Pastel-Mark — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$11

Unrealized P&L

-$23

Hit rate

57.9%

Resolved (30d)

144

Trades (30d)

342

2,963 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$3.76K

$32.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$56

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 11-02 23:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 201 days

Categories

Other

79% 53% -$236

Crypto

18% 57% +$23

Sports

3% 50% +$181

Politics

1% 26% -$87

Tech

0% 75% -$3

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	+36	$22	54¢	$19	-$3	11-02 11:29
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	+43	$23	43¢	$19	-$4	11-02 22:40
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	+45	$28	30¢	$14	-$14	11-02 22:40
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	+50	$5	8¢	$4	-$1	11-02 23:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	4	$800	401	401	+0	No	$0	01-11 00:59
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 380 399	33	$796	710	710	+0	No	-$9	03-12 13:24
will ethereum reach 3400 in january 2026	2	$771	647	647	+0	Yes	-$29	01-11 00:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 09:00 UTC	18	$592	300	1,078	-778	Up	-$47	03-08 09:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 10:00 UTC	10	$539	500	500	+0	Up	+$19	03-01 10:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 04:15 UTC	68	$337	700	600	+100	Up	+$103	03-01 04:26
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	20	$317	531	531	+0	No	+$42	05-22 07:15
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	10	$311	400	400	+0	Yes	+$55	03-17 12:36
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 360 379	16	$282	420	420	+0	No	+$13	03-17 02:44
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 280 299	25	$277	979	849	+130	No	-$12	04-17 01:20
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	32	$266	814	805	+9	Yes	+$67	04-07 06:57
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	15	$253	974	878	+96	Yes	+$53	04-14 13:00
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 140 164	8	$252	250	250	+0	No	+$22	03-11 14:54
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	8	$241	500	495	+5	No	+$107	04-07 13:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 04:45 UTC	22	$236	300	100	+200	Down	+$4	03-01 04:52
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	12	$231	523	501	+23	Yes	+$130	04-28 15:08
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 260 279	11	$209	1,002	322	+680	No	-$93	04-13 01:12
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	3	$203	102	102	+0	No	+$0	03-01 12:25
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	7	$199	600	600	+0	No	-$59	03-17 11:55
USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	7	$198	100	100	+0	No	+$0	02-19 15:35
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?	6	$197	100	100	+0	No	+$0	02-18 17:15
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	11	$197	100	100	+0	No	+$0	03-06 02:45
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	5	$193	100	100	+0	No	+$0	02-12 01:15
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	14	$193	200	200	+0	Yes	-$1	03-13 09:24
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	9	$175	682	696	-14	No	+$5	04-01 12:31
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 320 339	18	$166	868	892	-24	No	-$37	04-07 06:27
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 260 279	54	$165	600	600	+0	No	+$15	04-10 14:35
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	15	$163	445	445	+0	No	-$5	05-20 14:16
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	7	$158	336	336	+0	Yes	-$21	05-22 07:13
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	10	$155	341	341	+0	Yes	+$0	05-15 11:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 23:48:55	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	14¢	$8	0x999458…
11-02 23:25:34	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x772926…
11-02 22:40:40	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	34¢	$15	0xecb891…
11-02 22:40:16	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xc45970…
11-02 18:54:33	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	19¢	$11	0xd8a312…
11-02 12:02:48	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	SELL	11	63¢	$7	0x728c0c…
11-02 11:29:25	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	36	61¢	$22	0xce9fc5…
11-02 10:47:36	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x66196e…
11-02 10:47:21	Will FC København win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x302d58…
11-02 10:47:00	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x14e4fc…
11-01 17:48:19	Nets vs. Pacers: O/U 220.5	Over	BUY	19	70¢	$13	0x0d580e…
11-01 12:54:33	Celtics vs. Magic	Celtics	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xdc8884…
11-01 12:13:48	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01?	No	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x8724fb…
11-01 09:50:24	1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	12	79¢	$9	0x6cf1d3…
11-01 09:48:12	Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x163645…
11-01 08:07:03	1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0x91398c…
11-01 08:06:49	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x51ec32…
11-01 08:04:51	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xeb195e…
10-31 23:25:48	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	7¢	$6	0x0eb366…
10-31 22:57:34	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	3¢	$3	0x640efd…
10-31 22:57:13	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	1¢	$1	0x9bc6c3…
10-31 10:30:49	Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x0192d8…
10-31 10:30:39	FC Augsburg vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x968044…
10-31 10:30:04	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x2b9e75…
10-31 10:25:46	Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x75fad9…
10-31 10:25:33	Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x4152d2…
10-31 06:01:07	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x612547…
10-31 05:46:00	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	9¢	$1	0xe1b832…
