Yearly-Ukulele — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

+$17

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

227

lifetime

Volume

$3.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$38

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-28 19:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 0% $-7

Politics

23% — —

Other

8% — —

Sports

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes		-100	$-55	38¢	$-38	+$17	06-02 19:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$359	271	271	+0	open	—	04-03 20:26
ethereum above 2300 on february 5	16	$184	467	200	+267	open	—	02-03 23:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	2	$177	230	230	+0	open	—	05-14 03:09
ethereum above 3100 on january 12	10	$171	166	100	+66	open	—	01-12 14:40
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	5	$160	300	0	+300	open	—	02-27 17:35
ethereum above 1600 on june 8 2026	5	$124	90	90	+0	open	—	06-08 00:08
ethereum up or down february 18 3pm et	4	$115	95	78	+18	open	—	02-18 20:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	4	$111	200	150	+50	open	—	05-14 13:53
will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	1	$100	154	0	+154	open	—	06-11 22:29
another us government shutdown by february 14	3	$89	80	120	-40	open	—	02-13 15:16
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$83	150	150	+0	open	—	02-20 18:28
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 30?	2	$72	100	100	+0	open	—	04-29 18:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	4	$71	160	160	+0	open	—	05-23 00:26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 18?	1	$71	100	0	+100	open	—	05-17 23:58
nhl phi pit 2026 04 20	2	$70	81	80	+1	open	—	04-21 00:27
ethereum up or down january 31 3pm et	6	$66	91	91	+0	open	—	01-31 20:32
bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 11pm et	2	$65	76	76	+0	open	—	06-27 03:34
bitcoin above 78k on february 1	3	$65	100	100	+0	open	—	02-01 16:17
will ethereum reach 3400 in january 2026	3	$63	129	0	+129	open	—	01-08 16:25
ethereum above 2400 on february 1	4	$59	106	0	+106	open	—	01-31 21:38
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota	1	$57	0	70	-70	open	—	01-08 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$57	47	47	+0	open	—	06-02 19:48
btc updown 15m 1780538400	2	$55	46	46	+0	open	—	06-04 02:08
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	1	$55	0	100	-100	open	—	06-02 19:29
btc updown 5m 1771896000	2	$53	37	36	+1	open	—	02-24 01:21
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	4	$52	333	333	+0	open	—	04-14 22:49
ethereum up or down february 18 4pm et	2	$48	43	43	+0	open	—	02-18 21:15
will ethereum reach 2200 march 30 april 5	2	$48	50	50	+0	open	—	03-31 17:48
Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 by December 31, 2026?	3	$47	200	67	+133	open	—	01-25 18:07
ethereum above 2500 on february 1	3	$44	199	199	+0	open	—	02-01 12:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 19:02:02	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	Yes	BUY	43	9¢	$4	0xb78adb…
06-28 18:56:53	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	Yes	BUY	83	8¢	$7	0x6f1362…
06-28 18:53:46	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	Yes	BUY	107	9¢	$10	0x6940f7…
06-27 03:34:23	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 11pm et	Up	SELL	76	53¢	$40	0x23b65d…
06-27 03:11:46	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x2954d5…
06-27 03:08:04	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xa0aa02…
06-12 17:15:46	ethereum above 1700 on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x2472f8…
06-12 17:14:10	ethereum above 1700 on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x6ca5c0…
06-11 22:29:48	will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	No	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xccb057…
06-10 12:31:46	ethereum above 1500 on june 10 2026	No	SELL	80	1¢	$1	0x547260…
06-10 12:31:12	ethereum above 1700 on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0xe357e5…
06-10 12:28:16	ethereum above 1500 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	80	2¢	$1	0x86dcd6…
06-10 12:27:33	ethereum above 1700 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$3	0x2d2e24…
06-08 00:08:18	ethereum above 1600 on june 8 2026	Yes	SELL	90	91¢	$82	0x396d05…
06-07 02:21:03	ethereum above 1600 on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	8	46¢	$3	0x9eb09f…
06-07 02:18:01	ethereum above 1600 on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0xfe6304…
06-07 02:17:09	ethereum above 1600 on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x17236d…
06-07 02:16:33	ethereum above 1600 on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0xff4f6a…
06-04 02:08:42	btc updown 15m 1780538400	Up	SELL	46	66¢	$30	0x2aeef5…
06-04 02:00:18	btc updown 15m 1780538400	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x39c4e9…
06-04 01:31:06	btc updown 15m 1780536600	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x5113e8…
06-02 19:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	47	67¢	$32	0xc41382…
06-02 19:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x4e7c6a…
06-02 19:29:12	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0x0bd836…
05-23 00:26:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	160	9¢	$14	0x0d036e…
05-21 02:25:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x479b2c…
05-21 02:25:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xc58fd0…
05-21 02:25:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	300	6¢	$18	0x03dcfb…
05-19 02:39:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0xd4e229…
05-19 02:39:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x25aeaf…
05-19 02:37:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	70	5¢	$4	0xf5f599…
05-19 02:25:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x13cc1a…
