Capital-Recorder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.2%

Resolved

Trades

636

lifetime

Volume

$677

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 06-07 12:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 57% $-1

Other

19% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-12 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	3	$18	19	19	+0	open	—	05-03 12:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	04-13 08:27
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	04-12 12:33
btc updown 5m 1780746000	6	$13	15	15	+0	open	—	06-06 11:45
btc updown 15m 1774137600	4	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	03-22 00:16
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	3	$11	20	20	-0	open	—	06-07 09:16
btc updown 15m 1776211200	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-15 00:13
btc updown 15m 1776498300	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-18 08:00
btc updown 15m 1776437100	3	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	04-17 14:59
btc updown 15m 1773929700	3	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	03-19 14:27
btc updown 15m 1773858600	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	03-18 18:45
btc updown 15m 1773856800	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	03-18 18:15
btc updown 15m 1773836100	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-18 12:25
btc updown 15m 1773966600	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-20 00:44
btc updown 15m 1773854100	3	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-18 17:24
btc updown 15m 1773537300	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-15 01:30
btc updown 15m 1776430800	4	$7	10	10	+0	open	—	04-17 13:06
btc updown 15m 1773799200	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	03-18 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	6	$7	20	20	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 12:16
BNB Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	4	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	05-31 15:47
btc updown 15m 1774272600	3	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	03-23 13:45
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	4	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	06-01 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	5	$6	20	20	+0	open	—	05-15 12:10
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	4	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	06-01 14:27
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	11	$5	18	18	+0	open	—	06-01 16:14
btc updown 15m 1773663300	5	$5	10	5	+5	open	—	03-16 12:25
btc updown 15m 1774480500	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	03-25 23:25
btc updown 15m 1773882000	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	03-19 01:06
BNB Up or Down - May 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	05-31 17:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 12:46:31	btc updown 15m 1780836300	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xeb2bcd…
06-07 12:45:25	btc updown 15m 1780836300	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x99f21c…
06-07 12:37:24	btc updown 15m 1780835400	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xbeb38d…
06-07 12:36:03	btc updown 15m 1780835400	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1f731b…
06-07 12:34:48	btc updown 15m 1780835400	Down	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x238c3d…
06-07 12:33:33	btc updown 15m 1780835400	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x7810c1…
06-07 09:16:27	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x8b79eb…
06-06 11:45:46	btc updown 5m 1780746000	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa58ca6…
06-06 11:44:57	btc updown 5m 1780746000	Up	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x64ddd7…
06-06 11:43:37	btc updown 5m 1780746000	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x43da62…
06-06 11:43:01	btc updown 5m 1780746000	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x1a7753…
06-06 11:42:58	btc updown 5m 1780746000	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfed38b…
06-06 11:42:58	btc updown 5m 1780746000	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x6207fc…
06-06 11:13:03	btc updown 5m 1780744200	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0e6e55…
06-06 11:13:01	btc updown 5m 1780744200	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xafa778…
06-06 10:57:57	btc updown 5m 1780743300	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4da7d7…
06-06 10:56:07	btc updown 5m 1780743300	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe518d5…
06-06 10:53:01	btc updown 5m 1780743000	Down	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xca6c5d…
06-06 10:52:52	btc updown 5m 1780743000	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5f1ad5…
06-06 10:51:34	btc updown 5m 1780743000	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x974b60…
06-06 10:51:13	btc updown 5m 1780743000	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x32be23…
06-06 10:48:57	btc updown 5m 1780742700	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xcf8754…
06-06 10:46:01	btc updown 5m 1780742700	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xd94985…
06-06 10:45:16	btc updown 5m 1780742700	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x75eef1…
06-06 10:44:13	btc updown 5m 1780742400	Down	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x23a14f…
06-06 10:41:40	btc updown 5m 1780742400	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2bc184…
06-05 19:31:37	btc updown 5m 1780687800	Up	SELL	7	22¢	$2	0xe5bc19…
06-05 19:31:18	btc updown 5m 1780687800	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x6df54b…
06-05 18:51:42	btc updown 5m 1780685400	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa77075…
06-05 18:51:37	btc updown 5m 1780685400	Up	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xc8fbdb…
06-05 18:50:16	btc updown 5m 1780685400	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xbba3ba…
06-05 18:47:52	btc updown 5m 1780685100	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xae0cd2…
