Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$114

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

97.1%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

4,494 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$2.11K

$124.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$49

1 position

First seen

2026-07-01

last 11-04 01:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 92% -$392

Politics

3% 100% +$118

Other

1% 50% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 278 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No		+56	$50	88¢	$49	-$1	11-04 11:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	8	$1.0K	519	519	+0	No	+$2	08-23 02:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 14:20 UTC	11	$695	710	0	+710	Up	-$695	08-03 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	5	$641	647	0	+647	Up	+$6	07-29 22:09
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	3	$636	349	349	+0	Yes	+$36	10-27 23:42
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 13:25 UTC	3	$611	314	314	+0	Down	+$11	08-25 13:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 22:45 UTC	5	$603	611	0	+611	Down	+$8	07-29 22:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 22:00 UTC	10	$588	596	0	+596	Up	+$8	07-29 22:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 20:45 UTC	7	$585	601	0	+601	Down	+$16	07-29 20:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 20:25 UTC	3	$570	581	0	+581	Down	+$11	07-29 20:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 20:10 UTC	5	$563	584	0	+584	Up	+$7	07-29 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	3	$557	563	0	+563	Up	+$6	07-30 12:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 22:40 UTC	4	$551	557	0	+557	Up	+$6	07-29 22:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 20:00 UTC	5	$546	563	0	+563	Down	+$7	07-29 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 19:55 UTC	4	$537	553	0	+553	Down	+$10	07-29 19:59
Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	4	$530	538	0	+538	Down	+$8	08-23 02:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 20:40 UTC	4	$521	559	0	+559	Down	+$13	07-29 20:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 23:45 UTC	7	$517	526	0	+526	Down	+$9	08-04 23:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 19:50 UTC	4	$515	530	0	+530	Down	+$15	07-29 19:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 14:00 UTC	3	$514	520	0	+520	Down	+$6	07-30 14:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 14:10 UTC	2	$510	538	0	+538	Up	+$28	08-11 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 19:45 UTC	4	$506	523	0	+523	Down	+$17	07-29 19:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 20:35 UTC	2	$503	508	0	+508	Up	+$5	07-29 20:38
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	6	$502	265	265	+0	Yes	+$2	08-22 06:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 20:30 UTC	3	$501	506	0	+506	Up	+$5	07-29 20:34
Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	4	$500	506	0	+506	Down	+$6	08-24 00:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 11:20 UTC	1	$500	500	0	+500	Up	+$1	08-07 11:23
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 00:10 UTC	9	$490	538	0	+538	Down	+$48	08-23 00:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:00 UTC	6	$487	249	249	+0	Down	+$7	08-27 00:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 13:40 UTC	4	$481	488	0	+488	Up	+$7	07-30 13:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 19:20 UTC	3	$473	485	0	+485	Down	+$12	07-29 19:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 11:44:21	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x1df113…
11-04 11:42:33	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0xde08f1…
11-04 11:41:33	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xdb416f…
11-04 11:40:07	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xb8bfea…
11-04 01:26:25	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0xdf2508…
11-04 01:22:25	Will Democrats sweep the Georgia Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xf4c0f4…
11-04 01:22:09	Will Democrats sweep the Georgia Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x33f2ec…
11-04 01:21:46	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0xb9b5db…
11-04 01:21:07	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	211	99¢	$209	0x732c20…
11-04 01:19:58	Will Democrats sweep the Georgia Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	72	98¢	$70	0xac6ed4…
11-04 01:18:42	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xa198a8…
11-04 01:18:40	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x080080…
11-04 01:12:58	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xc25a12…
11-04 01:11:01	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xab8f71…
11-03 23:47:45	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	181	98¢	$177	0xc5008b…
11-03 16:00:07	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcaa954…
11-03 15:53:57	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	181	100¢	$180	0x632252…
11-03 15:53:37	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe7d9e6…
11-03 15:49:51	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0xdbc7da…
10-28 00:21:18	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	33	56¢	$18	0x74beb1…
10-27 23:42:21	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	349	96¢	$336	0xe03514…
10-27 22:28:00	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0x7e602c…
10-27 21:27:24	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x7a3448…
10-27 20:18:32	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x3eaae9…
10-25 23:54:48	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	253	99¢	$250	0x16505e…
10-25 19:56:23	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x7d63d2…
09-01 13:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x2d4f3c…
09-01 13:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd4ecaf…
09-01 13:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0x31e652…
09-01 13:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb9d6fe…
