Tangible-Scholarship — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

28.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$57

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-27

last 07-20 22:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 25% $-3

Other

13% — —

Politics

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?	Yes		+6	$1	9¢	$0	$-0	06-01 21:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1784585400	4	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	07-20 22:14
btc updown 5m 1784585700	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	07-20 22:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-25 22:30
btc updown 5m 1784584500	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	07-20 21:59
btc updown 5m 1784581800	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	07-20 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-25 22:27
btc updown 5m 1784584800	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-20 22:03
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	1	$2	27	0	+27	open	—	04-27 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	$-2	05-09 23:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$2	13	0	+13	open	—	04-27 00:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-27 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-27 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$2	05-09 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-09 23:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$1	48	48	+0	open	—	05-13 21:11
Will "ONE PIECE" win Best Continuing Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-27 00:16
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$1	7	0	+7	open	—	04-27 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	04-27 15:46
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	04-27 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Down	$-1	05-13 21:13
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in April?	1	$1	12	0	+12	open	—	04-27 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	04-27 00:40
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	06-01 21:32
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-27 16:05
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	06-01 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	04-27 00:26
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$1	9	0	+9	open	—	05-09 22:58
btc updown 5m 1784582700	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	07-20 21:25
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-09 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-27 00:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 22:18:00	btc updown 5m 1784585700	Down	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0xd4ddb0…
07-20 22:15:30	btc updown 5m 1784585700	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x6e0f34…
07-20 22:14:57	btc updown 5m 1784585400	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x64a4ba…
07-20 22:14:28	btc updown 5m 1784585400	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x2ac0a3…
07-20 22:11:40	btc updown 5m 1784585400	Down	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0xc27391…
07-20 22:11:06	btc updown 5m 1784585400	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xc1a0e0…
07-20 22:03:34	btc updown 5m 1784584800	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0776e1…
07-20 22:00:40	btc updown 5m 1784584800	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x12036b…
07-20 21:59:43	btc updown 5m 1784584500	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x5071c1…
07-20 21:58:51	btc updown 5m 1784584500	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x305ded…
07-20 21:25:49	btc updown 5m 1784582700	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc894e5…
07-20 21:14:54	btc updown 5m 1784581800	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$2	0xa6c2f2…
07-20 21:12:18	btc updown 5m 1784581800	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7dd2b7…
06-01 21:32:02	Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x1a3c8a…
06-01 21:28:51	Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x13688e…
05-25 22:30:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x39e96b…
05-25 22:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0xc54c2a…
05-25 22:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb2ecde…
05-13 21:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0cb751…
05-13 21:11:05	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	48	1¢	$0	0xb03230…
05-09 23:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xf15d71…
05-09 23:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x70b85b…
05-09 23:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xadc5e5…
05-09 23:15:34	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x69e792…
05-09 23:02:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xb38df7…
05-09 22:58:12	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x3a7c67…
04-27 16:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x8e442c…
04-27 16:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x35f6fb…
04-27 16:05:48	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2abdef…
04-27 16:03:02	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc7cc6f…
04-27 15:50:54	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1c36b5…
04-27 15:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xde0cd7…
04-27 00:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x2cfb07…
04-27 00:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x381f73…
04-27 00:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc64e16…
04-27 00:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x8c0b42…
04-27 00:16:00	Will "ONE PIECE" win Best Continuing Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd8b52c…
04-27 00:14:24	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in April?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x720338…
04-27 00:03:12	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0xe6f739…