Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
15
lifetime
Volume
$17
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$4
3 positions
First seen
2026-02-16
last 06-18 15:09
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
57%
Crypto
17%
Tech
13%
Politics
12%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Yes +4 $3 80¢ $3 $-0 06-18 15:03
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 30% on the FrontierMath Exam? Yes +3 $2 32¢ $1 $-1 06-18 15:09
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes -2 $-0 20¢ $-0 $-0 06-18 15:07