Inborn-Shorts — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.10K

Unrealized P&L

-$8.99K

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

5,061

lifetime

Volume

$6.52M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.29K

Open exposure

$189.7K

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 07-23 12:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

73% 100% +$6,104

Other

27% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 628 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+131,386	$128,550	99¢	$130.0K	+$1,456	07-18 04:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+79,000	$65,585	70¢	$54.9K	$-10,680	07-19 21:30
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	+45,912	$4,591	11¢	$4.8K	+$230	07-18 12:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	293	$691.5K	452,365	452,365	+0	open	—	05-23 19:09
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	64	$341.9K	188,521	158,759	+29,763	open	—	04-29 05:41
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	186	$293.3K	331,484	0	+331,484	open	—	04-22 09:05
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	33	$254.0K	281,996	0	+281,996	open	—	06-15 15:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	149	$251.4K	292,004	200,000	+92,004	open	—	04-28 02:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	27	$243.6K	152,285	100,000	+52,285	No	+$2,723	05-10 18:37
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	64	$229.5K	195,686	134,849	+60,837	open	—	05-26 18:55
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	81	$227.4K	117,352	118,167	-815	open	—	05-23 13:31
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	172	$184.0K	74,092	124,228	-50,136	open	—	05-26 13:57
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	54	$180.1K	184,769	0	+184,769	open	—	05-01 04:02
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	30	$178.4K	196,075	0	+196,075	open	—	05-29 16:04
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	63	$171.4K	150,068	149,437	+631	open	—	06-15 06:32
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	57	$167.8K	85,760	85,760	+0	open	—	05-19 04:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	26	$148.2K	100,000	50,000	+50,000	open	—	05-15 10:17
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	699	$137.5K	149,999	0	+149,999	open	—	07-03 10:36
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	32	$128.9K	66,867	66,857	+10	open	—	06-14 13:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	7	$128.6K	131,386	0	+131,386	open	—	07-18 04:32
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	4	$111.3K	58,285	58,285	+0	open	—	05-24 07:14
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	22	$94.8K	95,193	0	+95,193	open	—	04-24 20:05
israel closes its airspace by june 14	30	$92.4K	95,756	0	+95,756	open	—	06-14 18:49
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	63	$91.7K	92,032	0	+92,032	open	—	04-26 19:23
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	65	$89.9K	91,507	0	+91,507	No	+$1,631	05-08 18:29
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	20	$88.7K	94,990	0	+94,990	open	—	07-14 15:06
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	8	$85.5K	92,386	0	+92,386	open	—	04-20 13:12
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	73	$83.2K	51,339	51,339	+0	open	—	07-20 07:54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	24	$83.1K	91,500	12,500	+79,000	open	—	07-19 21:30
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	20	$69.3K	75,000	0	+75,000	open	—	07-14 10:40
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	37	$67.5K	70,950	0	+70,950	open	—	07-23 13:26
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	34	$58.3K	29,957	30,307	-350	open	—	05-25 06:01
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	169	$58.2K	81,093	81,093	+0	open	—	05-20 23:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 18:15:48	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	5,207	93¢	$4,842	0x30133d…
07-23 18:15:33	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	334	93¢	$311	0x6bfe7c…
07-23 18:10:28	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x4081ee…
07-23 17:52:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	Yes	BUY	902	85¢	$767	0x59ec70…
07-23 17:52:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	Yes	BUY	942	85¢	$800	0xecbe75…
07-23 17:52:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xb15b27…
07-23 17:52:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	Yes	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0xe81d66…
07-23 17:51:16	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x47c33d…
07-23 17:50:57	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	421	93¢	$392	0x4912b0…
07-23 17:45:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xeeea61…
07-23 17:41:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	Yes	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x5735e5…
07-23 17:38:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	Yes	BUY	67	85¢	$57	0x4ec2bc…
07-23 17:35:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	Yes	BUY	9,600	85¢	$8,160	0xcc55b6…
07-23 17:33:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	Yes	BUY	2,000	85¢	$1,700	0xdbbb97…
07-23 17:29:30	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	440	93¢	$409	0xe4a844…
07-23 17:17:43	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	70	93¢	$65	0xea52e7…
07-23 17:17:15	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x7aeb2f…
07-23 17:16:28	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	214	93¢	$199	0x5547bf…
07-23 17:11:57	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	BUY	19,930	90¢	$17,937	0xdb0756…
07-23 17:09:19	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	180	93¢	$168	0x427fa0…
07-23 17:07:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	Yes	BUY	113	85¢	$96	0x317dbd…
07-23 16:46:06	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	BUY	67	90¢	$60	0x2b9163…
07-23 16:39:16	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	1,000	93¢	$930	0x22b9d1…
07-23 16:39:12	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	1,862	93¢	$1,732	0xdc1308…
07-23 16:34:04	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	BUY	1,211	91¢	$1,102	0x4f27b8…
