Skeletal-Rubric — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.26K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

73.6%

Resolved

755

Trades

1,810

lifetime

Volume

$39.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$48

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 10-29 17:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 52% -$1,392

Other

8% 42% -$764

Politics

3% 21% -$101

Sports

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+81	$25	30¢	$25	$0	10-29 16:40
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+78	$25	30¢	$23	-$2	10-29 16:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 12:30 UTC	8	$750	473	470	+4	Down	+$25	02-10 12:40
highest temperature in buenos aires on january 15 36c	2	$487	247	247	+0	No	+$7	01-16 06:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 10:30 UTC	4	$469	264	263	+1	Down	+$26	02-10 10:45
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 520 539	8	$417	621	353	+267	No	-$305	01-16 16:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 19:15 UTC	5	$413	556	549	+7	Up	+$34	02-14 19:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 23:00 UTC	4	$408	411	396	+15	Up	+$30	04-10 23:13
ethereum up or down january 16 4pm et	2	$366	193	193	+0	Up	+$19	01-16 22:24
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 12:30 UTC	2	$352	217	215	+2	Down	+$15	02-10 12:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 12:45 UTC	3	$334	410	210	+199	Up	-$66	02-10 12:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 14:30 UTC	9	$330	383	303	+80	Down	+$6	07-02 14:41
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 11:45 UTC	4	$325	198	197	+1	Down	+$14	02-20 11:54
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 08:45 UTC	5	$324	207	205	+2	Down	+$28	02-11 08:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 14:30 UTC	12	$313	269	265	+4	Up	+$41	02-18 14:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 11:45 UTC	5	$310	325	320	+5	Down	+$3	02-15 11:57
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 12:15 UTC	2	$309	157	157	+0	Up	+$5	02-10 12:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 08:45 UTC	2	$309	191	190	+2	Up	+$15	02-10 08:57
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 09:00 UTC	4	$302	162	162	+0	Up	+$9	02-10 09:15
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 08:15 UTC	6	$301	246	246	+1	Up	+$9	02-10 08:29
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 07:30 UTC	3	$300	176	175	+1	Down	+$19	02-10 07:43
cs2 prv ence 2026 01 16	2	$299	155	155	+0	PARIVISION	+$11	01-16 12:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 17:15 UTC	2	$289	148	148	+0	Up	+$1	02-09 17:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 16:15 UTC	7	$287	241	241	+0	Up	+$189	07-01 16:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 13:00 UTC	2	$285	175	173	+2	Down	+$42	02-10 13:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 18:30 UTC	4	$279	239	235	+4	Down	+$26	02-16 18:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 11:30 UTC	4	$275	364	359	+5	Down	+$10	02-15 11:41
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 16:00 UTC	2	$275	149	148	+0	Down	+$13	02-09 16:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 11:30 UTC	2	$275	157	156	+1	Down	+$27	02-10 11:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 19:30 UTC	2	$271	291	286	+4	Up	+$21	02-14 19:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 09:00 UTC	4	$270	158	157	+1	Up	+$5	02-10 09:07
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 540 559	7	$269	769	626	+143	Yes	-$139	01-16 16:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x8f9709…
10-29 17:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8f29b9…
10-29 17:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8ee675…
10-29 17:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0597a2…
10-29 17:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	79	19¢	$15	0x859089…
10-29 17:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x66e9e5…
10-29 17:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x6fa13d…
10-29 17:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x21f064…
10-29 17:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb03ded…
10-29 17:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	160	27¢	$43	0xaaddd0…
10-29 17:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xfdfebe…
10-29 17:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x81e8c7…
10-29 17:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0c8f65…
10-29 17:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	58	42¢	$24	0x00b2dd…
10-29 17:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0xe1467c…
10-29 17:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb9737b…
10-29 17:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x336101…
10-29 17:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xb58801…
10-29 17:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	32	78¢	$25	0x98166b…
10-29 17:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x9cbf5b…
10-29 17:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x082804…
10-29 17:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7818a5…
10-29 17:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x636e39…
10-29 17:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xe87e45…
10-29 17:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8d4dc4…
10-29 17:02:20	Counter-Strike: Fortress vs DNK (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	DNK	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0xcd489c…
10-29 17:00:20	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xf29fa9…
10-29 16:55:49	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xf4c419…
10-29 16:47:28	Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x0d6a3b…
10-29 16:40:17	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0xe3f31f…
10-26 08:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x3aa2b7…
10-26 07:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x902669…
10-26 07:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x7f2a30…
10-26 07:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x19045e…
10-26 06:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa58fb0…
10-26 06:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x011c82…
09-02 07:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	85	41¢	$35	0xfeb663…
09-02 07:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x29017a…
09-02 07:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3a3098…
09-02 07:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf30bec…
09-02 07:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe8b2e2…
09-02 07:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xdfbfce…
09-02 07:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xbce5f3…
09-02 06:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	102	71¢	$73	0x3c09dd…
09-02 06:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x318df5…
09-02 06:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x0ef037…
09-02 06:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xc91a6c…
09-02 06:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xb5041e…
09-02 06:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x7df073…
09-01 12:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x63a158…
09-01 12:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xf11ec3…
09-01 12:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x872166…
09-01 11:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x8b16cc…
09-01 11:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x963e2a…
09-01 11:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x3f0ce8…
08-31 21:43:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x81d3d4…
08-31 21:43:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	23	39¢	$9	0xa19f57…
08-31 19:16:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0xb8aadb…
08-31 18:47:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x7c7d7c…
08-31 06:23:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1e09e9…
08-31 06:07:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x221182…
08-31 06:05:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x8a4bbd…
08-31 06:05:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x89e1e7…
08-31 06:05:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xa35b7f…
08-30 15:12:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x13409f…
08-30 15:11:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0x672f1c…
08-30 14:47:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0xe4ec33…
08-30 14:36:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x536444…
08-30 14:31:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xc987f5…
08-30 14:29:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x18d83f…
07-05 21:16:53	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	42	45¢	$19	0xb0e6bc…
07-05 21:16:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	133	60¢	$80	0x792dc0…
07-05 15:57:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x6a9e7b…
07-05 15:26:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x4d9975…
07-05 14:28:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xa50c78…
07-05 14:28:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 14:15 UTC	Up	SELL	258	11¢	$28	0xc53ddf…
07-05 14:20:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x15f684…
07-05 14:20:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0xe796b8…
07-05 14:19:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	244	20¢	$50	0x0e33e3…
07-04 20:18:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	158	11¢	$18	0x40c854…
07-04 20:18:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	196	20¢	$40	0x49cd28…
07-04 20:17:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x08f4d1…
07-04 15:09:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x8d1ebc…
07-04 15:09:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xe9b3d9…
07-04 15:08:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xb57d45…
07-04 15:08:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x1f4747…
07-04 15:07:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 15:00 UTC	Down	SELL	32	48¢	$15	0x9f2656…
07-04 15:05:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x0e3c21…
07-04 11:41:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 11:30 UTC	Down	SELL	150	20¢	$31	0x105b27…
07-04 11:35:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0xe770d2…
07-02 19:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	69	49¢	$34	0x3a87b6…
07-02 19:49:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x16e4a7…
07-02 19:05:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x9a44c0…
07-02 19:04:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xfbce4a…
07-02 19:04:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xa64dc7…
07-02 19:01:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x2c3701…
07-02 19:00:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	101	40¢	$40	0x1c074e…
07-02 18:59:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x719d55…
07-02 18:58:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x1c08e0…
07-02 18:55:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 18:45 UTC	Down	SELL	112	42¢	$47	0xe05d3a…