06-05 18:39:45	btc updown 5m 1780684500	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x00a6f6…
06-05 18:38:54	btc updown 5m 1780684500	Up	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x15c1a9…
06-05 18:38:24	btc updown 5m 1780684500	Up	SELL	3	16¢	$1	0xc71418…
06-05 18:38:09	btc updown 5m 1780684500	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1a0193…
06-05 18:23:01	btc updown 5m 1780683600	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb23f7f…
06-05 17:51:36	btc updown 5m 1780681800	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xe17744…
06-05 17:50:57	btc updown 5m 1780681800	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7f23b4…
06-05 17:49:25	btc updown 5m 1780681500	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x478fbe…
06-05 17:46:52	btc updown 5m 1780681500	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x69edd4…
06-05 16:19:34	btc updown 5m 1780676100	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x51049f…
06-05 16:19:00	btc updown 5m 1780676100	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x710d8a…
06-05 16:17:33	btc updown 5m 1780676100	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xcc30f6…
06-05 16:15:09	btc updown 5m 1780676100	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x5ff695…
06-05 16:02:18	btc updown 5m 1780675200	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa09af3…
06-05 15:52:39	bnb updown 15m 1780674300	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x76811f…
06-05 15:52:36	bnb updown 15m 1780674300	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7d8a43…
06-04 07:37:30	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x0c9fcd…
06-04 06:52:27	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0xdfc512…
06-02 10:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x2fc858…
06-02 10:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x1ba2e8…
06-02 10:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x629df6…
06-02 10:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf06d15…
06-02 10:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0x07f78c…
06-02 10:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x95edb7…
06-02 10:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xaf4845…
06-02 10:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6f21ea…
06-02 10:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8c1dbc…
06-02 09:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xf982b5…
06-02 09:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x3e6d49…
06-02 09:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x685ad9…
06-02 09:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x71a0b6…
06-02 09:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xad9217…
06-02 09:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x44cf12…
06-02 09:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x688cae…
06-02 09:30:56	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x995838…
06-02 09:30:53	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x1d8f1a…
06-02 09:30:47	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xeb8e3b…
06-02 09:30:47	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xcb488e…
06-01 18:17:05	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	12¢	$1	0xeb9316…
06-01 18:16:56	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x70f4bc…
06-01 18:15:52	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x3e0dd5…
06-01 18:15:38	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0xfa2b23…
06-01 17:42:09	bnb updown 5m 1780335600	Down	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0x1d8d3e…
06-01 17:42:09	bnb updown 5m 1780335600	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1a8da2…
06-01 17:09:04	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xd52128…
06-01 17:02:43	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x5f29e6…
06-01 17:01:41	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x7fe052…
06-01 17:01:40	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x22dd3e…
06-01 17:01:36	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x55b724…
06-01 16:23:34	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xe1fa6b…
06-01 16:23:31	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x0d6dd7…
06-01 16:22:35	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0xeba991…
06-01 16:17:11	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x4e088f…
06-01 16:17:09	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xdc9060…
06-01 16:17:09	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x744a5f…
06-01 16:14:28	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x692b74…
06-01 16:13:34	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x7209fe…
06-01 16:12:55	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x77f24c…
06-01 16:12:26	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xec273e…
06-01 16:12:24	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xa79501…
06-01 16:12:22	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x307b8f…
06-01 16:12:17	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x70ffbe…
06-01 16:12:15	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xe8d9d9…
06-01 16:12:15	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x68f77e…
06-01 16:11:26	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x8e6b30…
06-01 16:10:32	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xf5d5d3…
06-01 16:08:29	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	41¢	$1	0xfb50d5…
06-01 16:08:28	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xda5290…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	184	$95.4K	7,780	06-02 10:40
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	175	$22.5K	6,859	06-07 12:54
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	168	$75.8K	20,586	06-07 12:54
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	168	$64.3K	19,575	06-07 12:54
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	168	$52.2K	7,213	06-07 12:54
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	167	$66.4K	10,554	06-07 12:54
(anonymous) 0xd44e…b15e	165	$169.9K	39,934	06-07 12:53
Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535	161	$36.9K	2,132	06-07 12:48