Inborn-Shorts — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.10K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

5,654

lifetime

Volume

$7.55M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.33K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 08-12 16:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

73% 100% +$6,104

Other

27% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 628 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	293	$691.5K	452,365	452,365	+0	open	—	05-23 19:09
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	64	$341.9K	188,521	158,759	+29,763	open	—	04-29 05:41
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	186	$293.3K	331,484	0	+331,484	open	—	04-22 09:05
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	33	$254.0K	281,996	0	+281,996	open	—	06-15 15:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	149	$251.4K	292,004	200,000	+92,004	open	—	04-28 02:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	27	$243.6K	152,285	100,000	+52,285	No	+$2,723	05-10 18:37
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	64	$229.5K	195,686	134,849	+60,837	open	—	05-26 18:55
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	81	$227.4K	117,352	118,167	-815	open	—	05-23 13:31
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	172	$184.0K	74,092	124,228	-50,136	open	—	05-26 13:57
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	54	$180.1K	184,769	0	+184,769	open	—	05-01 04:02
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	30	$178.4K	196,075	0	+196,075	open	—	05-29 16:04
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	63	$171.4K	150,068	149,437	+631	open	—	06-15 06:32
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	57	$167.8K	85,760	85,760	+0	open	—	05-19 04:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	26	$148.2K	100,000	50,000	+50,000	open	—	05-15 10:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	50	$139.7K	91,500	91,500	-0	open	—	07-24 17:20
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	699	$137.5K	149,999	0	+149,999	open	—	07-03 10:36
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	32	$128.9K	66,867	66,857	+10	open	—	06-14 13:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	7	$128.6K	131,386	0	+131,386	open	—	07-18 04:32
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	14	$112.2K	112,672	0	+112,672	open	—	07-29 19:40
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	4	$111.3K	58,285	58,285	+0	open	—	05-24 07:14
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	124	$98.3K	90,288	68,428	+21,860	open	—	08-10 16:18
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	76	$97.5K	65,979	51,339	+14,639	open	—	07-31 19:11
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	22	$94.8K	95,193	0	+95,193	open	—	04-24 20:05
israel closes its airspace by june 14	30	$92.4K	95,756	0	+95,756	open	—	06-14 18:49
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	63	$91.7K	92,032	0	+92,032	open	—	04-26 19:23
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	65	$89.9K	91,507	0	+91,507	No	+$1,631	05-08 18:29
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	20	$88.7K	94,990	0	+94,990	open	—	07-14 15:06
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	23	$86.6K	89,957	0	+89,957	open	—	07-25 16:06
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	8	$85.5K	92,386	0	+92,386	open	—	04-20 13:12
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	2	$82.5K	85,054	0	+85,054	open	—	07-25 12:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 16:12:07	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	8	91¢	$8	0xb40422…
08-12 12:53:39	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x70c1b4…
08-12 12:50:55	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xdb17f6…
08-12 12:50:52	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0xfd5505…
08-12 12:21:06	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	379	91¢	$345	0x7cd7f0…
08-11 16:00:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x24c26b…
08-11 15:52:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	68	94¢	$64	0xa2f100…
08-11 14:54:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	543	94¢	$511	0xe02bbf…
08-11 13:43:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x95cb53…
08-11 13:30:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x8515e7…
08-11 13:23:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x5eff4b…
08-11 13:17:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x2932e7…
08-11 11:08:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0xf60205…
08-11 09:56:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x2d31eb…
08-11 09:30:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	820	93¢	$763	0x0ecb27…
08-11 09:18:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9eb962…
08-11 05:07:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	18	93¢	$16	0x992fdb…
08-11 05:07:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x029e0f…
08-11 05:07:07	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0xe2dabe…
08-11 05:07:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xfca556…
08-11 02:05:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$11	0x1b5f68…
08-11 01:56:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9a7b91…
08-11 01:38:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	71	93¢	$66	0x13e1d7…
08-11 01:27:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x51eb32…
08-11 01:18:07	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	71	93¢	$66	0x06b5ba…
08-11 00:58:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	714	93¢	$664	0x8f159f…
08-11 00:47:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0xf224aa…
08-10 23:12:18	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	BUY	500	98¢	$492	0x057778…
08-10 23:06:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	110	94¢	$103	0xc63e43…
