Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Down won
Total volume
$29,007
$88 in 24h
Trades
3,580
Unique wallets
694
Liquidity
$4,877
Latest YES mid
41¢
Latest NO mid
59¢
End date
2026-10-26
First seen
2026-10-25
last 10-26 06:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.4¢
(top1%: 32% YES on $12.7K
vs crowd: 33% YES on $24.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 130 | $5.0K | $9.1K | $4.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 185 | $1.6K | $3.4K | $1.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 192 | $872 | $3.1K | $2.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 187 | $541 | $687 | $146 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 140 | $4.1K | $8.6K | $4.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 93 | $906 | $1.8K | $921 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 47 | $175 | $255 | $81 |
| Median | 66 | $161 | $380 | $219 |
| Below median | 150 | $536 | $694 | $159 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 71 | $304 | $306 | $2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 90 | $648 | $3.0K | $2.3K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 37 | $1.1K | $1.3K | $143 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | +1,651 | $1,575 | $1,575 | 23 | 10-26 06:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xa5ca…7bd1 | Up | +1,399 | $475 | $993 | 64 | 10-26 06:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Down | +1,321 | $752 | $752 | 69 | 10-26 06:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +981 | $396 | $396 | 46 | 10-26 06:43 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +674 | $222 | $222 | 40 | 10-26 06:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2 | Down | +579 | $351 | $351 | 39 | 10-26 06:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Down | +576 | $339 | $339 | 30 | 10-26 06:43 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Up | +542 | $248 | $248 | 47 | 10-26 06:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x19b3…0b9b | Up | +517 | $197 | $197 | 13 | 10-26 06:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xd844…5908 | Down | +515 | $286 | $286 | 15 | 10-26 06:43 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Down | +509 | $273 | $273 | 37 | 10-26 06:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2 | Up | +502 | $220 | $220 | 31 | 10-26 06:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x765e…36dd | Up | +500 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-26 06:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | +500 | $495 | $495 | 10 | 10-26 06:44 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +470 | $318 | $318 | 17 | 10-26 06:43 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +462 | $161 | $161 | 29 | 10-26 06:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Down | +449 | $270 | $270 | 9 | 10-26 06:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc1f…723f | Up | +418 | $173 | $173 | 8 | 10-26 06:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xdc3f…4fa0 | Down | +405 | $253 | $253 | 23 | 10-26 06:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | +401 | $4 | $4 | 9 | 10-26 06:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xdc3f…4fa0 | Up | +393 | $171 | $171 | 26 | 10-26 06:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x19b3…0b9b | Down | +387 | $267 | $267 | 8 | 10-26 06:43 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | +340 | $129 | $129 | 6 | 10-26 06:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x28cc…904f | Down | +332 | $223 | $223 | 16 | 10-26 06:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Up | +330 | $139 | $139 | 12 | 10-26 06:43 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +321 | $131 | $131 | 25 | 10-26 06:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Up | +301 | $112 | $112 | 18 | 10-26 06:43 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | +300 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-26 06:44 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | +300 | $294 | $294 | 4 | 10-26 06:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xe7c4…c45a | Down | +299 | $195 | $195 | 1 | 10-26 06:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x3708…daf9 | Up | +288 | $105 | $105 | 10 | 10-26 06:43 |
| Deficient-Impairment 0x4e89…6e80 | Up | +255 | $4 | $4 | 13 | 10-26 06:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b04…032a | Down | +252 | $139 | $139 | 25 | 10-26 06:43 |
| Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f | Down | +249 | $177 | $177 | 3 | 10-26 06:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x32e0…58be | Up | +242 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 10-26 06:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b | Down | +239 | $141 | $141 | 19 | 10-26 06:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x73ad…ef22 | Up | +234 | $83 | $83 | 8 | 10-26 06:41 |
| Best-Million 0x81c9…94cd | Up | +225 | $91 | $91 | 14 | 10-26 06:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xa5ca…7bd1 | Down | +221 | $35 | $372 | 27 | 10-26 06:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Up | +219 | $79 | $79 | 20 | 10-26 06:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Down | +215 | $213 | $213 | 1 | 10-26 06:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd4a…224e | Up | +213 | $86 | $86 | 9 | 10-26 06:43 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +210 | $25 | $25 | 6 | 10-26 06:44 |
| Best-Million 0x81c9…94cd | Down | +200 | $110 | $110 | 18 | 10-26 06:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf55…3571 | Up | +200 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-26 06:44 |
| Lighthearted-Brood 0xcb7c…b03f | Up | +200 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-26 06:44 |
| Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Down | +200 | $198 | $198 | 1 | 10-26 06:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xe4a4…e4c6 | Down | +194 | $150 | $150 | 11 | 10-26 06:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xd424…1fef | Up | +181 | $99 | $99 | 21 | 10-26 06:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xd5df…265f | Down | +178 | $174 | $174 | 1 | 10-26 06:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad | Up | +175 | $71 | $71 | 10 | 10-26 06:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad | Down | +175 | $107 | $107 | 15 | 10-26 06:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Down | +171 | $96 | $96 | 5 | 10-26 06:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xd844…5908 | Up | +169 | $79 | $79 | 8 | 10-26 06:42 |
| Ill-Informed-Full 0xbc58…5e72 | Up | +166 | $61 | $61 | 32 | 10-26 06:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c | Down | +166 | $95 | $95 | 12 | 10-26 06:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xe4a4…e4c6 | Up | +163 | $46 | $46 | 10 | 10-26 06:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Down | +159 | $87 | $87 | 22 | 10-26 06:43 |
| Bewitched-Knight 0x5d38…1b41 | Down | +155 | $96 | $96 | 2 | 10-26 06:40 |
| Ill-Informed-Full 0xbc58…5e72 | Down | +133 | $77 | $77 | 21 | 10-26 06:43 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 06:47:00 | (anonymous) 0xd2d7…82e2 | Down | BUY | 74 | 100¢ | $73 | 0xb658b7… |
| 10-26 06:47:00 | (anonymous) 0x5497…4e43 | Down | SELL | 74 | 100¢ | $73 | 0xb658b7… |
| 10-26 06:45:59 | (anonymous) 0xd2d7…82e2 | Down | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xe56de0… |
| 10-26 06:45:59 | Kosher-Med 0x330f…91b1 | Down | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xe56de0… |
| 10-26 06:45:35 | (anonymous) 0xe032…6d01 | Down | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x07c59a… |
| 10-26 06:45:35 | (anonymous) 0xd2d7…82e2 | Down | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x07c59a… |
| 10-26 06:45:17 | Knowledgeable-Jail 0x1456…edb2 | Down | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x2edbe5… |
| 10-26 06:45:17 | (anonymous) 0xd2d7…82e2 | Down | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x2edbe5… |
| 10-26 06:44:39 | (anonymous) 0xb690…bbc7 | Down | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x556b98… |
| 10-26 06:44:39 | (anonymous) 0xbfeb…5df0 | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x556b98… |
| 10-26 06:44:35 | (anonymous) 0xbfeb…5df0 | Down | BUY | 22 | 99¢ | $21 | 0x4576c5… |
| 10-26 06:44:35 | Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Down | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0x1c18e3… |
| 10-26 06:44:35 | (anonymous) 0x0835…ab92 | Down | SELL | 22 | 99¢ | $21 | 0x4576c5… |
| 10-26 06:44:35 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 238 | 99¢ | $236 | 0x1c18e3… |
| 10-26 06:44:35 | (anonymous) 0xbfeb…5df0 | Down | BUY | 22 | 99¢ | $22 | 0x1c18e3… |
| 10-26 06:44:35 | (anonymous) 0xd689…ea91 | Down | SELL | 460 | 99¢ | $455 | 0x1c18e3… |