05-19 02:21:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x7a6c72…
05-19 02:20:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	60	28¢	$17	0xcd4e4d…
05-18 00:26:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0xa42afb…
05-18 00:15:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x537e3a…
05-18 00:15:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x73aa52…
05-18 00:07:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	23	5¢	$1	0x853095…
05-18 00:05:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	22	14¢	$3	0x4af4e8…
05-18 00:02:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xb10ea7…
05-18 00:01:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xd532b4…
05-17 23:58:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xb7b419…
05-17 23:57:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0x6cfba1…
05-17 23:57:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x1130c9…
05-17 23:54:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x910373…
05-17 03:06:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x19c159…
05-17 03:01:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	88	40¢	$35	0xcbccf1…
05-14 13:53:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0x7f9115…
05-14 12:33:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xd9bfdd…
05-14 03:09:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	230	33¢	$76	0x76faa1…
05-14 03:08:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0x6585a4…
05-14 02:29:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xc1f21b…
05-14 02:27:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	230	44¢	$101	0x8e7fe2…
05-07 10:11:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	25	18¢	$4	0x503248…
05-07 09:49:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0x7ebb2f…
05-07 09:38:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x38c3dd…
05-07 02:36:17	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x3a9ffb…
05-07 02:19:50	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x6a6997…
05-07 02:19:50	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0x666114…
05-07 02:19:13	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x34f0eb…
04-29 23:45:36	Penguins vs. Flyers	Penguins	BUY	71	49¢	$35	0xb86519…
04-29 18:11:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0x91dfe9…
04-29 13:13:20	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0xa416ae…
04-29 04:19:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x5eada9…
04-28 22:37:02	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x3b2175…
04-25 23:23:48	Penguins vs. Flyers	Penguins	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xd637eb…
04-25 23:23:14	Penguins vs. Flyers	Penguins	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x76bb3c…
04-21 00:27:38	nhl phi pit 2026 04 20	Flyers	SELL	80	44¢	$35	0x216d85…
04-20 23:45:42	nhl phi pit 2026 04 20	Flyers	BUY	81	43¢	$35	0xec4e56…
04-19 02:18:52	nhl phi pit 2026 04 18	Flyers	BUY	76	46¢	$35	0x11e48d…
04-14 22:50:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	91	18¢	$16	0xc53289…
04-14 22:49:52	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	167	14¢	$23	0xdbb27b…
04-14 22:35:28	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	157	14¢	$21	0x526508…
04-14 22:35:26	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x128a8e…
04-14 02:59:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x27202a…
04-14 02:58:09	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	333	2¢	$7	0x581b5d…
04-03 20:26:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	271	77¢	$209	0xd1b5cb…
04-01 16:22:45	will trump say kharg or island during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x978a7e…
04-01 16:20:57	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x8075a6…
04-01 16:20:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xf42d57…
04-01 03:14:01	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x17604c…
04-01 03:13:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0x558556…
03-31 17:48:41	will ethereum reach 2200 march 30 april 5	Yes	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0x1bd307…
03-31 04:29:35	will ethereum reach 2200 march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x41db1d…
03-01 02:34:01	btc updown 5m 1772332200	Up	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xf75ee1…
03-01 02:32:01	btc updown 5m 1772332200	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb6c9a5…
02-27 19:29:09	US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x807554…
02-27 17:35:35	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0xb9a688…
02-27 17:34:37	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xc47fa3…
02-27 17:34:37	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	54¢	$18	0x518a3a…
02-27 17:34:33	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8c3446…
02-27 17:34:33	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0x780c0b…
02-25 20:40:22	nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52	No	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xc2f23c…
02-25 20:39:44	nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52	No	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xbe5b63…
02-25 20:39:18	nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52	No	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x064123…
02-24 23:48:00	ethereum up or down february 24 6pm et	Up	SELL	69	2¢	$1	0xfd8dd4…
02-24 23:01:40	ethereum up or down february 24 6pm et	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x0637dc…
02-24 23:01:24	ethereum up or down february 24 6pm et	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xecb5ea…
02-24 23:01:04	ethereum up or down february 24 6pm et	Up	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xd8b1bf…
02-24 22:43:46	eth updown 15m 1771972200	Up	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x02e5d5…