08-10 22:50:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	7,000	94¢	$6,580	0x391691…
08-10 22:50:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	7,000	93¢	$6,510	0x1b6f2f…
08-10 22:38:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	156	94¢	$147	0xae27b4…
08-10 22:29:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	400	93¢	$372	0x719a9b…
08-10 22:18:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$4	0x42d454…
08-10 22:15:06	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xe7c7d9…
08-10 21:53:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x335d2d…
08-10 21:36:37	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	BUY	7,992	98¢	$7,864	0x3eadfc…
08-10 21:33:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x74e05e…
08-10 21:28:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x8fbca9…
08-10 21:03:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xe3a3c9…
08-10 19:35:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0x91460a…
08-10 19:30:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	683	93¢	$635	0xa1e11f…
08-10 18:11:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	2,490	94¢	$2,340	0x7143a4…
08-10 17:54:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0xbf3e1f…
08-10 17:34:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x70081c…
08-10 17:04:07	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$11	0x87ac2a…
08-10 16:18:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	464	93¢	$431	0x538f07…
08-10 16:17:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x87899b…
08-10 16:17:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbc0912…
08-10 16:15:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0d82b4…
08-10 16:15:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	5,000	93¢	$4,650	0x431924…
08-10 16:11:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	86	93¢	$80	0x4cfe08…
08-10 16:10:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x87e905…
08-10 16:09:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0xacf751…
08-10 16:02:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xeade6c…
08-10 16:01:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x31d2df…
08-10 16:01:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x899fa8…
08-10 16:01:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x411598…
08-10 16:00:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x67bb8a…
08-10 16:00:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	453	93¢	$421	0xa7b6f2…
08-10 15:59:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x17dea9…
08-10 15:58:46	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	7,475	94¢	$7,026	0xc068fb…
08-10 15:48:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	13,791	93¢	$12,826	0xa22d96…
08-10 15:19:36	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	10,648	87¢	$9,264	0x82ee8b…
08-09 18:07:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	2,147	85¢	$1,825	0x3d4908…
08-09 17:46:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xc2de16…
08-09 17:06:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0x33eb4d…
08-09 16:40:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0xba3678…
08-09 16:35:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	1,462	92¢	$1,346	0xcd0010…
08-09 16:19:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	1,112	92¢	$1,024	0x8500a7…
08-09 16:07:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	300	85¢	$255	0x20af4d…
08-09 16:03:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xdfe56d…
08-09 16:02:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	356	92¢	$327	0xf486d3…
08-09 16:00:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	400	92¢	$368	0x24f60b…
08-09 15:58:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	233	85¢	$198	0xb9b409…
08-09 15:56:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0xb740aa…
08-09 15:54:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	222	85¢	$189	0xb7a5ed…
08-09 15:53:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	1,350	85¢	$1,148	0xb09f40…
08-09 15:50:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	28	85¢	$24	0x32002c…
08-09 15:47:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x17c0e7…
08-09 15:46:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0xc7562a…
08-09 15:45:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	34	85¢	$29	0xd509ca…
08-09 15:45:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	52	85¢	$44	0x4c8735…
08-09 15:45:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	115	85¢	$98	0x8a75bf…
08-09 15:45:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x675243…
08-09 15:45:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	2,032	85¢	$1,727	0xd58f88…
08-09 15:45:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	90	85¢	$76	0xb78554…
08-09 15:45:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	29	85¢	$24	0x2abdeb…
08-09 14:50:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x6036bc…
08-09 14:20:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0xfb98e1…
08-09 13:47:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xe5a1d9…
08-09 13:27:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	9	85¢	$7	0xfc6401…
08-09 13:27:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	1,529	85¢	$1,300	0x0475c0…
08-09 12:39:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0x060ec5…
08-09 12:36:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	67	85¢	$57	0x4aabe2…
08-09 11:53:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x7022de…
08-09 11:34:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x1ee593…
08-09 11:16:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0xe30f9c…
08-09 10:09:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x8ae1db…
08-09 09:22:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0xd7001a…