(anonymous) 0xc13540…ee21b0
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Realized P&L
-$163
Unrealized P&L
+$80
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
5
Trades
555
lifetime
Volume
$91.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$165
Open exposure
$677
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-09 20:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
68% 0% $-140
Other
27% 0% $-6
Crypto
5% 0% $-17
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +400 $278 80¢ $322 +$44 06-09 13:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +200 $148 84¢ $169 +$21 06-03 23:00
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No +59 $49 90¢ $53 +$3 06-04 09:50
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes +100 $49 52¢ $52 +$4 06-08 08:30
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? Yes +100 $30 33¢ $33 +$3 06-05 02:25
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $20 26¢ $26 +$6 06-09 20:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +100 $15 18¢ $18 +$2 06-05 22:00
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting? Yes +500 $7 1¢ $4 $-4 06-05 15:32