Bubbly-Optimal — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$4

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

53.8%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

2,255 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$25

$14.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$135

15 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 11-05 16:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 206 days

Categories

Other

97% 85% -$63

Sports

2% 82% -$10

Crypto

1% 59% -$7

Politics

0% 100% +$4

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?	No		+41	$40	98¢	$40	+$0	10-31 13:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November?	No		+33	$30	94¢	$31	+$1	10-31 13:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?	No		+21	$20	96¢	$20	+$0	10-30 08:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in November?	No		+5	$5	94¢	$5	+$0	11-05 13:31
Will Song Yadong fight Petr Yan next?	Yes	—	+10	$0	50¢	$5	+$5	09-06 04:32
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No		+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	08-12 06:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in November?	No		+5	$5	93¢	$5	$0	11-05 16:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	No		+5	$4	91¢	$5	+$1	10-31 13:07
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in November?	No		+4	$4	95¢	$4	$0	11-05 16:39
will spider man die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259199	No		+10	$7	35¢	$4	-$3	08-06 08:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in November?	No		+6	$5	64¢	$4	-$1	10-31 13:05
Tom Holland as Spider-Man?	Yes		+7	$4	43¢	$3	-$1	08-27 13:34
Will Natus Vincere Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026?	No		+2	$2	92¢	$2	+$0	11-05 16:30
next white house press secretary announced by december 31 2026	Yes		+2	$2	64¢	$2	$0	10-17 10:28
Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?	Yes		+8	$7	16¢	$1	-$6	09-25 14:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 27?	10	$229	130	130	+0	No	-$20	04-26 15:49
will usd fall to 16000 indonesian rupiah by june 30	7	$162	108	57	+50	No	+$2	06-29 04:14
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 8?	8	$126	90	90	+0	No	+$6	08-07 09:49
highest temperature in seoul on march 11 2026 5c	2	$93	48	48	+0	No	-$1	03-10 12:26
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 27?	14	$84	66	65	+1	No	-$4	04-26 19:01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C or below on April 26?	3	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	04-25 04:55
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-09?	9	$70	71	0	+71	Yes	+$1	05-09 17:20
cs2 g2 nip 2026 03 05 game1	3	$67	39	39	+0	G2	-$4	03-05 15:50
will usd reach 19000 indonesian rupiah by june 30	4	$58	66	0	+66	No	+$8	06-16 05:21
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on May 7?	2	$56	56	0	+56	No	+$0	05-05 07:49
dota2 vg flc 2026 03 10	3	$56	45	24	+20	Vici Gaming	-$4	03-10 13:11
lol t1a nsea 2026 03 03	2	$55	28	28	+0	Nongshim Esports Academy	+$1	03-03 11:50
dota2 aur1 heroic 2026 03 08 game1	4	$53	36	36	+0	Heroic	+$3	03-08 14:04
will usd fall to 16500 indonesian rupiah by june 30	4	$52	65	0	+65	No	+$13	06-22 05:52
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on June 26?	2	$52	52	0	+52	No	+$0	06-25 04:36
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 31?	3	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-30 07:21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 25?	2	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-23 12:40
Will Alexander Grischuk win Titled Tuesday on September 1?	2	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	09-01 17:16
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	3	$50	51	0	+51	No	+$1	07-04 17:52
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 6corbelow	2	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-03 15:19
fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team total home 1pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	Under	+$0	07-04 19:01
dota2 yes tr7 2026 08 02	3	$50	50	0	+50	Team Resilience	+$0	08-02 13:59
dota2 gl flc 2026 07 09 game2	3	$48	48	0	+48	Team Falcons	+$0	07-09 11:54
will wti reach 120 in july 2026	2	$45	46	0	+46	No	+$1	07-23 12:35
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-05-09?	3	$45	45	0	+45	Yes	+$0	05-09 09:11
cs2 sfe tl1 2026 03 03	2	$45	25	25	+0	Liquid	+$5	03-03 16:43
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 5?	4	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$1	06-05 02:03
highest temperature in seoul on march 7 2026 3c	2	$44	24	24	+0	No	+$4	03-07 04:47
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 15?	3	$43	43	0	+43	No	+$0	05-13 03:30
dota2 ngx liquid 2026 07 09 game2	5	$43	44	0	+44	Nigma Galaxy	+$1	07-09 14:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 16:39:34	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in November?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xe1be1a…
11-05 16:36:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in November?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x549403…
11-05 16:30:27	Will Natus Vincere Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xe34f56…
11-05 16:24:22	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner	GamerLegion	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xe2ae0f…
11-05 16:23:54	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner	GamerLegion	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x74e054…
11-05 14:51:04	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner	GamerLegion	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x667468…
11-05 13:31:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in November?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf3ae73…
11-04 03:31:03	Buffalo vs. Miami (OH)	Miami (OH)	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xc70a77…
11-03 15:58:03	Will Pranav Venkatesh finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on November 3?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x4c4621…
11-02 13:08:16	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Adithya Karunaratne	Xinyu Wang	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7dbf3d…
11-02 12:55:45	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Adithya Karunaratne	Xinyu Wang	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xcd67ed…
11-02 12:54:04	Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	SELL	4	91¢	$3	0xbd210d…
11-02 02:02:10	Will Pranesh Munirethinam finish in the Top 5 of Titled Tuesday on November 3?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x9d6b81…
11-02 02:01:18	Will Pranesh Munirethinam finish in the Top 3 of Titled Tuesday on November 3?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xdd04aa…
11-02 02:00:22	Will Aravindh Chithambaram finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on November 3?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x519a42…
11-02 01:59:55	Will Pranesh Munirethinam finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on November 3?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xbc27a6…
11-02 01:54:07	Will Dmitry Andreikin win Titled Tuesday on November 3?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x241308…
10-31 13:08:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xbc9291…
10-31 13:07:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x001b29…
10-31 13:05:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in November?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x08abc6…
10-31 13:04:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x3ca48a…
10-30 08:21:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x53ef5e…
10-30 08:20:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xfd3f42…
10-30 08:20:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xdc6655…
10-26 22:10:53	Will Javokhir Sindarov finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x2b6666…
10-26 17:48:33	Will Hikaru Nakamura finish in the Top 5 of Titled Tuesday on October 27?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x156894…