07-23 15:34:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0x0b58ee…
07-23 15:33:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	25	85¢	$21	0x94c7a3…
07-23 15:31:01	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0xf59a05…
07-23 15:29:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x7d9790…
07-23 15:29:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	18	85¢	$15	0x54a447…
07-23 15:29:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	107	85¢	$91	0xbaee63…
07-23 15:29:01	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	214	85¢	$182	0xb07d63…
07-23 15:28:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	30	85¢	$26	0xcd37dd…
07-23 15:28:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xd7f181…
07-23 15:28:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	37	85¢	$31	0x4d8e25…
07-23 15:28:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	4	85¢	$4	0xeb91c4…
07-23 15:28:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	48	85¢	$41	0xa209ef…
07-23 15:28:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	750	85¢	$638	0x408e00…
07-23 15:28:46	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	75	85¢	$64	0x96a473…
07-23 15:28:46	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x0bd7c7…
07-23 15:28:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0xfac9fb…
07-23 15:28:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0xe53fa0…
07-23 15:28:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	37	85¢	$31	0xdaf410…
07-23 15:28:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	37	85¢	$31	0xcf92b0…
07-23 15:28:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	21	85¢	$18	0x9f29d1…
07-23 15:28:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x8af2fe…
07-23 15:28:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	3,750	85¢	$3,188	0x476da1…
07-23 15:28:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x3e6f93…
07-23 15:18:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xfaed43…
07-23 15:18:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	2,941	85¢	$2,500	0x74e416…
07-23 14:57:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x094bad…
07-23 14:46:07	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	18	85¢	$15	0x7110cf…
07-23 14:42:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x07211e…
07-23 14:33:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0xf6602a…
07-23 14:31:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	16	85¢	$13	0x33b014…
07-23 14:31:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xdc1d1e…
07-23 14:12:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xad9eab…
07-23 13:47:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	464	85¢	$394	0xe8e4a0…
07-23 13:35:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0xb39823…
07-23 13:34:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x9b991e…
07-23 13:26:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x221d3d…
07-23 13:20:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x3b86e4…
07-23 13:09:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	20,103	99¢	$19,982	0x7d5911…
07-23 13:01:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	Yes	BUY	5,558	100¢	$5,542	0x4eae61…
07-23 12:39:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xdec16d…
07-23 12:39:34	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	594	85¢	$505	0x9d18be…
07-23 12:27:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	11	85¢	$10	0xdc6c3f…
07-23 11:46:16	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	2,559	85¢	$2,176	0xed9015…
07-23 11:42:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	Yes	BUY	333	85¢	$283	0xbbcd0c…
07-23 11:41:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	Yes	BUY	80	85¢	$68	0x83fd0c…
07-23 11:40:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	Yes	BUY	3,750	85¢	$3,188	0xf261d4…
07-23 11:39:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	Yes	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0xcc613f…
07-23 11:38:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x802f32…
07-23 11:38:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	607	85¢	$516	0x366b60…
07-23 11:36:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	9,075	100¢	$9,047	0x9ab69f…
07-23 11:35:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	Yes	BUY	1,667	85¢	$1,417	0x5b42a7…
07-23 11:00:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	4,539	100¢	$4,521	0x615e68…
07-23 08:54:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	6,267	96¢	$6,028	0x33b9e8…
07-23 08:40:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x54ee91…
07-23 08:39:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xac88e7…
07-23 08:30:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	297	99¢	$295	0x6df793…
07-23 08:25:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x235857…
07-23 08:22:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	6,630	99¢	$6,590	0xbb655e…
07-23 08:16:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	250	96¢	$240	0xc770d3…
07-23 08:15:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x47177b…
07-23 08:14:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe96a0d…
07-23 08:14:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x00d1bc…
07-23 08:14:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x2958a0…
07-23 08:14:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x28539a…
07-23 07:58:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0xaf75b9…
07-23 07:57:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2ff65b…
07-23 07:23:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xc61d54…
07-23 07:22:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xbccb8a…
07-23 07:22:13	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x47cedc…
07-23 07:20:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5e00b9…
07-23 07:19:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	Yes	BUY	7,000	95¢	$6,650	0x2a880a…
07-23 07:19:07	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0x40f5fb…
07-23 07:17:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	Yes	BUY	500	95¢	$475	0x96ea71…
07-23 07:17:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x1844a8…
07-23 07:17:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0xb20a0c…