Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$157

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

4.4%

Resolved

Trades

207

lifetime

Volume

$8.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

$52

2 positions

First seen

2026-07-10

last 10-19 01:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

56% 5% -$112

Politics

26% 10% -$43

Sports

10% — —

Tech

4% 0% -$2

Pop-Culture

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027?	No		+50	$35	81¢	$40	+$6	10-05 18:56
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No		+20	$9	60¢	$12	+$3	10-02 09:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	7	$641	533	533	+0	Yes	-$15	07-16 19:48
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	19	$450	385	385	+0	open	—	07-17 12:40
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?	4	$411	403	403	+0	No	-$12	07-19 11:04
will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	4	$400	299	298	+0	Yes	$0	07-11 22:23
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	2	$392	377	377	+0	Yes	-$8	07-13 04:50
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$385	294	294	+0	No	-$15	07-13 15:18
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	2	$377	257	257	+0	open	—	07-14 03:25
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	2	$373	224	224	+0	open	—	07-14 05:56
Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?	2	$365	230	230	+0	Yes	-$35	07-12 14:40
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	2	$346	200	200	+0	No	-$2	07-16 03:02
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	2	$342	223	223	+0	Yes	-$11	07-17 19:53
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	2	$330	200	200	+0	open	—	07-15 17:59
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	2	$329	242	242	+0	open	—	07-15 18:31
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?	2	$326	255	255	+0	open	—	07-19 05:16
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-05 House seat?	2	$322	184	184	+0	open	—	07-15 23:07
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	2	$320	200	200	+0	No	+$0	07-18 23:31
iran leadership change by june 30 2027	2	$295	242	242	+0	open	—	07-19 06:51
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	2	$268	205	205	+0	No	-$2	07-15 01:08
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$268	206	206	+0	Yes	+$0	07-17 17:46
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	2	$258	171	171	+0	No	-$2	07-15 15:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$218	169	169	+0	Yes	+$2	07-19 15:06
israel closes its airspace by august 15	4	$184	137	137	+0	No	+$0	07-19 13:26
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	18	$127	84	84	+0	open	—	07-14 06:04
Spain snap election called in 2026?	4	$60	150	0	+150	Yes	-$10	10-04 15:03
Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?	2	$54	100	0	+100	Yes	-$4	10-04 15:05
will broadcom avgo q4 ai revenue be above 20261008120151000 20b	4	$45	55	15	+40	open	—	10-18 00:21
spain snap election called by october 31	2	$40	84	0	+84	Yes	-$6	10-04 19:00
Will lukxo have the most first bloods at VALORANT Champions 2026?	5	$40	40	40	+0	No	-$6	10-18 09:53
Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	5	$36	73	0	+73	No	-$3	10-04 10:21
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027?	1	$35	50	0	+50	open	—	10-05 18:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 01:14:51	Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x86d617…
10-19 01:09:47	Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x8ee9ec…
10-19 01:09:47	Will Miley Cyrus perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x18605b…
10-19 01:09:32	Will Miley Cyrus perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xc1db92…
10-19 01:09:32	Will Miley Cyrus perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0xa46904…
10-19 01:09:24	Will Miley Cyrus perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xd57290…
10-18 21:32:08	Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0xbb296f…
10-18 17:00:09	Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election?	No	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0xffd615…
10-18 16:59:56	Will Brock Bowers be the highest-scoring TE of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0xd0e6b8…
10-18 16:49:08	Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5ed9a2…
10-18 15:20:27	Will Salahdine Parnasse fight Quillan Salkilld next?	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0x820664…
10-18 15:18:15	Will Salahdine Parnasse fight Quillan Salkilld next?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xfd9225…
10-18 14:19:41	Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x4f35fb…
10-18 14:19:30	Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xfa814d…
10-18 12:34:54	Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0xae19a3…
10-18 12:34:05	Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x1738ca…
10-18 12:09:27	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Sinaloa Congress election?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3c19e5…
10-18 09:53:56	Will lukxo have the most first bloods at VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0xdc9f4c…
10-18 09:06:59	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Quintana Roo Congress election?	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x15034c…
10-18 08:30:41	Will lukxo have the most first bloods at VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	79¢	$10	0xd7207a…
10-18 08:29:17	Will lukxo have the most first bloods at VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x35bbd0…
10-18 06:47:42	Will lukxo have the most first bloods at VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x958a9f…
10-18 00:21:24	will broadcom avgo q4 ai revenue be above 20261008120151000 20b	Yes	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0xc6ec91…
10-17 20:45:14	Will lukxo have the most first bloods at VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xd3c531…
10-17 18:19:51	Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	17¢	$2	0xcdbe17…
10-17 18:19:45	Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0x69fc61…
10-17 18:08:05	Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x7c7377…
10-17 16:57:14	Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0xd728ba…
10-17 16:43:45	will micron q1 dram revenue be above 42b	No	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x4168db…
10-17 16:43:44	will micron q1 dram revenue be above 42b	No	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0xca028d…
10-17 15:36:30	Will Brock Bowers be the highest-scoring TE of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x78fdd4…
10-17 15:36:30	Will Brock Bowers be the highest-scoring TE of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	1	38¢	$1	0x1ca71b…
10-17 13:38:29	Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Aguascalientes Congress election?	Yes	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x6a4f67…
