Pastel-Mark — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$45

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

79.3%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

3,064 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$190

$33.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 11-13 02:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 212 days

Categories

Other

79% 53% -$107

Crypto

17% 57% +$23

Sports

3% 52% +$175

Politics

1% 32% -$76

Tech

0% 75% -$3

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes		+21	$10	22¢	$5	-$5	11-13 01:00
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes		+30	$3	3¢	$1	-$2	11-13 01:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	4	$800	401	401	+0	No	$0	01-11 00:59
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 380 399	33	$796	710	710	+0	No	-$9	03-12 13:24
will ethereum reach 3400 in january 2026	2	$771	647	647	+0	Yes	-$29	01-11 00:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 09:00 UTC	18	$592	300	1,078	-778	Up	-$47	03-08 09:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 10:00 UTC	10	$539	500	500	+0	Up	+$19	03-01 10:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 04:15 UTC	68	$337	700	600	+100	Up	+$103	03-01 04:26
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	20	$317	531	531	+0	No	+$42	05-22 07:15
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	10	$311	400	400	+0	Yes	+$55	03-17 12:36
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 360 379	16	$282	420	420	+0	No	+$13	03-17 02:44
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 280 299	25	$277	979	849	+130	No	-$12	04-17 01:20
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	32	$266	814	805	+9	Yes	+$67	04-07 06:57
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	15	$253	974	878	+96	Yes	+$53	04-14 13:00
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 140 164	8	$252	250	250	+0	No	+$22	03-11 14:54
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	8	$241	500	495	+5	No	+$107	04-07 13:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 04:45 UTC	22	$236	300	100	+200	Down	+$4	03-01 04:52
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	12	$231	523	501	+23	Yes	+$130	04-28 15:08
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 260 279	11	$209	1,002	322	+680	No	-$93	04-13 01:12
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	3	$203	102	102	+0	No	+$0	03-01 12:25
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	7	$199	600	600	+0	No	-$59	03-17 11:55
USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	7	$198	100	100	+0	No	+$0	02-19 15:35
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?	6	$197	100	100	+0	No	+$0	02-18 17:15
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	11	$197	100	100	+0	No	+$0	03-06 02:45
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	5	$193	100	100	+0	No	+$0	02-12 01:15
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	14	$193	200	200	+0	Yes	-$1	03-13 09:24
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	9	$175	682	696	-14	No	+$5	04-01 12:31
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 320 339	18	$166	868	892	-24	No	-$37	04-07 06:27
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 260 279	54	$165	600	600	+0	No	+$15	04-10 14:35
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	15	$163	445	445	+0	No	-$5	05-20 14:16
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	7	$158	336	336	+0	Yes	-$21	05-22 07:13
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	10	$155	341	341	+0	Yes	+$0	05-15 11:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 02:26:16	Mavericks vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x169618…
11-13 02:23:57	Pistons vs. Wizards	Pistons	SELL	12	76¢	$9	0x29b8d1…
11-13 01:47:30	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$3	0x759c3f…
11-13 01:02:03	Pistons vs. Wizards	Pistons	SELL	12	72¢	$9	0x509b11…
11-13 01:00:24	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x8c2c78…
11-12 14:14:34	Will Montenegro win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x3ff93a…
11-12 13:02:25	Pistons vs. Wizards	Pistons	BUY	24	79¢	$19	0xe7fc4f…
11-12 13:00:06	Mavericks vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x4ef023…
11-12 12:59:24	Will Belgium win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x5052ef…
11-12 12:58:54	Will England win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x3875ca…
11-12 12:58:43	Will Montenegro win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	36	77¢	$28	0xab23a6…
11-12 02:28:39	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	SELL	22	34¢	$8	0x688528…
11-12 02:19:03	Nets vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	SELL	42	12¢	$5	0xf719d5…
11-11 08:38:39	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	22	63¢	$14	0x29612b…
11-11 08:38:24	Nets vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	42	64¢	$27	0x5498f1…
11-10 14:21:57	Heat vs. Jazz	Heat	BUY	24	76¢	$18	0x37bb3b…
11-10 14:16:45	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xe28ed5…
11-10 14:14:54	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	57¢	$29	0xb9c891…
11-10 12:09:49	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xbd5948…
11-10 04:17:39	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x601851…
11-10 04:16:27	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x1fd8c3…
11-10 04:14:57	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xd48f41…
11-10 04:13:42	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x6b0a71…
11-10 04:12:12	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xea78eb…
11-10 04:11:27	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x11b93c…
11-10 04:10:12	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x696fb7…
11-10 04:08:57	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x80f35c…
11-10 04:07:27	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x55ad29…
11-10 03:10:16	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	14¢	$6	0xdf0d1f…
