Medium-Curtain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$35

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.2%

Resolved

Trades

310

lifetime

Volume

$1.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 07-01 02:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

42% 57% $-0

Crypto

40% 51% +$34

Politics

18% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	12	$76	60	60	+0	No	+$0	05-05 12:02
dota2 liquid bb4 2026 04 19	10	$72	63	63	+1	open	—	04-19 11:20
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	6	$65	60	60	+0	open	—	05-05 12:01
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$48	50	50	+0	No	$-0	05-05 04:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	3	$41	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 13:15
dota2 ts8 flc 2026 04 19	3	$29	38	16	+22	open	—	04-19 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	3	$24	13	13	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 13:25
btc updown 5m 1776645000	3	$23	33	8	+25	open	—	04-20 00:34
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	06-30 01:51
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$22	29	0	+29	open	—	02-27 13:54
Will Hannover 96 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	2	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	05-05 12:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	4	$19	17	17	+0	Down	+$13	05-06 03:40
dota2 lynx 1win 2026 04 19	2	$19	22	21	+0	open	—	04-19 13:09
dota2 ty sar1 2026 04 19 game2	2	$19	36	35	+1	open	—	04-19 14:48
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 7?	5	$18	45	10	+35	Up	$-3	05-07 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-09 12:24
dota2 mouz gl 2026 04 19 game2	2	$15	12	12	+0	open	—	04-19 12:04
dota2 vg navi 2026 04 19	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-19 10:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$14	9	9	+0	No	+$0	05-07 15:36
dota2 liquid vg 2026 04 20	7	$13	20	16	+3	open	—	04-20 10:01
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 8?	4	$12	9	9	+0	Down	+$6	05-08 22:57
dota2 tundra vp 2026 04 19	2	$12	15	15	+0	open	—	04-19 17:53
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	07-01 02:32
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	05-07 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$11	23	0	+23	Up	$-11	05-09 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$11	12	0	+12	Up	$-1	05-06 13:34
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	05-04 15:25
dota2 liquid bb4 2026 04 19 game2	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	04-19 11:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-06 12:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 02:32:07	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x1babbf…
07-01 00:57:14	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x883e5e…
06-30 04:26:44	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1ee6c6…
06-30 01:51:13	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0xbd98e9…
06-29 23:45:38	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xf8937b…
06-29 22:06:11	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe93091…
06-28 12:46:50	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xe85afa…
06-28 01:14:34	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xb6c95a…
06-28 01:12:10	fifwc cdr uzb 2026 06 27 team total away 0pt5	Over	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xaa6867…
06-28 01:10:38	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 btts	Yes	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0xf61042…
06-28 00:11:25	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 btts	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4507ea…
06-27 13:08:47	fifwc hrv gha 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xef7f5b…
06-27 09:52:08	fifwc cdr uzb 2026 06 27 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xd81988…
06-26 09:33:28	dota2 navi mouz 2026 06 26 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x86ac1c…
06-26 09:14:17	fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 spread home 1pt5	Senegal	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x99c491…
06-26 01:28:52	btc updown 5m 1782437100	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0f59a6…
06-23 13:32:17	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x50fc5e…
06-23 13:31:23	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x611d28…
06-23 13:29:53	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x3d4aed…
05-18 18:43:37	Counter-Strike: ZOTIX vs ReThink (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season	ZOTIX	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x955970…
05-18 18:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd2b7df…
05-18 18:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4fc3c8…
05-18 18:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x278ae4…
05-18 18:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb3e81c…
05-18 18:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0f0278…
05-18 18:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xaaa7cb…
05-18 18:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x703ba3…
05-18 18:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf9e1db…
05-15 15:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x58026d…
05-15 15:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x37b984…
05-15 14:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6b4b43…
05-15 14:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe1f5d9…
05-15 14:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x78b5e2…
05-15 14:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xfed449…
05-15 14:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x187dd9…
05-15 14:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8c6425…
05-09 22:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x981095…
05-09 14:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x820811…
05-09 14:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe6c95b…
05-09 14:08:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	36¢	$1	0xffdbe7…
05-09 14:05:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x7b6578…
05-09 14:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa0a083…
05-09 13:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5a0754…
05-09 12:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4f6689…
05-09 12:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x30f3d9…
05-09 12:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe3d3b5…
05-09 12:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xffdf0b…
05-09 12:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xc39f3e…
05-09 12:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5ff447…
05-09 12:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xf73727…
05-09 12:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9b8537…
05-09 12:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xeb4d5d…
05-09 12:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x326b45…
05-09 12:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x2e580f…
05-09 12:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa77d36…
05-09 10:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb5e4b3…
05-09 10:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x0e73aa…
05-09 10:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xaaefd7…
05-09 10:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8ad4eb…
05-09 10:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0739aa…
05-09 10:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x57510b…
05-09 10:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x079047…
05-09 09:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x15b90d…
05-09 09:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xbf9693…
05-09 09:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x87a640…
05-09 09:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xcd299e…
05-09 09:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0x598128…
05-09 09:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x082574…
05-09 09:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x6fdf6e…
05-09 09:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x68d94b…
05-09 09:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf5a048…
05-09 09:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa77a76…
05-09 09:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x605f3c…
05-09 09:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x266194…
05-09 09:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x379c5e…
05-09 09:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbef449…
05-09 08:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9572db…
05-09 08:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb9970e…
05-08 22:57:24	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xed5873…
05-08 16:09:06	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x78676b…
05-08 16:02:45	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x3368d0…
05-08 16:01:35	Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x166176…
05-08 14:47:38	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc34f4e…
05-08 14:46:56	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x5e24d5…
05-08 14:07:51	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	SELL	83	1¢	$1	0x3497d6…
05-08 13:36:03	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	SELL	19	6¢	$1	0x5a1afa…
05-08 11:51:57	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x73702b…
05-08 06:40:13	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4df0a5…
05-07 16:20:14	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	29	8¢	$2	0xf0371f…
05-07 16:08:48	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x1211c9…
05-07 15:36:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	9	83¢	$7	0x5643d6…
05-07 14:39:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0xff4ff9…
05-07 14:35:53	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	10	75¢	$7	0x76ad47…
05-07 14:30:50	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x469215…
05-07 14:07:32	Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe51463…
05-07 14:06:44	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xf0d74f…
05-07 12:44:05	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xea0e96…
05-07 12:35:22	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xbfcb22…
05-07 01:57:41	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x235d60…
05-06 22:45:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xc58528…