10-17 09:34:23	Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Aguascalientes Congress election?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x1c5c1b…
10-17 08:57:32	Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election?	Yes	BUY	1	58¢	$1	0xb29ce8…
10-17 08:01:39	will laura loomer be the next white house press secretary	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x78f199…
10-17 07:57:32	Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xca8dd8…
10-17 03:05:54	will broadcom avgo q4 ai revenue be above 20261008120151000 20b	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x717295…
10-16 19:07:52	will micron q1 dram revenue be above 42b	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x6f4128…
10-16 18:38:51	Will Juwan Johnson have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x728cd7…
10-16 17:48:15	Will Juwan Johnson have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xd2fe9d…
10-16 17:24:56	Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x0899a5…
10-16 13:25:07	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Quintana Roo Congress election?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x8604eb…
10-16 13:25:06	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Quintana Roo Congress election?	Yes	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xc552e5…
10-16 12:46:13	Will Joan García (Barcelona) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xd2cdb2…
10-16 12:01:25	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tlaxcala Congress election?	No	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x2a1ee2…
10-16 12:01:03	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tlaxcala Congress election?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x7f0437…
10-16 11:48:36	will broadcom avgo q4 ai revenue be above 20261008120151000 20b	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x939e82…
10-16 11:01:15	will broadcom avgo q4 ai revenue be above 20261008120151000 20b	Yes	BUY	15	85¢	$12	0xbea2d7…
10-16 05:25:57	Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xcadf97…
10-16 03:54:13	Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xd00be3…
10-16 03:33:01	Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x6663f7…
10-16 03:17:22	Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x73e3ec…
10-16 03:15:16	Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x969a97…
10-16 01:48:04	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x510714…
10-16 01:20:24	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0x643487…
10-16 01:20:22	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xed7d31…
10-16 00:57:31	Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xa031ba…
10-16 00:22:49	Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x3da408…
10-10 00:26:59	Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026?	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0xefb2b1…
10-09 22:55:29	Will AI solve the Hadamard matrix conjecture in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x632ef9…
10-09 22:40:14	Will Chicago Bears finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x0fc40b…
10-09 22:25:59	Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x5eac2f…
10-09 18:47:17	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xfb6823…
10-09 18:26:52	Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x15e282…
10-09 18:19:29	Will no next Israeli Minister of Interior be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xb1c67e…
10-09 17:26:16	Will no next Israeli Minister of Interior be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x545377…
10-09 16:55:28	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x427c6a…
10-09 16:55:23	Will AI solve the Hadamard matrix conjecture in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x922254…
10-09 16:40:05	Will Chicago Bears finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x2e1ab1…
10-09 16:25:39	Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x87224d…
10-05 18:56:59	Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xbce766…
10-04 19:24:40	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x6d088f…
10-04 19:19:19	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 150 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xee3639…
10-04 19:09:46	will spacexai officially rename itself to spacexsi by october 31	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x46d24f…
10-04 19:01:08	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 150 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x014cbc…
10-04 19:00:04	spain snap election called by october 31	No	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xafe23d…
10-04 17:58:56	spain snap election called by october 31	Yes	BUY	34	51¢	$17	0x88363a…
10-04 15:05:05	Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?	Yes	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x39b5df…
10-04 15:03:26	Spain snap election called in 2026?	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xa5646f…
10-04 14:48:11	Spain snap election called in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0xa7cf00…
10-04 14:46:56	Spain snap election called in 2026?	No	BUY	28	23¢	$6	0x992bbc…
10-04 14:46:56	Spain snap election called in 2026?	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x5ce1c3…
10-04 13:21:05	Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?	No	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xce13a5…
10-04 10:26:25	will donald trump publicly insult ilhan omar by october 31 2026	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xf2b02c…
10-04 10:21:20	Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x606fc2…
10-04 10:00:47	Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xaf5575…
10-04 10:00:46	Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0x420c25…
10-04 09:26:52	Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0x2dc7eb…
10-04 09:22:41	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xd550d2…
10-04 09:22:41	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	47¢	$8	0x0b747b…
10-04 08:26:28	Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xc832ca…
10-02 09:46:12	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x6bfb97…
10-02 09:45:08	Mamdani visits the White House by December 31?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x8edbc2…
10-02 09:44:47	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x17aea5…
10-02 09:35:08	Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xe34c8c…
10-02 09:31:12	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.95% in October?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x498327…
10-02 09:29:30	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.95% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xe1129f…
10-02 09:27:12	Will BC.Game Esports qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0xc77b58…
10-02 09:26:45	Will BC.Game Esports qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x34c8ea…