Astonishing-Degree — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$716

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

55.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,107

lifetime

Volume

$34.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-24

last 06-21 02:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 39% $-716

Politics

5% — —

Other

4% — —

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 560 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		-208	$-9	4¢	$-8	+$1	06-20 01:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775768100	38	$3.3K	25,094	3,251	+21,843	open	—	04-09 21:00
btc updown 5m 1775769300	16	$1.7K	3,376	1,997	+1,380	open	—	04-09 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	36	$1.6K	1,491	1,491	+0	Up	+$158	05-14 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	148	$1.6K	1,603	1,603	+0	Down	$-501	05-14 05:04
btc updown 5m 1776726600	15	$1.6K	1,628	1,563	+65	open	—	04-20 23:14
btc updown 5m 1775768400	17	$1.4K	10,220	3,381	+6,839	open	—	04-09 21:04
btc updown 5m 1776726300	23	$1.3K	5,882	5,509	+373	open	—	04-20 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	111	$1.3K	1,263	1,197	+66	Up	+$81	05-14 05:09
btc updown 5m 1775769900	27	$1.2K	5,990	3,986	+2,004	open	—	04-09 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	13	$1.1K	1,501	1,501	+0	open	—	04-28 20:53
btc updown 5m 1775768700	12	$1.1K	3,705	3,062	+644	open	—	04-09 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	52	$1.1K	998	998	+0	Down	+$46	05-14 05:14
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$1.1K	1,330	1,330	+0	open	—	04-08 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	52	$1.0K	885	885	+0	Up	$-68	05-14 05:00
btc updown 5m 1775769600	40	$896	2,280	2,146	+134	open	—	04-09 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	17	$705	787	753	+34	open	—	04-27 01:44
btc updown 5m 1775769000	34	$705	1,545	424	+1,122	open	—	04-09 21:14
btc updown 5m 1776725700	21	$690	1,354	1,281	+74	open	—	04-20 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	22	$649	1,819	487	+1,332	open	—	04-28 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	11	$635	812	805	+8	open	—	04-28 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	38	$625	6,989	249	+6,740	Up	$-145	05-14 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	19	$571	462	462	+0	Up	+$53	05-14 03:13
btc updown 5m 1776725400	15	$542	637	587	+50	open	—	04-20 22:54
btc updown 5m 1776726900	31	$518	1,165	500	+664	open	—	04-20 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	6	$446	587	587	+0	open	—	04-28 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	12	$419	490	490	+0	Up	+$89	05-14 05:29
btc updown 5m 1776727200	30	$417	1,161	0	+1,161	open	—	04-20 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$415	454	454	+0	Down	+$215	05-14 03:19
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	4	$329	705	592	+113	open	—	05-14 04:41
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	3	$325	567	0	+567	open	—	06-04 03:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 02:00:52	btc updown 5m 1782007200	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xfa0078…
06-20 02:13:44	btc updown 5m 1781921400	Down	SELL	7	77¢	$6	0x89850c…
06-20 02:13:37	btc updown 5m 1781921400	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xafffc8…
06-20 02:13:28	btc updown 5m 1781921400	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x2ec22d…
06-20 02:13:22	btc updown 5m 1781921400	Down	SELL	36	63¢	$22	0x827811…
06-20 02:13:14	btc updown 5m 1781921400	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x372f38…
06-20 01:52:46	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa8a40f…
06-20 01:33:07	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	208	4¢	$9	0x155ed1…
06-04 03:07:34	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Spurs	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x630083…
06-04 03:01:45	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Spurs	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0xfefb50…
06-03 23:23:51	will karl anthony towns score 40 points in any game of the 2026 nba finals 20260603023200573	Yes	SELL	42	1¢	$0	0x6cc273…
06-03 23:04:28	will victor wembanyama score 50 points in any game of the 2026 nba finals 20260603023421898	Yes	SELL	129	1¢	$1	0x626ded…
06-03 20:27:06	btc updown 5m 1780518300	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x837fbc…
06-03 20:27:03	btc updown 5m 1780518300	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x9353af…
06-03 20:26:57	btc updown 5m 1780518300	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0adca2…
06-03 20:26:48	btc updown 5m 1780518300	Down	BUY	125	12¢	$15	0xe794ba…
06-03 20:26:24	btc updown 5m 1780518300	Up	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x80eb83…
06-03 20:26:07	btc updown 5m 1780518300	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xe61e33…
06-03 20:26:01	btc updown 5m 1780518300	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x89251f…
06-03 20:25:57	btc updown 5m 1780518300	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xce4ae0…
06-03 20:25:52	btc updown 5m 1780518300	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x96a155…
06-03 20:25:48	btc updown 5m 1780518300	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x5dc818…
06-03 20:25:37	btc updown 5m 1780518300	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x760c54…
06-03 20:24:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x1836de…
06-03 20:23:36	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Spurs	BUY	453	64¢	$290	0xaef732…
06-03 20:21:25	will victor wembanyama score 50 points in any game of the 2026 nba finals 20260603023421898	Yes	BUY	129	8¢	$10	0x1a7429…