| 10-26 06:44:32 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 54 | 99¢ | $54 | 0xdc68a3… |
| 10-26 06:44:32 | (anonymous) 0xecb6…5a87 | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xcbeaa4… |
| 10-26 06:44:32 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xcbeaa4… |
| 10-26 06:44:32 | (anonymous) 0x8625…8cf9 | Down | SELL | 54 | 99¢ | $54 | 0xdc68a3… |
| 10-26 06:44:26 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x93230a… |
| 10-26 06:44:26 | (anonymous) 0xa623…53e3 | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x93230a… |
| 10-26 06:44:23 | (anonymous) 0x0534…9749 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xbf22db… |
| 10-26 06:44:23 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xbf22db… |
| 10-26 06:44:23 | (anonymous) 0x6756…2ae7 | Down | SELL | 29 | 99¢ | $28 | 0xac3183… |
| 10-26 06:44:23 | (anonymous) 0xfaaa…8a05 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xffcb2b… |
| 10-26 06:44:23 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xffcb2b… |
| 10-26 06:44:23 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 29 | 99¢ | $28 | 0xac3183… |
| 10-26 06:44:21 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x3b2c69… |
| 10-26 06:44:21 | Familiar-Raspberry 0xc750…cbf9 | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x3b2c69… |
| 10-26 06:44:17 | (anonymous) 0x6da0…5499 | Down | SELL | 38 | 99¢ | $38 | 0x813e00… |
| 10-26 06:44:17 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 38 | 99¢ | $38 | 0x813e00… |
| 10-26 06:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x1dd2…51c2 | Up | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x873781… |
| 10-26 06:44:12 | (anonymous) 0xaa12…6734 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x873781… |
| 10-26 06:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 129 | 99¢ | $127 | 0x873781… |
| 10-26 06:44:12 | (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Down | BUY | 215 | 99¢ | $213 | 0x873781… |
| 10-26 06:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x00b1…62be | Down | BUY | 46 | 99¢ | $46 | 0x873781… |
| 10-26 06:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x765e…36dd | Up | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x873781… |
| 10-26 06:44:11 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xc88d05… |
| 10-26 06:44:11 | (anonymous) 0x00b1…62be | Down | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xc88d05… |
| 10-26 06:44:11 | Prize-Checkroom 0x175c…2a68 | Down | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xc88d05… |
| 10-26 06:44:09 | (anonymous) 0x524c…c9bc | Down | SELL | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xb76f4c… |
| 10-26 06:44:09 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xb76f4c… |
| 10-26 06:44:08 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x0c9c68… |
| 10-26 06:44:08 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xd16817… |
| 10-26 06:44:08 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xc430ba… |
| 10-26 06:44:08 | (anonymous) 0x5349…1a42 | Down | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xc430ba… |
| 10-26 06:44:08 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xfe4479… |
| 10-26 06:44:08 | (anonymous) 0xbf55…3571 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x0c9c68… |
| 10-26 06:44:08 | (anonymous) 0x11f5…55ed | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xd16817… |
| 10-26 06:44:08 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x964702… |
| 10-26 06:44:08 | (anonymous) 0x5a3a…6290 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xfe4479… |
| 10-26 06:44:08 | (anonymous) 0xbf55…3571 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x964702… |
| 10-26 06:44:06 | Ragged-Thief 0xdbac…87c5 | Up | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x949243… |
| 10-26 06:44:06 | Lighthearted-Brood 0xcb7c…b03f | Up | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x949243… |
| 10-26 06:44:06 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x69b77a… |
| 10-26 06:44:06 | (anonymous) 0xddf1…5ccb | Up | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x949243… |
| 10-26 06:44:06 | (anonymous) 0xd91d…5fee | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x69b77a… |
| 10-26 06:44:06 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 300 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x949243… |
| 10-26 06:44:06 | Mushy-Sanctity 0x1572…2a00 | Down | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x949243… |