11-10 03:10:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0xf32881…
11-09 23:00:16	Wizards vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	12	79¢	$9	0xb0735a…
11-09 22:19:37	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	14¢	$3	0x0be70c…
11-09 13:47:28	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	42¢	$10	0xa63572…
11-09 11:05:33	Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-11-09?	Yes	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0x9b17cc…
11-09 11:04:54	Pelicans vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x17ffa2…
11-09 05:42:15	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xeda32d…
11-09 03:59:37	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	39¢	$19	0x460ca2…
11-09 03:58:49	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xc8efba…
11-09 03:12:15	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xa403ba…
11-09 03:11:37	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	25¢	$10	0xd8063e…
11-09 02:19:18	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x1754de…
11-09 02:18:19	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xa62139…
11-09 02:13:49	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x94d5cc…
11-09 02:11:49	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x5700e6…
11-09 02:11:25	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x26b5fc…
11-09 02:10:04	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x73e13e…
11-09 02:08:34	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xef6147…
11-09 02:07:19	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xe11072…
11-08 12:22:25	Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x2a5367…
11-08 12:22:16	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?	No	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xfc1f5f…
11-08 12:22:04	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x6bdce9…
11-08 12:21:54	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xf3707c…
11-08 12:21:43	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x0e67a2…
11-07 11:42:07	Wizards vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x3abc0e…
11-07 11:42:00	Magic vs. Warriors	Warriors	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x8aad26…
11-07 11:39:37	Magic vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x56f09d…
11-07 08:21:24	Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x8768e1…
11-07 08:21:04	Will US Lecce win on 2026-11-07?	No	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x95415a…
11-07 08:20:43	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0xa58ac1…
11-07 08:20:25	Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x9cab8d…
11-06 14:14:48	Will Everton FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5d8541…
11-06 12:54:22	Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0x0513e4…
11-06 12:09:09	Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x9f7064…
11-06 12:08:39	Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xd8f032…
11-06 12:08:15	Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-11-06?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xed7dbf…
11-06 12:07:39	Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	39	57¢	$22	0x78a884…
11-06 07:07:12	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	22¢	$7	0x5e5ef8…
11-06 07:07:01	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	67¢	$23	0xc1c788…
11-06 02:13:09	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x5f8998…
11-05 23:46:43	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	5¢	$2	0x55f700…
11-05 14:06:37	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x5eb00a…
11-05 14:05:07	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xd503cd…
11-05 14:04:45	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x6d6ea7…
11-05 14:04:34	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0xc45fd8…
11-05 12:46:33	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x430730…
11-05 12:46:09	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	34¢	$19	0xdc7a19…
11-05 12:45:45	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0x7094d5…
11-04 13:58:18	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xff1136…
11-04 13:58:04	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x6a4a3b…
11-04 13:57:49	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x1647d4…
11-04 13:57:37	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x2e57f2…
11-03 14:45:24	Will Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb3dfe5…
11-03 14:36:12	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	56¢	$25	0x03c314…
11-03 14:30:13	Will IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc56753…
11-03 13:50:06	Will IK Sirius win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	SELL	12	74¢	$9	0x1c4821…
11-03 13:01:10	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x3126a1…
11-03 12:03:51	Will IK Sirius win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xef9ab0…
11-03 11:40:37	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	25	71¢	$18	0xa89836…
11-03 11:40:24	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0x9840e0…
11-03 11:40:09	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x635080…
11-03 11:40:00	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x2bb590…
11-03 11:39:42	Will IK Sirius win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x46a5c6…
11-03 07:03:15	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0x376a74…
11-03 06:28:42	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	28¢	$12	0xd4ae6b…
11-03 03:26:43	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x771320…
11-03 02:34:03	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6c266e…
11-03 02:29:12	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	SELL	36	16¢	$6	0x21d8c2…
11-03 02:04:18	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x114726…
11-03 02:04:12	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x6e66b5…
11-03 02:02:40	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x874af9…