Known-Breakthrough — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.08K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.8%

Resolved

828

Trades

3,046

lifetime

Volume

$39.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 06-06 17:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 93% -$38

Other

19% 63% -$721

Sports

8% 42% -$233

Politics

0% 50% -$86

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lal rea mad 2026 03 22 rea	68	$599	739	304	+435	Yes	-$317	03-22 21:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	5	$454	245	245	+0	No	+$11	05-16 03:42
sea bol laz 2026 03 22 bol	22	$358	425	272	+153	No	+$61	03-22 15:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	3	$304	203	180	+24	Yes	-$46	05-23 16:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 11?	3	$302	177	146	+31	No	+$4	05-11 14:53
Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 20?	4	$273	179	179	+0	Yes	+$0	05-21 01:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	5	$264	284	0	+284	No	+$20	05-21 07:56
bitcoin above 78k on april 18	12	$250	178	105	+73	No	-$7	04-17 23:52
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 24?	2	$247	150	150	+0	Yes	-$36	05-23 08:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?	4	$228	99	219	-120	Yes	+$51	05-23 16:05
ethereum above 2500 on april 18	9	$198	138	68	+70	No	+$4	04-17 23:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	5	$185	195	12	+183	Yes	+$18	05-13 21:07
bitcoin above 74k on april 19	13	$181	190	0	+190	Yes	+$9	04-18 16:28
will bitcoin dip to 74k on april 18	12	$181	187	0	+187	No	+$6	04-18 16:25
epl tot not 2026 03 22 tot	24	$180	309	119	+191	No	-$74	03-22 15:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 22?	2	$172	180	0	+180	No	+$9	05-23 00:41
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 11?	2	$172	183	0	+183	No	+$11	05-11 20:16
lal bar ray 2026 03 22 bar	25	$169	264	166	+99	Yes	-$13	03-22 14:59
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 15?	1	$165	169	0	+169	No	+$4	05-14 21:51
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 17?	1	$165	174	0	+174	No	+$9	05-17 20:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?	1	$165	179	0	+179	No	+$14	05-16 07:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 20?	1	$165	177	0	+177	No	+$12	05-20 18:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 19?	1	$165	175	0	+175	No	+$11	05-19 21:49
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 19	10	$165	172	0	+172	No	+$7	04-19 07:19
epl tot not 2026 03 22 not	32	$164	272	74	+198	Yes	-$85	03-22 15:50
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	1	$164	175	0	+175	Yes	+$12	05-18 07:28
will bitcoin reach 75k on april 14	7	$163	109	108	+1	Yes	-$34	04-14 11:56
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 19	10	$148	157	0	+157	No	+$9	04-18 16:15
bitcoin above 78k on april 19	9	$148	162	0	+162	No	+$13	04-18 11:06
will bitcoin reach 79k on april 17	9	$148	158	0	+158	No	+$10	04-17 18:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 17:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 7?	Yes	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0x4a0e74…
06-06 17:40:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 7?	Yes	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0x2a34cd…
06-06 17:39:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 7?	Yes	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x66e56b…
06-06 15:21:18	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 7?	Yes	SELL	2	26¢	$0	0xe50ffb…
06-06 15:13:04	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 7?	Yes	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0x845d3b…
06-06 15:13:01	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 7?	Yes	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0xdaac6d…
06-06 09:29:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xf9344e…
06-06 09:29:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x300d26…
06-06 09:29:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0x14e5ec…
06-06 09:29:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x0294eb…
06-06 09:18:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 7?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x99f3ed…
06-06 09:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x94f090…
06-06 09:16:12	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 6?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xedbc2b…
06-06 09:16:00	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 6?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xcc55c5…
06-06 09:15:52	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on June 6?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x9e8e68…
06-06 09:15:49	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on June 6?	No	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0x89eaea…
06-06 09:15:46	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x39e51d…
06-06 09:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x484d69…
06-06 09:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xfd3ec0…
06-06 09:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	27	25¢	$7	0xb7e376…
06-06 09:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x9f7ad4…
06-06 09:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x8c0cee…
06-06 09:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	27	31¢	$8	0x3b1e4e…
06-06 09:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	53	23¢	$12	0xd9711e…
06-06 09:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	14	25¢	$4	0xad3976…
06-06 09:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0x9e6740…
06-06 09:14:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	34	38¢	$13	0xe90ee0…
06-01 12:10:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	121	89¢	$108	0x48edea…
05-31 18:28:28	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x4fca1f…
05-31 17:44:17	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xa64d3c…