10-26 17:47:18	Will Hikaru Nakamura finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on October 27?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x7d9210…
10-24 12:26:45	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG - Game 1 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1abf3a…
10-24 11:23:15	Will Fabiano Caruana finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x9343ab…
10-24 11:22:20	Will Fabiano Caruana finish in the Top 5 of Titled Tuesday on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xd6b7db…
10-22 14:32:33	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x291443…
10-22 14:31:36	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x23e46e…
10-22 14:30:59	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5e5a26…
10-22 14:29:39	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3d3acd…
10-22 14:28:57	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbdd3a9…
10-21 03:43:02	Red Wings vs. Kraken	Kraken	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x98e8db…
10-21 03:42:42	Japan Women's Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x033026…
10-20 04:50:38	Will Vladislav Artemiev finish in the Top 5 of Titled Tuesday on October 20?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x1fd7b9…
10-19 14:34:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x369b34…
10-19 14:34:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x590229…
10-18 06:51:26	Paris curfew by October 19?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2d9f20…
10-17 15:08:27	Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x86e06b…
10-17 15:06:30	Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xde2b2a…
10-17 15:04:56	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xb17cbe…
10-17 15:03:29	Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xe5179c…
10-17 13:32:53	Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x789ea4…
10-17 13:28:41	Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)	Chelsea FC	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1abb6f…
10-17 13:25:54	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xdcbc9f…
10-17 13:24:53	Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x13bcd6…
10-17 13:24:09	Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x4b7a94…
10-17 13:21:53	Will Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xfeba1d…
10-17 13:00:51	Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8ecb78…
10-17 13:00:35	Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xc1b6f9…
10-17 13:00:14	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xea462a…
10-17 12:53:45	dota2 rb1 xe 2026 10 17	Royal Bear	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfc4d1e…
10-17 10:42:18	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x7720f9…
10-17 10:30:30	Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xabf25f…
10-17 10:28:06	next white house press secretary announced by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x614dc2…
10-17 10:27:59	next white house press secretary announced by october 31 2026	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x897af1…
10-17 10:25:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in October?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x1c937c…
10-17 10:24:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x3c2184…
10-16 07:03:52	will the odyssey be nominated for best costume design at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	No	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x28d98a…
10-15 12:07:44	will sense and sensibility be nominated for best costume design at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	No	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x247ad2…
10-15 12:04:35	Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0x029fef…
10-15 12:04:23	Will "Werwulf" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x468bbf…
10-15 12:02:52	will the odyssey be nominated for best costume design at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xd57ade…
10-15 12:02:46	will sense and sensibility be nominated for best costume design at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xec96ea…
10-15 12:01:04	Will "Werwulf" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x790b61…
10-15 12:00:47	Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x884fec…
10-13 07:35:32	dota2 yb1 zenith 2026 10 13	Yakult Brothers	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x50dbc9…
10-10 06:18:55	Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win Titled Tuesday on October 13?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe4f488…
10-05 07:26:46	Will November be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	No	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0xc3a3bd…
10-02 16:30:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2?	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x9d29ab…
10-02 16:29:30	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 2?	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x86c441…
10-02 16:28:39	SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down on October 2?	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbec6e1…
10-02 16:28:08	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 2?	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf6a620…
10-02 16:22:23	Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xd92863…
10-02 15:03:45	Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner	1win	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x347a1d…
10-02 14:55:32	Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner	1win	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x267b3a…
10-01 15:00:53	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x9d8992…
10-01 07:33:06	will wti reach 115 in october 2026	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x26c248…
10-01 07:31:56	will wti reach 110 in october 2026	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x0124b4…
10-01 07:30:44	will wti reach 130 in october 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf58f2e…
10-01 07:29:35	will wti reach 120 in october 2026	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xb397b7…
10-01 06:38:11	wta ito birrell 2026 09 29	Kimberly Birrell	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb7823f…
10-01 06:26:23	wta ito birrell 2026 09 29	Kimberly Birrell	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1ee132…
09-30 17:54:02	dota2 lvlup1 xtreme 2026 09 30 game1	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xe62e93…
09-27 14:46:05	dota2 ty navi 2026 09 27 game2	Natus Vincere	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xb71e18…
09-27 14:40:14	dota2 ty navi 2026 09 27 game2	Natus Vincere	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x14597f…
09-27 11:59:20	will wti dip to 65 in october 2026	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x027e3c…
09-27 11:58:30	will wti reach 115 in october 2026	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x9decfc…
09-27 11:57:56	will wti dip to 65 in october 2026	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x35ada6…
09-27 11:40:33	dota2 lgd navi 2026 09 27	Natus Vincere	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x6e45d5…
09-27 11:26:56	dota2 lgd navi 2026 09 27	Natus Vincere	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xe63f9a…
09-25 14:03:42	Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xa3256f…
09-24 12:12:24	dota2 navi lgd 2026 09 24	Natus Vincere	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x04c713…
09-24 09:59:26	dota2 navi lgd 2026 09 24 game1	LGD Gaming	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x2c75bf…
09-24 09:04:05	dota2 xtreme nem 2026 09 24	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x74d639…
09-24 04:56:08	San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	San Diego Padres	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x72e378…
09-23 17:15:23	wti up or down on september 23 2026	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x7bad4c…