Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$482

Unrealized P&L

+$33

Hit rate

58.7%

Resolved

1,615

Trades

15,324

lifetime

Volume

$33.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$353

30 positions

First seen

2026-08-08

last 10-04 10:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

88% 54% -$429

Politics

5% 53% +$5

Sports

4% 42% -$51

Crypto

2% 40% +$2

Tech

1% 27% -$9

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 739 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	+45	$31	79¢	$35	+$4	09-13 20:49
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	+45	$23	70¢	$31	+$8	09-18 17:13
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+40	$28	74¢	$30	+$2	09-13 20:58
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	+22	$12	80¢	$18	+$6	09-09 00:37
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	+30	$13	59¢	$18	+$5	09-08 16:18
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+25	$13	70¢	$18	+$5	09-07 19:56
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	+50	$24	30¢	$15	-$9	09-18 17:19
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+20	$8	66¢	$13	+$5	09-05 07:58
russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189 588	Yes	+15	$8	84¢	$13	+$4	09-04 17:52
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+30	$17	41¢	$12	-$5	09-28 05:44
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?	No	+15	$8	79¢	$12	+$4	09-08 07:23
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	+15	$8	75¢	$11	+$3	09-07 19:52
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	+40	$10	26¢	$10	$0	09-13 21:04
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	+10	$4	100¢	$10	+$6	09-08 10:08
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+15	$7	66¢	$10	+$3	09-19 15:18
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	+10	$6	99¢	$10	+$4	09-07 15:38
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	+16	$7	52¢	$8	+$1	09-08 03:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	+15	$10	54¢	$8	-$2	09-05 10:42
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	+10	$5	78¢	$8	+$3	09-24 02:52
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+35	$10	21¢	$7	-$2	09-13 20:34
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+25	$12	30¢	$7	-$5	09-17 01:23
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	+16	$8	48¢	$7	-$1	09-13 04:51
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+20	$12	34¢	$7	-$5	09-04 20:27
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	+10	$5	55¢	$6	+$1	09-21 09:01
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+15	$8	34¢	$5	-$3	09-21 10:16
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?	No	+5	$2	99¢	$5	+$3	09-06 05:49
russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by june 30 2027	No	+10	$4	46¢	$5	+$1	09-04 20:38
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+9	$3	51¢	$5	+$1	09-22 01:30
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	+22	$10	20¢	$5	-$5	09-10 07:55
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	+10	$5	45¢	$4	$0	09-06 20:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse	90	$203	433	0	+433	Ignacio Buse	+$1	09-02 22:11
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	72	$175	369	0	+369	Yes	+$5	09-14 15:02
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	68	$153	319	0	+319	Yes	+$4	09-26 04:19
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 26?	71	$147	309	0	+309	Yes	+$4	09-26 01:08
Trump renames AI by September 30?	67	$147	309	0	+309	Yes	+$5	09-29 18:36
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18?	65	$141	300	0	+300	Yes	+$12	09-18 07:27
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak	51	$119	247	0	+247	Valentin Vacherot	+$1	09-03 01:36
will ethereum dip to 2400 in august 2026 from august 23	30	$112	120	100	+20	Yes	-$1	08-30 13:46
Will MrBeast's next video get between 77.5 and 78.0 million views on day 6?	54	$112	235	0	+235	Yes	+$0	09-11 15:43
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	47	$110	224	5	+219	Yes	+$2	09-11 14:24
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	50	$109	223	0	+223	Yes	+$3	09-11 07:04
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 28?	50	$106	222	0	+222	No	+$2	09-28 05:56
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	49	$104	211	5	+206	No	+$1	09-12 22:18
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 3?	46	$103	212	0	+212	No	$0	10-03 06:30
Air Force vs. Nevada	41	$100	209	0	+209	Air Force	-$3	09-27 05:57
Spread: KC (-5.5)	49	$97	205	0	+205	IND	+$3	09-21 03:32
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 20?	41	$95	196	0	+196	Yes	+$3	09-20 03:08
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 25?	45	$94	199	0	+199	Yes	+$1	09-25 06:32
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 20?	40	$94	196	0	+196	No	+$0	09-20 04:35
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 15?	49	$92	190	0	+190	No	+$0	09-15 06:49
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 12?	41	$91	195	0	+195	Yes	+$4	09-12 19:20
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 9?	44	$90	187	0	+187	Yes	+$0	09-09 01:00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 14?	45	$89	190	0	+190	Yes	+$3	09-14 05:59
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 11?	43	$89	188	5	+183	Yes	+$2	09-11 08:08
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	36	$87	181	0	+181	Yes	+$1	09-30 14:35
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 2?	41	$86	178	0	+178	Yes	+$1	10-02 05:24
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 12?	39	$86	185	0	+185	Yes	-$1	09-12 15:25
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	36	$85	178	0	+178	Yes	+$1	09-28 14:42
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 29?	36	$84	177	0	+177	Yes	+$7	09-29 05:29
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	37	$84	163	10	+153	Yes	+$2	09-11 14:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-04 10:49:49	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xa0cf27…
10-04 10:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x93be86…
10-04 09:54:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x014596…
10-04 09:54:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xad6bb8…
10-04 09:54:23	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 4?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa0bc3d…
10-04 09:51:10	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x72d22b…
10-04 09:49:53	Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xfd90ed…
10-04 09:39:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb288e6…
10-04 09:29:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 4?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x41c4c5…
10-04 09:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xda60ab…
10-04 08:56:25	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x8cd5a1…
10-04 08:56:22	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x9d14e6…
10-04 08:44:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xa63083…
10-04 08:43:07	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xbc1e8f…
10-04 08:29:53	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf27998…
10-04 08:15:25	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x03a23f…
10-04 08:10:29	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on October 4?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xb6ef61…
10-04 08:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on October 4?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xd4b475…
10-04 07:57:17	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0x47406c…
10-04 07:57:04	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xd787a0…
10-04 07:44:16	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 4?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x40a7bc…
