Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
27.2%
Resolved
2
Trades
374
lifetime
Volume
$658
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$18
4 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 06-14 22:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
99% 50% $-2
Other
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +71 $8 18¢ $13 +$5 06-13 04:24
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -3 $-2 84¢ $-2 $-0 06-12 12:32
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -3 $-2 84¢ $-2 +$0 06-12 12:32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -3 $-1 15¢ $-0 +$1 06-12 19:57