| 10-26 06:44:06 | (anonymous) 0x1b2c…a2f1 | Up | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x949243… |
| 10-26 06:44:06 | Double-Patty 0x0ee4…6bbd | Down | SELL | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0x949243… |
| 10-26 06:44:06 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 289 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x949243… |
| 10-26 06:44:06 | (anonymous) 0x0f96…7a8a | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x8f0176… |
| 10-26 06:44:06 | (anonymous) 0x5ebd…7c04 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x949243… |
| 10-26 06:44:06 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | BUY | 927 | 99¢ | $917 | 0x949243… |
| 10-26 06:44:06 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8f0176… |
| 10-26 06:44:05 | (anonymous) 0xbb25…cdb7 | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x3c152b… |
| 10-26 06:44:05 | Deficient-Impairment 0x4e89…6e80 | Up | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9f8cf8… |
| 10-26 06:44:05 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5b0866… |
| 10-26 06:44:05 | (anonymous) 0xb8bf…49c8 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x222432… |
| 10-26 06:44:05 | Suburban-Classic 0x425c…a16e | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x5f00f4… |
| 10-26 06:44:05 | Impressionable-Crust 0x05a5…40ae | Down | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0xbd4064… |
| 10-26 06:44:05 | (anonymous) 0x3283…ac3d | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xe6b7f1… |
| 10-26 06:44:05 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | BUY | 60 | 98¢ | $59 | 0x96cee4… |
| 10-26 06:44:05 | (anonymous) 0x9b15…1b2a | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xf38d50… |
| 10-26 06:44:05 | Deficient-Impairment 0x4e89…6e80 | Up | BUY | 81 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb91189… |
| 10-26 06:44:05 | (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Down | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x9f8cf8… |
| 10-26 06:44:05 | (anonymous) 0x0ef9…8f58 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xb9d56e… |
| 10-26 06:44:05 | (anonymous) 0xd6fc…3e7f | Down | BUY | 90 | 99¢ | $89 | 0xce2379… |
| 10-26 06:44:05 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 68 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x26f53f… |
| 10-26 06:44:05 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5f00f4… |
| 10-26 06:44:05 | (anonymous) 0x75db…92d4 | Up | BUY | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7a760c… |
| 10-26 06:44:05 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbd4064… |
| 10-26 06:44:05 | (anonymous) 0xcd30…2dd0 | Down | BUY | 28 | 98¢ | $27 | 0x20315a… |
| 10-26 06:44:05 | (anonymous) 0x0374…b542 | Up | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf8afb1… |
| 10-26 06:44:05 | (anonymous) 0x2bf4…e80d | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x5b0866… |
| 10-26 06:44:05 | (anonymous) 0x56f6…e251 | Down | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xf8afb1… |
| 10-26 06:44:05 | (anonymous) 0xe18b…db44 | Down | BUY | 101 | 97¢ | $98 | 0xdc32d2… |
| 10-26 06:44:05 | Green-Ephemera 0xdd1c…3f79 | Up | BUY | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xdc32d2… |
| 10-26 06:44:05 | (anonymous) 0x5237…f239 | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x0d2d8d… |
| 10-26 06:44:05 | Deficient-Impairment 0x4e89…6e80 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbabaac… |
| 10-26 06:44:05 | Deficient-Impairment 0x4e89…6e80 | Up | BUY | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x26f53f… |
| 10-26 06:44:05 | (anonymous) 0x1e89…2e8e | Down | BUY | 81 | 99¢ | $80 | 0xb91189… |
| 10-26 06:44:05 | (anonymous) 0xf436…aa12 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x6e1528… |
| 10-26 06:44:05 | Deficient-Impairment 0x4e89…6e80 | Up | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd19b20… |
| 10-26 06:44:05 | Deficient-Impairment 0x4e89…6e80 | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x222432… |
| 10-26 06:44:05 | Deficient-Impairment 0x4e89…6e80 | Up | BUY | 90 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xce2379… |
| 10-26 06:44:05 | Rosy-Legitimacy 0x62c8…fd90 | Up | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf8afb1… |
| 10-26 06:44:05 | Deficient-Impairment 0x4e89…6e80 | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2f8ceb… |