10-04 07:42:59	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 4?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6130dc…
10-04 07:40:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xfbc67d…
10-04 07:37:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0fe02b…
10-04 07:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 4?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x4d79ca…
10-04 07:30:40	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 4?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x974f16…
10-04 07:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xeba9f9…
10-04 07:15:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x2f01d2…
10-04 07:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x146a0d…
10-04 06:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xe5aa42…
10-04 06:54:50	Will Slaven Kovačević be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x0f89d2…
10-04 06:52:50	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x0c9c07…
10-04 06:52:28	Will Slaven Kovačević be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xea73b6…
10-04 06:47:49	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2b28fb…
10-04 06:47:04	Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8dd212…
10-04 06:46:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 4?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x171ec6…
10-04 06:41:44	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 5?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x37e1f4…
10-04 06:37:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x72bb2c…
10-04 06:36:49	Will Slaven Kovačević be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe11226…
10-04 06:31:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 4?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x30b284…
10-04 06:31:47	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa4ac33…
10-04 06:31:41	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 6?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb82934…
10-04 06:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 4?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xcfbad2…
10-04 06:30:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x35631c…
10-04 06:29:44	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x45a149…
10-04 06:29:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xc0c83f…
10-04 06:28:28	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 5?	No	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x376448…
10-04 06:26:49	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 5?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd78096…
10-04 06:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0x352dd2…
10-04 06:15:32	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe7adeb…
10-04 06:11:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2ed947…
10-04 06:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x7bceff…
10-04 06:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 5?	Yes	BUY	1	42¢	$1	0xe7bfe7…
10-04 06:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 5?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x99f099…
10-04 06:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 5?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2d9edc…
10-04 06:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x9ee17d…
10-04 06:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xefc5dc…
10-04 06:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on October 4?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xbaedd4…
10-04 06:09:53	Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x5be2ae…
10-04 06:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x03fc27…
10-04 06:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 4?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x33de18…
10-04 05:46:56	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 4?	No	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x6ed6be…
10-04 05:44:31	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on October 4?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xe75124…
10-04 05:40:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x7c011d…
10-04 05:37:50	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x700a40…
10-04 05:34:46	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 4?	No	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xc32041…
10-04 05:28:37	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 4?	No	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x214dcc…
10-04 05:26:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xbed860…
10-04 05:19:19	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x56429a…
10-04 05:19:08	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xdda08c…
10-04 05:17:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x56691c…
10-04 05:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xcf849c…
10-04 05:11:05	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on October 4?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x15a012…
10-04 05:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 5?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xa37684…
10-04 05:10:25	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on October 4?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x0245b8…
10-04 05:00:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 4?	No	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0xd01e9e…
10-04 04:59:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 4?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x370ce3…
10-04 04:59:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 4?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x27565a…
10-04 04:55:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x6cc0f8…
10-04 04:53:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 4?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x08888b…
10-04 04:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4ee4af…
10-04 04:49:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 4?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x677613…
10-04 04:49:17	Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	8	32¢	$2	0x45aa5d…
10-04 04:45:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x83a337…
10-04 04:44:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0xbcce6b…
10-04 04:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x8cac5f…
10-04 04:41:10	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 5?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x0b06da…
10-04 04:38:44	Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x67b0e0…
10-04 04:36:28	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xb5dde3…
10-04 04:31:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 4?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9f34a1…
10-04 04:30:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 4?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x6c1281…
10-04 04:24:02	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4b99b7…
10-04 04:23:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x6748f5…
10-04 04:21:25	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x938259…
10-04 04:20:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7e95cb…
10-04 04:20:25	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x0dbd8c…
10-04 04:16:35	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x1187a6…
10-04 04:13:14	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd9cb30…
10-04 04:13:05	Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x655e13…
10-04 04:12:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 4?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xbf7d34…