Realized P&L
-$17.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.00K
Hit rate
60.4%
Resolved
2,667
Trades
21,886
lifetime
Volume
$542.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$7.28K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 12:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 201 days
Categories
Other
67% 38% -$14,729
Politics
14% 53% -$2,171
Sports
10% 44% -$285
Crypto
6% 52% -$104
Tech
2% 48% -$137
Pop-Culture
1% 34% -$28
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 298 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1,358 $1,307 96¢ $1.3K -$4 10-27 12:19
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +1,100 $1,097 100¢ $1.1K -$1 10-27 10:37
will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119 No +2,922 $499 25¢ $723 +$224 10-23 22:40
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +687 $480 74¢ $505 +$25 10-09 00:07
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 No +398 $361 98¢ $388 +$27 10-17 02:49
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,112 $359 32¢ $350 -$8 10-09 16:07
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No +338 $318 95¢ $320 +$2 10-27 01:22
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +900 $261 32¢ $284 +$22 10-12 17:47
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No +240 $216 90¢ $216 $0 10-17 02:50
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +226 $161 94¢ $211 +$50 10-18 16:19
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +189 -$543 100¢ $188 +$732 09-28 02:54
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +190 $182 97¢ $184 +$2 10-24 21:50
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +205 $140 82¢ $169 +$29 10-14 22:37
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +2,461 $143 5¢ $130 -$12 10-26 01:19
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +137 $180 92¢ $127 -$53 10-17 02:56
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +320 $129 38¢ $123 -$6 10-11 01:43
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +140 $125 88¢ $123 -$1 10-27 01:17
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +156 $137 72¢ $112 -$26 09-23 02:07
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +114 $115 94¢ $108 -$7 10-26 16:22
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +160 $91 55¢ $88 -$3 10-27 09:10
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +98 $67 76¢ $75 +$7 09-24 09:14
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No +106 $76 70¢ $74 -$2 10-09 16:49
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,393 $97 4¢ $63 -$34 10-10 08:07
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +77 $68 76¢ $58 -$9 09-23 02:04
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? No +140 $56 36¢ $51 -$5 10-27 01:13
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? No +51 $18 96¢ $49 +$31 10-20 14:08
next astra model 6pt1 released by october 31 2026 No +54 $38 84¢ $46 +$8 10-15 01:12
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 No +48 $38 94¢ $45 +$7 10-07 01:10
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +58 $35 70¢ $41 +$6 09-25 23:07
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? Yes +285 $32 12¢ $35 +$3 10-27 04:47