06-03 20:21:04	nba finals any player to record a triple double 20260603040457444	Yes	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x0826cb…
06-03 20:20:36	will karl anthony towns score 40 points in any game of the 2026 nba finals 20260603023200573	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xd483d8…
06-03 20:12:27	btc updown 5m 1780517400	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x90d7b1…
06-03 20:11:52	btc updown 5m 1780517400	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x2e4d05…
06-03 20:11:37	btc updown 5m 1780517400	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x103142…
06-03 20:11:19	btc updown 5m 1780517400	Down	SELL	55	11¢	$6	0xa40635…
06-03 20:10:28	btc updown 5m 1780517400	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x8a21ff…
06-03 20:10:24	btc updown 5m 1780517400	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xda0551…
06-03 20:10:19	btc updown 5m 1780517400	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xb9066d…
06-03 20:10:15	btc updown 5m 1780517400	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xc809d9…
05-14 05:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x731521…
05-14 05:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	58	74¢	$43	0x730b8c…
05-14 05:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0a709f…
05-14 05:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x439ecc…
05-14 05:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xec9a23…
05-14 05:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	258	28¢	$72	0x8d52ca…
05-14 05:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	196	72¢	$141	0x75997f…
05-14 05:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x9efec5…
05-14 05:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x3e6225…
05-14 05:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x037a44…
05-14 05:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	197	31¢	$61	0x28d4e6…
05-14 05:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xdf3bc9…
05-14 05:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x88f4a2…
05-14 05:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x4ee903…
05-14 05:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x5a0ef8…
05-14 05:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	96	54¢	$52	0x7255b9…
05-14 05:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xc793df…
05-14 05:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x1a0129…
05-14 05:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xa22b69…
05-14 05:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x25a341…
05-14 05:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	249	2¢	$5	0xfd8171…
05-14 05:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x8effcc…
05-14 05:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x494208…
05-14 05:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x9227e7…
05-14 05:23:30	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	335	1¢	$5	0x417377…
05-14 05:23:29	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	465	21¢	$99	0x187090…
05-14 05:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe51ea8…
05-14 05:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc4ea45…
05-14 05:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7822f8…
05-14 05:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x827c2c…
05-14 05:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x9c73aa…
05-14 05:15:52	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x7610f9…
05-14 05:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0x358575…
05-14 05:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	14	44¢	$6	0xbbb730…
05-14 05:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x0a6d95…
05-14 05:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xdc9795…
05-14 05:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x87ce6a…
05-14 05:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x4dba3b…
05-14 05:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	61	56¢	$34	0x62cb02…
05-14 05:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xf8df4e…
05-14 05:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xbe7b14…
05-14 05:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xb769de…
05-14 05:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xa737f8…
05-14 05:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x89e8f6…
05-14 05:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xf32e8a…
05-14 05:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x9a27ef…
05-14 05:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x08e69f…
05-14 05:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	186	66¢	$123	0x9f597b…
05-14 05:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	62	69¢	$43	0x2e6caa…
05-14 05:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xcbe12d…
05-14 05:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x18ac28…
05-14 05:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc38f9f…
05-14 05:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x803bdc…
05-14 05:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x47a97c…
05-14 05:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x2292da…
05-14 05:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	193	52¢	$100	0x908fd3…
05-14 05:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	234	50¢	$117	0x5ce4fe…
05-14 05:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xaef51f…
05-14 05:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xbb2920…
05-14 05:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xb4b249…
05-14 05:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x5d3110…
05-14 05:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe39041…
05-14 05:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe2e267…
05-14 05:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xc06ca3…