Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 6?
open
Total volume
$3,625
Trades
40
Unique wallets
11
Liquidity
$3,987
Latest YES mid
14¢
Latest NO mid
86¢
End date
2026-05-07
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-07 01:53
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $3.3K
vs crowd: 0% YES on $3.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $3.3K | $3.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $17 | $282 | $265 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $3.3K | $3.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $20 | $20 |
| Median | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $202 | $202 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $17 | $5 | +$12 |
| unranked | 3 | — | $50 | $50 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | +3,810 | $3,301 | $3,301 | 9 | 05-06 19:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xe502…fba0 | No | +220 | $199 | $199 | 1 | 05-06 15:17 |
| Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | Yes | +88 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-06 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x9103…225b | No | +39 | $35 | $35 | 7 | 05-06 19:20 |
| Powerless-Product 0xf961…34dd | No | +22 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-06 17:44 |
| Wary-Happening 0x6239…c6b4 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 23:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x2f57…50c1 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-06 17:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x0979…bf02 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 5 | 05-06 17:44 |
| Juvenile-Mine 0x10e5…b7f1 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-06 20:00 |
| Stormy-Dahlia 0x413d…12cf | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-06 19:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 01:53:29 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x1ad61d… |
| 05-07 01:53:15 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x6c6953… |
| 05-07 01:53:00 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xe1545f… |
| 05-07 01:48:00 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x58a3ce… |
| 05-07 01:08:15 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 8 | 80¢ | $6 | 0xf5adfa… |
| 05-07 00:28:16 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | Yes | SELL | 187 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x3513d7… |
| 05-07 00:28:00 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | Yes | BUY | 187 | 4¢ | $7 | 0x75b799… |
| 05-06 23:06:59 | Wary-Happening 0x6239…c6b4 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xdd62ee… |
| 05-06 20:00:54 | Juvenile-Mine 0x10e5…b7f1 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x2d916d… |
| 05-06 19:40:04 | Stormy-Dahlia 0x413d…12cf | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x9b81cc… |
| 05-06 19:40:02 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0xa6e5c9… |
| 05-06 19:20:12 | (anonymous) 0x9103…225b | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x5226f1… |
| 05-06 19:20:12 | Stormy-Dahlia 0x413d…12cf | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xca1c09… |
| 05-06 19:20:11 | (anonymous) 0x9103…225b | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0xd06424… |
| 05-06 19:20:11 | Stormy-Dahlia 0x413d…12cf | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xb6e0d8… |
| 05-06 19:20:09 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 30 | 88¢ | $26 | 0x79c61e… |
| 05-06 19:20:09 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 40 | 89¢ | $35 | 0xc3dc29… |
| 05-06 18:33:18 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 3,000 | 86¢ | $2,568 | 0x443f80… |
| 05-06 17:53:38 | Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x707d27… |
| 05-06 17:44:20 | (anonymous) 0x9103…225b | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x47efb4… |
| 05-06 17:44:20 | (anonymous) 0x0979…bf02 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x664e3e… |
| 05-06 17:44:18 | Powerless-Product 0xf961…34dd | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0xdbe74d… |
| 05-06 17:44:18 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x56bc2c… |
| 05-06 17:44:17 | (anonymous) 0x9103…225b | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x7df119… |
| 05-06 17:44:17 | (anonymous) 0x0979…bf02 | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xadc452… |
| 05-06 17:44:06 | (anonymous) 0x9103…225b | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0xc389db… |
| 05-06 17:44:04 | (anonymous) 0x0979…bf02 | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x290d4f… |
| 05-06 17:44:04 | (anonymous) 0x9103…225b | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0xef231f… |
| 05-06 17:44:04 | (anonymous) 0x2f57…50c1 | No | BUY | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0x85f8a8… |
| 05-06 17:44:04 | (anonymous) 0x0979…bf02 | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xb4112f… |
| 05-06 17:44:03 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 100 | 89¢ | $89 | 0xdac125… |
| 05-06 17:44:03 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 100 | 89¢ | $89 | 0xb21e9c… |
| 05-06 17:16:08 | Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x4784e9… |
| 05-06 17:08:40 | Powerless-Product 0xf961…34dd | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x2af580… |
| 05-06 17:08:36 | (anonymous) 0x9103…225b | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x626dbd… |
| 05-06 17:08:36 | (anonymous) 0x0979…bf02 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x152484… |
| 05-06 17:08:35 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 140 | 91¢ | $128 | 0x193496… |
| 05-06 16:12:24 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 200 | 93¢ | $186 | 0x9818d9… |
| 05-06 15:17:20 | (anonymous) 0xe502…fba0 | No | BUY | 220 | 91¢ | $199 | 0x3e13ad… |
| 05-06 13:02:22 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x84f320… |