BUY	731	100¢	$730	0x44bae5…
06-01 06:37:42	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $292 Week of June 1 2026?	No	BUY	160	99¢	$158	0xa547b1…
06-01 06:36:58	Will Apple (AAPL) close at $290-$295 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0xda83e0…
06-01 06:36:04	Will Apple (AAPL) close at <$290 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?	No	BUY	65	97¢	$63	0x75bf8a…
06-01 03:20:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in June?	No	BUY	1,507	100¢	$1,502	0x9edd03…
05-31 16:06:19	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	1,002	100¢	$1,001	0x65fe16…
05-30 07:24:55	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	1,401	100¢	$1,400	0x982d93…
05-29 20:31:16	Will Apple (AAPL) close at $285-$290 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x6b4111…
05-29 20:12:57	Will Apple (AAPL) close at $285-$290 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x86480d…
05-29 20:00:14	Will Apple (AAPL) close at $285-$290 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc783f9…
05-29 20:00:14	Will Apple (AAPL) close at $285-$290 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2f7469…
05-29 20:00:12	Will Apple (AAPL) close at $285-$290 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7ddea7…
05-29 19:57:31	Will Apple (AAPL) close at $285-$290 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x374406…
05-29 19:57:27	Will Apple (AAPL) close at $285-$290 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd4ab2c…
05-29 19:57:27	Will Apple (AAPL) close at $285-$290 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xad39af…
05-29 19:57:27	Will Apple (AAPL) close at $285-$290 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x15513a…
05-29 19:57:22	Will Apple (AAPL) close at $285-$290 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfbeba4…
05-29 19:57:22	Will Apple (AAPL) close at $285-$290 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd9b98d…
05-29 19:57:22	Will Apple (AAPL) close at $285-$290 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd06e0b…
05-29 19:57:22	Will Apple (AAPL) close at $285-$290 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x70e143…
05-29 19:57:22	Will Apple (AAPL) close at $285-$290 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x49b763…
05-29 19:57:22	Will Apple (AAPL) close at $285-$290 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x00e23d…
05-29 19:57:17	Will Apple (AAPL) close at $285-$290 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5b7f5d…
05-29 19:34:58	Will Apple (AAPL) close at $285-$290 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe20b3f…
05-29 16:24:11	Will Apple (AAPL) close at $285-$290 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x04688e…
05-29 15:24:41	Will Apple (AAPL) close at $285-$290 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x277642…
05-29 07:42:01	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	1,002	100¢	$1,000	0x7d45d4…
05-29 07:40:37	Will Apple (AAPL) close at $285-$290 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0f43d6…
05-29 07:39:59	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $284 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x8fc67f…
05-29 07:39:13	Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of May 25 above $290?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd4c18c…
05-26 06:34:14	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	SELL	902	100¢	$901	0xe831a7…
05-25 05:11:12	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	497	100¢	$495	0x58a669…
05-25 05:11:07	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc76a1c…
05-25 03:25:41	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	902	100¢	$900	0xf02530…
05-25 03:24:38	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	503	100¢	$500	0x520630…
05-25 03:22:09	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x6923f1…
05-25 03:21:32	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0xfe2610…
05-22 19:44:07	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	146	100¢	$146	0x0c87d8…
05-22 14:06:15	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	363	100¢	$362	0x4eb92d…