Major-Swing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$92

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-23 01:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 63% $-2

Other

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	3	$3	15	4	+11	Down	$-1	05-13 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$3	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 05:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$3	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-14 05:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-14 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-14 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-14 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 04:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-14 06:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-14 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-14 17:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-14 06:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-14 04:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 20:05
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	05-13 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 04:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 15:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-14 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-13 14:43
Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	2	$1	7	7	+0	open	—	05-23 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$1	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$1	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1AM ET	1	$1	90	0	+90	Down	$-1	05-13 05:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 01:24:31	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x7fd0c5…
05-18 17:39:34	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xfda942…
05-15 20:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x1ac09e…
05-15 20:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x345224…
05-15 20:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x587434…
05-15 17:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3f2011…
05-15 04:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x0687bd…
05-15 04:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x23389f…
05-14 17:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x385be3…
05-14 17:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0c439a…
05-14 17:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xd79577…
05-14 17:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2ef418…
05-14 17:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xd44e83…
05-14 17:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x508829…
05-14 06:47:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x5c40ac…
05-14 06:45:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x59fe1e…
05-14 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb8c502…
05-14 06:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x0d1d78…
05-14 06:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6a48e2…
05-14 05:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0xb1e28a…
05-14 05:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xefb6f1…
05-14 04:58:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x4ee572…
05-14 04:50:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x212128…
05-14 04:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xe98ff1…
05-14 04:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x44e178…
05-14 04:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xc6c9d4…
05-14 04:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xdc2e07…
05-14 04:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x92b1b6…
05-14 03:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x82bcea…
05-14 03:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7ade8b…
05-13 20:05:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1e65cb…
05-13 20:00:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x62f18f…
05-13 18:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd77121…
05-13 17:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xd0c7d0…
05-13 17:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x688581…
05-13 17:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0ee794…
05-13 17:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x3876d9…
05-13 17:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xfb063c…
05-13 17:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf7852d…
05-13 17:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb91ceb…
05-13 17:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf10eda…
05-13 15:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x441ce3…
05-13 15:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x85afb7…
05-13 15:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x9d503e…
05-13 15:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb24e28…
05-13 15:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x1e43a9…
05-13 15:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x7d83fc…
05-13 15:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf15b76…
05-13 15:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x86885f…
05-13 15:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x940291…
05-13 15:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1e4d8a…
05-13 15:09:23	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x5ff05f…
05-13 15:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0f25d0…
05-13 15:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x84a41c…
05-13 15:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2df86b…
05-13 14:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x4b605b…
05-13 14:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7a3c8c…
05-13 14:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x088048…
05-13 14:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x75892f…
05-13 14:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xcb0b97…
05-13 14:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x563660…
05-13 05:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0xe2b0f5…
05-13 05:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2ae061…
05-13 05:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xeb39ca…
05-13 05:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0xe0b14b…
05-13 05:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2c4243…
05-13 05:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0x177be4…
05-13 05:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x93784e…
05-13 05:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd82b52…
05-13 05:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb421dc…
05-13 05:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x0b4059…
05-13 04:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x74e179…
05-13 04:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x560266…
05-13 04:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0xa625e6…
05-13 04:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x3d8783…
05-13 04:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7fa024…
05-13 04:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0x6c2860…
05-13 04:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3c0683…
05-13 04:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xac5c11…
05-13 04:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0xe8dd80…
05-13 04:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x15759e…
05-13 04:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x01236e…
05-13 04:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x73e4cc…
05-13 02:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x38d5e2…
05-13 00:30:04	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x808096…