Antique-Liver — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$431

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

98.4%

Resolved

Trades

448

lifetime

Volume

$183.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$410

Open exposure

$322

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 09-22 14:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

84% 70% +$355

Politics

13% 88% +$35

Crypto

3% 100% +$33

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+400	$320	80¢	$322	+$2	09-22 14:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will paradex launch a token on march 5	5	$37.8K	18,895	18,895	+0	Yes	+$0	03-05 18:55
will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	183	$31.7K	16,929	14,844	+2,085	No	+$43	02-26 13:41
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$18.8K	18,875	0	+18,875	No	+$38	03-04 17:44
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 540 559	34	$18.2K	18,203	0	+18,203	Yes	+$18	01-13 18:31
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 90 114	72	$18.1K	18,087	0	+18,087	Yes	+$18	02-04 22:53
will there be 1820 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	1	$11.6K	11,578	0	+11,578	Yes	+$12	02-25 14:15
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 380 399	7	$10.6K	10,649	0	+10,649	No	+$11	02-24 20:32
will polymarket mindshare hit 75 627 998	2	$9.9K	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	+$90	01-05 08:34
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	19	$8.8K	4,246	5,000	-754	Yes	+$391	02-07 18:35
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	2	$4.9K	2,458	2,400	+58	Yes	+$0	02-28 07:16
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	16	$4.5K	4,500	0	+4,500	No	+$27	06-03 13:46
will zachxbt release his investigation on february 27	4	$1.1K	1,050	50	+1,000	No	+$17	02-26 13:04
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 260 279	1	$1.1K	1,074	0	+1,074	No	+$1	02-18 00:40
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	4	$1.0K	732	732	+0	Yes	+$0	02-07 12:52
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	13	$827	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$167	02-07 18:29
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	6	$535	0	595	-595	Yes	-$60	08-09 23:13
will polymarket mindshare hit 80 277 757 727	2	$498	250	250	+0	Yes	+$2	02-18 13:07
will polymarket mindshare hit 70 773 833 678 219	4	$434	360	90	+270	Yes	-$11	01-05 08:31
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	3	$405	206	200	+6	Yes	+$0	02-27 22:22
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	1	$320	400	0	+400	open	—	09-22 14:11
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?	1	$300	300	0	+300	Yes	+$0	02-28 08:32
andrew tate of tweets march 3 march 10 2026 100 129	11	$291	210	110	+100	Yes	+$12	03-10 13:53
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 65 89	5	$276	350	0	+350	No	+$74	02-04 13:13
will zachxbt release his investigation on february 26	5	$210	110	110	+0	Yes	+$0	02-25 22:24
will backpack launch a token on march 23	1	$210	213	0	+213	Yes	+$3	03-23 11:35
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase december 30 january 5	3	$169	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	01-04 18:25
will iran strike israel on march 6	1	$113	114	0	+114	No	+$1	03-11 00:24
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$106	109	0	+109	No	+$3	03-24 16:27
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	1	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	02-28 08:56
andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 280 309	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-12 05:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-22 14:11:39	Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	80¢	$320	0x88842d…
08-09 23:13:27	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	SELL	31	90¢	$28	0x05cf06…
08-09 23:12:39	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	SELL	394	90¢	$354	0xf373e9…
07-23 22:43:16	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	SELL	38	92¢	$35	0xc0d5fb…
07-23 13:48:03	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	SELL	28	91¢	$25	0xd4b08a…
07-23 13:47:49	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0xa8151d…
06-03 13:46:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,415	99¢	$3,395	0xf76e49…
06-03 13:45:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xde2f0f…
06-03 13:45:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb95e6f…
06-03 13:45:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0x0d15b7…
06-03 13:45:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$24	0xf0c3f2…
06-03 13:45:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xec3492…
06-03 13:45:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xdea8ae…
06-03 13:45:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xc0fcb9…
06-03 13:45:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0xbbb128…
06-03 13:45:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xb0b4eb…
06-03 13:45:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xb063bd…
06-03 13:45:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x7afbc1…
06-03 13:45:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0x494114…
06-03 13:45:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0x20e98f…
06-03 13:45:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x1610c0…
06-03 13:45:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	772	99¢	$767	0x8ad9fa…
05-15 03:01:29	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x587b1f…
05-13 23:39:31	Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x896a4f…
05-13 21:02:04	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x46079d…
05-12 09:28:02	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0x08fbc1…
05-08 12:39:36	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc2907f…
05-08 07:53:25	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x091461…
05-08 00:22:13	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb0e092…
05-07 21:12:55	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0x9c0dab…
05-07 21:12:45	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	89¢	$26	0xe0636b…
05-05 07:20:38	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xc7022b…
03-29 22:56:28	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1400plus	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xfcf669…
