Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$415

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

50.3%

Resolved

1,088

Trades

5,375

lifetime

Volume

$10.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-08-21

last 10-21 12:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 46% -$405

Other

0% 86% -$10

Tech

0% — —

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 1621 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+10	$8	32¢	$3	-$4	10-21 11:33
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	+1	$1	88¢	$1	+$0	10-21 11:46
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	+1	$1	97¢	$1	+$0	10-21 11:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	22	$101	93	93	+0	Up	-$5	09-05 06:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	31	$92	90	90	+0	Up	-$1	09-05 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	19	$89	105	105	+0	Down	-$19	09-05 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	45	$85	185	0	+185	Down	+$0	09-03 23:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	24	$60	120	0	+120	Up	-$10	09-03 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	25	$59	70	60	+10	Down	-$2	09-05 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	24	$58	60	55	+5	Down	-$7	09-05 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	16	$53	55	50	+5	Down	+$0	09-05 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	23	$51	100	0	+100	Down	-$1	09-04 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	22	$49	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	09-03 23:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	23	$48	105	0	+105	Up	+$2	09-06 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	20	$47	90	0	+90	Down	+$8	09-04 00:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	13	$46	50	40	+10	Up	+$1	09-05 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	23	$45	105	0	+105	Up	+$60	09-03 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	23	$45	45	45	+0	Down	$0	09-05 05:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	14	$44	50	40	+10	Up	-$2	09-05 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	18	$44	55	55	+0	Up	-$4	09-05 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	17	$44	45	40	+5	Down	-$1	09-05 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	18	$43	80	0	+80	Up	-$3	09-04 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	21	$43	80	0	+80	Down	-$3	09-04 06:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	17	$42	75	0	+75	Down	-$7	09-04 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	21	$41	45	40	+5	Down	-$2	09-05 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	21	$40	85	0	+85	Down	+$5	09-07 05:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	16	$40	65	0	+65	Down	$0	09-04 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	17	$40	75	0	+75	Down	-$5	09-04 06:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	17	$40	85	0	+85	Down	+$0	09-04 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	16	$40	77	0	+77	Up	-$2	09-04 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	23	$39	95	0	+95	Up	+$1	09-03 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	19	$39	80	0	+80	Down	+$6	09-07 05:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	17	$39	75	0	+75	Up	+$1	09-04 05:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 12:14:59	Will Meta say "Silicon" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe50c9d…
10-21 12:14:56	Will Meta say "Cloud" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb39e99…
10-21 12:14:50	Will Meta say "Reality Lab" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x023958…
10-21 12:14:47	Will Meta say "SI" / "Super Intelligence" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd24e5e…
10-21 12:14:42	Will Meta say "Revenue" 5+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe9f1be…
10-21 12:14:29	Will Meta say "Facebook" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x74937e…
10-21 12:14:26	Will Meta say "Muse" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x7cc3dc…
10-21 12:14:15	Will Meta say "AI" / "Artificial Intelligence" 30+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x230110…
10-21 12:09:08	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $520 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1752c8…
10-21 12:06:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9cfcf9…
10-21 11:57:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdaa764…
10-21 11:52:11	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x836047…
10-21 11:52:00	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0111cd…
10-21 11:46:33	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4f6e99…
10-21 11:43:17	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf33542…
10-21 11:40:24	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $335 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x93fe83…
10-21 11:33:09	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x77b7e4…
09-08 01:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x807c18…
09-08 01:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xf71a53…
09-08 01:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1c8fee…
09-08 01:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf37df2…
09-08 01:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x108734…
09-08 01:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd05c8c…
09-08 01:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xbd48af…
09-08 01:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xdff246…
09-08 01:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf51da8…
09-08 01:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb5bae2…
09-08 01:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xc35d49…
09-08 01:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0xdcf189…
09-08 01:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x9b17b5…
09-08 01:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x317eeb…
09-08 01:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb8db85…
09-08 01:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xc2850c…
09-08 01:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x1d7003…
09-08 01:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x19c368…
09-08 01:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x7a20d1…
09-08 01:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x43b28d…
09-08 01:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xbfd7fd…
09-08 01:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x518a58…
09-08 01:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x8944be…
09-08 01:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf329ba…
09-08 01:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xec7932…
09-08 01:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6f02ec…
09-08 01:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x997923…
09-08 01:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xc2fbe3…
09-08 01:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x1fb5da…
09-08 01:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf6bd77…
09-08 01:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x9857f8…
09-08 01:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x8029fa…
09-08 01:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x6f10b5…
09-08 01:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x17c884…
09-08 01:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb5b3fe…
09-08 01:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x14fb5c…
09-08 01:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x530262…
09-08 01:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x709ddb…
09-08 01:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x9958d0…
09-08 01:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xc57f74…
09-08 01:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x049be6…
09-08 01:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x589883…
09-08 01:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x50ab9b…
09-08 01:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x149031…
09-08 01:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xf8db2f…
09-08 01:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x60184c…
09-08 01:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x630b78…
09-08 01:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x592a2c…
09-08 01:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x136b15…
09-08 01:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x275a0c…
09-08 01:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x42c273…
09-08 01:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x7fd690…
09-08 01:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x20de7b…
09-08 01:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x46ef69…
09-08 01:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x663a92…
09-08 01:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xe9cea0…
09-08 01:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x7fc288…
09-08 01:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x73b5d5…
09-08 01:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x626476…
09-08 01:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x248412…
09-08 01:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1f9b30…
09-08 01:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xa82d83…
09-08 01:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x78c997…
09-08 00:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x4068fd…
09-08 00:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x4b7305…
09-08 00:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x90cab2…
09-08 00:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x47fddf…
09-08 00:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8b19aa…
09-08 00:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x8b8786…
09-08 00:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x188090…
09-08 00:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0xc76405…
09-08 00:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x071056…
09-08 00:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x15fdf1…
09-08 00:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc73d33…
09-08 00:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc7142f…
09-08 00:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xada859…
09-08 00:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0xc0e092…
09-08 00:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0xbe04ef…
09-08 00:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0xb1cbb3…
09-08 00:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$2	0x722119…
09-08 00:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	0	39¢	$0	0x3b35f1…
09-08 00:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xdd133e…
09-08 00:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x055216…