Lucky-Spot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 06-28 09:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

61% 100% +$0

Other

39% 100% +$0

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	-2	$-1	96¢	$-2	$-0	06-08 16:05
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	No	+1	$1	99¢	$1	$-0	06-28 09:10
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	06-28 09:09
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	-1	$-1	94¢	$-1	$-0	06-08 16:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nhl mon wsh 2026 01 13	1	$2.3K	5,170	0	+5,170	open	—	01-13 17:11
cbb bayl minnst 2026 04 01	15	$1.6K	2,518	0	+2,518	open	—	04-01 23:38
nhl nj nyr 2026 03 18	1	$150	294	0	+294	open	—	03-18 12:42
Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	3	$21	10,330	10,330	+0	open	—	03-28 11:30
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-27 17:12
trump out as president by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 17:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 17:12
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-27 17:12
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 17:13
Will Jorge Nieto finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-15 17:25
will trump say n word in february	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	02-16 16:17
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	1	$2	0	2	-2	open	—	06-08 16:05
Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	03-18 11:40
will colby donaldson be voted off survivor season 50 this week 474	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-01 11:08
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$1	0	2	-2	open	—	06-08 16:05
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-28 09:10
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-23 21:43
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-13 12:50
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-01 11:10
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-18 11:39
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-28 09:09
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-13 12:51
will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-16 16:15
nba 2025 26 bpg leader victor wembanyama	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-01 11:06
will people be said 100 times during the first episode of the joe rogan experience for the week april 5	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-01 11:06
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-01 11:05
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	04-15 17:24
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	06-08 16:06
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-13 12:52
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-16 16:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 09:10:44	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1f6730…
06-28 09:09:41	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5951d4…
06-08 16:07:06	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc6ee38…
06-08 16:06:46	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x86e7cf…
06-08 16:06:37	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x033a44…
06-08 16:05:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0x214a33…
06-08 16:05:15	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x15abcc…
05-23 21:44:49	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc29086…
05-23 21:44:11	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7a97f2…
05-23 21:43:46	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2688a6…
04-15 17:28:40	Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x073c87…
04-15 17:25:00	Will Jorge Nieto finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x78e296…
04-15 17:24:52	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc4136e…
04-01 23:38:55	cbb bayl minnst 2026 04 01	Baylor Bears	BUY	312	62¢	$193	0xc21b1d…
04-01 23:38:55	cbb bayl minnst 2026 04 01	Baylor Bears	BUY	1,233	62¢	$764	0x22fc9c…
04-01 23:33:33	cbb bayl minnst 2026 04 01	Baylor Bears	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x47f58a…
04-01 23:30:41	cbb bayl minnst 2026 04 01	Baylor Bears	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0x6c63d9…
04-01 23:28:07	cbb bayl minnst 2026 04 01	Baylor Bears	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0x648ed1…
04-01 23:25:29	cbb bayl minnst 2026 04 01	Baylor Bears	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x325cc5…
04-01 23:20:47	cbb bayl minnst 2026 04 01	Baylor Bears	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x02cbf3…
04-01 23:20:07	cbb bayl minnst 2026 04 01	Baylor Bears	BUY	421	62¢	$261	0x855d59…
04-01 23:20:05	cbb bayl minnst 2026 04 01	Baylor Bears	BUY	239	62¢	$148	0x01e5d0…
04-01 23:05:33	cbb bayl minnst 2026 04 01	Baylor Bears	BUY	23	62¢	$14	0x03954c…
04-01 23:02:05	cbb bayl minnst 2026 04 01	Baylor Bears	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x7032c4…
04-01 23:01:39	cbb bayl minnst 2026 04 01	Baylor Bears	BUY	80	62¢	$49	0xc453a8…
04-01 22:55:15	cbb bayl minnst 2026 04 01	Baylor Bears	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x7bdecf…
04-01 22:50:55	cbb bayl minnst 2026 04 01	Baylor Bears	BUY	14	62¢	$9	0x66d0f7…
04-01 22:45:57	cbb bayl minnst 2026 04 01	Baylor Bears	BUY	70	62¢	$43	0xc7e4ed…
04-01 11:10:19	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x97e743…
04-01 11:08:41	will colby donaldson be voted off survivor season 50 this week 474	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf8cac4…
04-01 11:06:25	will people be said 100 times during the first episode of the joe rogan experience for the week april 5	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x23abe9…
04-01 11:06:09	nba 2025 26 bpg leader victor wembanyama	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1382e5…
04-01 11:05:47	will tiger woods play in the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbc65a7…
04-01 11:05:31	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xba1481…
03-28 11:30:35	Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	1,155	0¢	$1	0x313ff0…
03-28 11:30:11	Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	9,175	0¢	$9	0x1b5820…
03-27 18:26:45	Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	10,330	0¢	$10	0x0bb2a5…
03-27 17:13:09	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x115ae8…
03-27 17:13:03	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xeb7467…
03-27 17:12:43	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x650414…
03-27 17:12:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb0803e…
03-27 17:12:27	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa6fc42…
03-27 17:12:21	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8d007c…
03-18 12:42:33	nhl nj nyr 2026 03 18	Devils	BUY	294	51¢	$150	0x9516ad…
03-18 11:40:29	Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6645a2…
03-18 11:39:59	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x78b8c1…
03-18 11:39:43	will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x69280d…
03-18 11:38:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe64698…
03-18 11:37:41	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa26419…
03-18 11:36:15	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x91bd1d…
02-16 16:17:09	will trump say n word in february	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd93c06…
02-16 16:16:45	highest temperature in ankara on february 16 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd9f033…
02-16 16:16:15	Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd849b6…
02-16 16:15:53	will crime 101 opening weekend box office be between 14m and 17m	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe4505e…
02-16 16:15:39	Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xae1472…
02-16 16:15:25	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdbcb2c…
01-13 17:11:57	nhl mon wsh 2026 01 13	Canadiens	BUY	5,170	45¢	$2,326	0xdadd43…
01-13 12:52:31	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb8afad…
01-13 12:52:21	us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x367d66…
01-13 12:52:03	will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe10041…
01-13 12:51:35	will tetairoa mcmillan be the 2025 2026 nfl offensive rookie of the year 271	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6c44bf…
01-13 12:51:13	new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5f77c5…
01-13 12:50:59	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4f7cab…
01-13 12:50:33	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x78f25d…