03-29 22:55:02	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1400plus	Yes	SELL	47	8¢	$4	0x7203f3…
03-29 22:54:46	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1400plus	Yes	SELL	72	5¢	$4	0x5c4b8c…
03-29 22:54:34	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1400plus	Yes	SELL	80	5¢	$4	0x17ed7e…
03-24 16:27:43	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	109	97¢	$106	0x03105a…
03-23 11:36:01	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xb45084…
03-23 11:35:51	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x178d67…
03-23 11:35:21	no token launch by march 31 273	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x6916b9…
03-23 11:35:11	will backpack launch a token on march 24	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x6d0790…
03-23 11:35:01	will backpack launch a token on march 23	Yes	BUY	213	99¢	$210	0x7adf01…
03-19 03:14:51	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1400plus	Yes	BUY	60	39¢	$24	0xb84f14…
03-18 15:52:23	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1400plus	Yes	BUY	60	40¢	$24	0x43eceb…
03-18 14:31:37	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1400plus	Yes	BUY	85	42¢	$36	0xffbbf4…
03-12 05:00:59	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 220 249	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xcae4bc…
03-12 05:00:51	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 280 309	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x37eaf4…
03-12 05:00:37	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 430 459	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x676611…
03-11 00:24:29	will iran strike israel on march 6	No	BUY	114	100¢	$113	0xb7a432…
03-10 13:53:01	andrew tate of tweets march 3 march 10 2026 100 129	Yes	SELL	28	92¢	$26	0x6b1d87…
03-10 13:52:27	andrew tate of tweets march 3 march 10 2026 100 129	Yes	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x4ea0f1…
03-10 13:52:19	andrew tate of tweets march 3 march 10 2026 100 129	Yes	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x07e196…
03-10 13:40:39	andrew tate of tweets march 3 march 10 2026 100 129	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xa9c0b5…
03-10 13:17:25	andrew tate of tweets march 3 march 10 2026 100 129	Yes	SELL	36	92¢	$33	0x1228ba…
03-10 12:47:31	andrew tate of tweets march 3 march 10 2026 100 129	Yes	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0x3a10f1…
03-10 09:29:05	andrew tate of tweets march 3 march 10 2026 100 129	Yes	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0x60baf2…
03-10 09:28:51	andrew tate of tweets march 3 march 10 2026 100 129	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x73f23f…
03-10 09:24:17	andrew tate of tweets march 3 march 10 2026 100 129	Yes	BUY	33	89¢	$30	0x1ae518…
03-10 09:08:01	andrew tate of tweets march 3 march 10 2026 100 129	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xc25a5f…
03-10 08:40:55	andrew tate of tweets march 3 march 10 2026 100 129	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x4acd78…
03-05 18:55:11	will paradex launch a token on march 5	Yes	SELL	13,799	100¢	$13,785	0x6f70b2…
03-05 18:52:53	will paradex launch a token on march 5	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf15b40…
03-05 18:52:51	will paradex launch a token on march 5	Yes	SELL	5,082	100¢	$5,077	0xe8307f…
03-05 18:52:17	will paradex launch a token on march 5	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xda86e9…
03-05 18:14:09	will paradex launch a token on march 5	Yes	BUY	18,895	100¢	$18,876	0x79a5a1…
03-04 17:44:19	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	18,875	100¢	$18,837	0x942c59…
03-02 02:17:21	hezbollah strike on israel by march 7	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x846ff3…
02-28 22:24:13	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xebe156…
02-28 08:56:55	Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe0907e…
02-28 08:32:21	Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x153e57…
02-28 07:16:15	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,400	100¢	$2,398	0xc85757…
02-28 07:13:33	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,458	100¢	$2,456	0x75f104…
02-27 22:22:59	Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xb21c29…
02-27 22:21:23	Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x6c24dd…
02-27 22:18:33	Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x250335…
02-26 13:41:44	will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	3,629	100¢	$3,622	0x113eb8…
02-26 13:20:34	will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x2a012c…
02-26 13:19:28	will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x09d313…
02-26 13:18:40	will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x639e6a…
02-26 13:18:40	will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x01cd1c…
02-26 13:18:18	will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xc89978…
02-26 13:18:18	will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x0eb666…
02-26 13:18:16	will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0xd1c62b…
02-26 13:18:16	will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x759ed5…
02-26 13:17:54	will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3708f5…
02-26 13:17:36	will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfdf97f…
02-26 13:17:24	will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x60eea6…
02-26 13:16:20	will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9163ec…
02-26 13:16:18	will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcc780d…
02-26 13:16:10	will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xf56278…
02-26 13:16:10	will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x3429b7…
02-26 13:16:08	will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x4eb05c…
02-26 13:16:08	will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x3f798a…
02-26 13:16:08	will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x3992bc…
02-26 13:16:06	will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3ce44b…
02-26 13:14:58	will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x12734e…
02-26 13:12:26	will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xd5d82b…
02-26 13:12:20	will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x996471…
02-26 13:12:18	will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xc21678…
02-26 13:12:18	will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa3a628…