05-31 17:31:57	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9dc693…
05-31 17:24:10	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x3a1416…
05-31 17:08:56	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc56dd4…
05-31 16:33:07	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0xfc6e26…
05-31 06:04:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x958801…
05-31 06:04:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0xe2f7f7…
05-31 06:04:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	26	90¢	$23	0x6cb846…
05-31 06:04:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	24	90¢	$22	0xa63794…
05-31 05:53:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	15	91¢	$13	0x78b0a9…
05-30 13:49:39	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	94¢	$85	0x99a67c…
05-30 05:05:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	42	86¢	$36	0xea6619…
05-29 17:48:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	42	86¢	$36	0xbbe3f1…
05-29 13:31:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0xc6c845…
05-29 13:31:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x3773eb…
05-29 12:59:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	31	93¢	$29	0x0c2885…
05-29 09:26:52	Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xc8f634…
05-29 09:26:51	Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	28	90¢	$26	0xcf892c…
05-28 22:01:29	Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0xd26e8b…
05-28 22:01:29	Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x6275f2…
05-28 21:49:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x589c8d…
05-28 20:10:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	29	92¢	$26	0x28d6c9…
05-28 20:04:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$9	0x699f33…
05-28 19:23:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x5ca053…
05-28 16:24:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 28?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x7fae30…
05-28 16:18:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 28?	No	SELL	70	94¢	$66	0xa0127e…
05-28 16:15:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 28?	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0xfd9876…
05-28 13:36:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x36e526…
05-28 04:06:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	23	31¢	$7	0x991410…
05-28 03:47:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 27?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$29	0x098569…
05-27 21:40:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x315b7a…
05-27 17:56:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x9fe311…
05-27 14:32:27	Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xd1dda2…
05-27 13:38:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$27	0xccacc9…
05-26 22:48:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x8ae01d…
05-26 15:39:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	51	88¢	$45	0x6a7332…
05-26 14:32:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	31	91¢	$28	0x29420e…
05-26 13:48:45	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	26	94¢	$24	0x70ef15…
05-26 02:12:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	58	79¢	$46	0xdeae51…
05-26 00:43:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0x171235…
05-25 16:31:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$11	0xad7f2c…
05-25 13:53:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	60	90¢	$54	0xfddaf2…
05-25 12:46:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xc4f842…
05-25 11:59:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x695a72…
05-25 11:58:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0xfa2490…
05-24 22:01:38	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x766874…
05-24 22:01:38	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	65	93¢	$61	0x152ed0…
05-24 21:40:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	4	86¢	$4	0xb65c34…
05-24 21:37:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xbd49ba…
05-24 18:43:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0x1a0e06…
05-24 16:04:58	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	38	88¢	$33	0xa9d65f…
05-23 20:58:32	Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x965cf1…
05-23 20:55:30	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0xb5840c…
05-23 20:53:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 24?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$29	0x0b396d…
05-23 18:18:02	Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	38	93¢	$35	0xb70ac6…
05-23 16:37:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0xf5cbda…
05-23 16:25:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0xafeadc…
05-23 16:22:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0x52217a…
05-23 16:05:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?	No	SELL	219	64¢	$140	0xaed252…
05-23 13:06:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	35	89¢	$31	0x2ee048…
05-23 12:32:37	Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x3474e8…
05-23 12:23:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x6f04ca…
05-23 08:58:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0x0f7c7f…
05-23 08:50:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	32	90¢	$29	0xd05a61…
05-23 08:07:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23?	Yes	SELL	91	2¢	$2	0xdd0824…
05-23 08:07:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 24?	Yes	SELL	150	70¢	$105	0xccb38d…
05-23 08:07:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	Yes	SELL	180	65¢	$117	0xf9cce8…
05-23 07:05:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	150	94¢	$142	0xd6f0b1…
05-23 06:16:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	180	92¢	$165	0x5edf56…
05-23 00:41:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xfd6a0e…
05-22 23:12:38	Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 22?	No	BUY	33	87¢	$29	0x07b664…