Realized P&L
+$19
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
64.4%
Resolved
229
Trades
490
lifetime
Volume
$1.56K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$99
16 positions
First seen
2026-07-14
last 10-30 13:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Other
80% 56% +$40
Politics
15% 50% -$15
Sports
2% 38% -$4
Crypto
2% 33% -$5
Tech
1% 100% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +14 $11 96¢ $13 +$2 10-24 00:49
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +16 $10 71¢ $12 +$1 10-17 06:34
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +17 $10 67¢ $12 +$1 10-20 09:05
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $10 74¢ $10 $0 10-19 19:38
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +27 $9 31¢ $8 $0 10-29 04:02
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +29 $9 28¢ $8 -$1 10-17 06:35
will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026 No +9 $7 93¢ $8 +$1 07-25 20:54
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date No +8 $5 90¢ $7 +$2 07-20 09:39
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +8 $5 70¢ $5 +$1 10-20 12:22
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +5 $4 98¢ $5 +$1 10-27 02:47
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 10-28 01:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +2 $1 100¢ $2 +$1 10-30 08:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? No +3 $2 45¢ $1 -$1 10-30 14:09
will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637 No +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 07-21 08:51
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $2 11¢ $1 -$1 07-27 23:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 10-29 13:51