10-31 05:05:33	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	6¢	$4	0xdf7b8d…
10-31 02:19:49	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	13¢	$10	0x3d90a9…
10-31 02:17:01	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	16¢	$14	0x27c675…
10-30 03:47:46	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	63	35¢	$22	0x47df3c…
10-30 03:47:37	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	59¢	$41	0xb4441a…
10-29 14:18:43	Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)	Atalanta BC	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0xcb24cd…
10-29 08:11:38	Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-1.5)	CA Paranaense	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x405a4f…
10-29 07:57:16	Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0x5af3c5…
10-29 07:51:08	Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-1.5)	CA Paranaense	BUY	21	82¢	$17	0x2b1bc4…
10-29 07:50:05	Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)	Atalanta BC	BUY	26	79¢	$21	0x8b4cd1…
10-29 07:49:23	Will US Lecce win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x9e8163…
10-29 07:24:52	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x844378…
10-28 13:54:53	Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xb21a8c…
10-28 13:54:40	Will AC Monza win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xf0d003…
10-28 13:53:50	Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x777fcf…
10-28 09:31:50	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	24¢	$15	0x8a0c00…
10-28 07:55:53	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	27¢	$19	0x64a981…
10-28 07:54:05	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x8e3bdb…
10-28 00:45:48	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x68e3c1…
10-27 14:25:05	Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	5	68¢	$4	0xa8642c…
10-27 14:19:27	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	89¢	$36	0xd5e6ef…
10-27 12:55:35	Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x8c9857…
10-27 12:55:33	Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xa0f6c5…
10-27 12:55:33	Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x1713a0…
10-27 12:50:51	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	26¢	$10	0x444bd3…
10-27 11:42:35	US Sassuolo Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	33	67¢	$22	0x52ab8b…
10-27 11:16:11	Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	41	73¢	$30	0x3fedc8…
10-27 11:10:33	Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	18	73¢	$13	0x3777ce…
10-27 11:09:47	Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xdbfd25…
10-27 11:09:08	Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xacdae6…
10-27 11:07:42	Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x13fdf0…
10-27 11:07:23	Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x28081a…
10-27 11:06:54	AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xd6ceb6…
10-27 01:22:53	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0x9720c7…
10-26 14:01:53	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xe9e228…
10-26 10:17:05	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x2d271b…
10-26 06:58:18	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x8998cc…
10-26 06:40:42	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	22	71¢	$16	0x6bf5ac…
10-26 06:38:50	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x8570e3…
10-26 06:38:38	CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	35	77¢	$27	0x0d0b5f…
10-26 06:38:18	Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	35	79¢	$28	0x19cdfa…
10-26 04:51:00	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xc7a334…
10-26 04:48:44	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x8b7062…
10-26 04:09:08	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x33647b…
10-26 02:41:15	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	24¢	$2	0xa34ac4…
10-26 02:14:15	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	24¢	$5	0x76a0a7…
10-26 01:49:23	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xe7fd63…
10-25 15:28:30	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xd245d4…
10-25 14:03:50	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	13¢	$5	0xe28b16…
10-25 09:37:57	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xc0288e…
10-25 09:34:54	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	15¢	$6	0xc9c19f…
10-25 09:17:57	Will US Lecce win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	24	86¢	$21	0xbe7391…
10-25 09:16:24	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x2d2500…
10-24 14:33:06	RB Leipzig vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	12	30¢	$3	0x77b8e4…
10-24 14:10:39	RB Leipzig vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	23	38¢	$9	0xe65e2e…
10-24 12:34:14	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x3ac63e…
10-24 12:33:59	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x5ac820…
10-24 08:44:06	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe76b61…
10-24 08:02:15	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xbde1b7…
10-24 08:01:30	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x17a14f…
10-24 08:00:54	RB Leipzig vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	35	77¢	$27	0x73ec7e…
10-24 01:44:54	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	13¢	$4	0xe55c65…
10-24 01:44:41	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x30a89c…
10-24 01:44:30	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xed028e…
10-23 13:20:24	Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x0618ac…
10-23 11:19:05	VfB Stuttgart vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x1589e6…
10-23 06:40:05	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xa41223…
10-23 05:44:47	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xd8e1e9…
10-23 05:06:45	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	36¢	$15	0x38f9e0…
10-23 02:04:15	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	38¢	$11	0x87b1c2…
10-22 23:59:42	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0xaf481d…
10-22 23:56:42	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	44¢	$5	0xcc8458…