09-01 13:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x313450…
09-01 13:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe3c38a…
08-31 00:29:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 00:25 UTC	Down	SELL	34	99¢	$33	0x8bd552…
08-31 00:29:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x0ece9f…
08-31 00:28:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xccfc96…
08-31 00:28:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x08b48c…
08-31 00:27:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xf33f03…
08-31 00:27:13	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x460061…
08-31 00:26:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x60bde3…
08-31 00:26:39	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb3a91d…
08-31 00:26:33	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1b6904…
08-31 00:25:55	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x854f78…
08-31 00:25:46	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8f6ed4…
08-31 00:25:39	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x4720ba…
08-31 00:25:27	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x791d84…
08-31 00:25:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xdf7a40…
08-30 10:29:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	SELL	225	89¢	$200	0x434b10…
08-30 10:29:12	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:25 UTC	Up	SELL	101	2¢	$2	0x5c2304…
08-30 10:28:30	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xfa35d1…
08-30 10:28:27	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x206c77…
08-30 10:28:22	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x339937…
08-30 10:28:19	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xfeb55e…
08-30 10:28:12	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2bdd55…
08-30 10:27:52	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd03abd…
08-30 10:27:37	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd61f61…
08-30 10:24:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:20 UTC	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfa05a1…
08-30 10:23:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x041812…
08-30 10:23:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8ea4ef…
08-30 10:14:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:10 UTC	Down	SELL	153	99¢	$152	0x2491b8…
08-30 10:13:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x64a24c…
08-30 10:13:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xb301b9…
08-30 10:13:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x800492…
08-30 10:13:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xd523d2…
08-30 10:08:51	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:05 UTC	Up	SELL	102	99¢	$101	0xf07e99…
08-30 10:07:37	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xd64396…
08-30 10:04:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:00 UTC	Down	SELL	154	99¢	$153	0x2ba8be…
08-30 10:03:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x3736fd…
08-30 10:03:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	113	97¢	$110	0x6f5b46…
08-30 09:59:48	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 09:55 UTC	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$23	0x502958…
08-30 09:59:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 09:55 UTC	Up	SELL	115	99¢	$114	0x86a2cc…
08-30 09:59:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	105	96¢	$100	0x7218c9…
08-30 09:59:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x2f73ff…
08-30 09:57:34	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x170d9a…
08-30 09:57:12	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xaa207b…
08-30 09:54:36	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 09:50 UTC	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xcc9259…
08-30 09:54:12	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5095cc…
08-30 09:54:07	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3013bd…
08-30 09:54:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x603843…
08-30 09:48:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	124	97¢	$120	0xa274a8…
08-30 09:48:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x040028…
08-30 09:48:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xa67af3…
08-30 09:44:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 09:40 UTC	Up	SELL	133	100¢	$133	0x53683f…
08-30 09:44:27	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 09:40 UTC	Up	SELL	31	97¢	$31	0x55d175…
08-30 09:44:04	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	31	95¢	$30	0x96eb00…
08-30 09:43:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x2e92af…
08-30 09:43:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc2495b…
08-30 09:43:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x913668…
08-29 23:19:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 23:15 UTC	Up	SELL	19	83¢	$15	0xbb0fb8…
08-29 23:19:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x6797c4…
08-29 23:18:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x401513…
08-29 23:18:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9f8323…
08-29 23:14:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 23:10 UTC	Up	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x24b9e7…
08-29 23:13:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xa28e4d…
08-29 23:13:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x2b88c8…
08-29 23:09:55	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 23:05 UTC	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xa1e395…
08-29 23:09:39	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7d236d…
08-29 23:09:34	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcb1173…
08-29 23:09:33	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x137876…
08-29 23:08:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 23:05 UTC	Down	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x90309b…
08-29 23:08:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x746efa…