Bewitched-Knight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.98K

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

41.4%

Resolved

804

Trades

3,073

lifetime

Volume

$51.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$39

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 11-01 12:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 49% -$1,424

Politics

24% 31% -$742

Sports

3% 42% -$457

Other

3% 38% -$354

Tech

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 203 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+1,250	$10	2¢	$24	+$14	05-22 05:56
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+1,000	$10	1¢	$8	-$2	05-22 05:58
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+1,429	$10	0¢	$4	-$6	05-22 05:56
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+1,429	$10	0¢	$2	-$8	05-22 05:58
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+1,250	$10	0¢	$2	-$8	05-22 05:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	16	$9.6K	5,699	5,699	+0	No	-$708	04-20 05:23
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	10	$862	534	534	+0	No	-$31	04-19 15:49
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?	3	$349	226	226	+0	No	-$10	04-19 15:50
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	3	$313	219	219	+0	No	-$27	04-19 15:47
nba atl nyk 2026 04 20	6	$240	450	389	+61	Hawks	-$84	04-21 01:31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	2	$230	190	190	+0	No	+$10	04-19 15:51
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$220	159	157	+2	Yes	-$4	04-19 15:50
nba orl det 2026 04 19 spread home 8pt5	3	$207	180	177	+3	Magic	+$34	04-19 23:44
Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?	2	$203	120	120	+0	No	+$8	04-19 15:59
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$202	133	133	+0	No	+$3	04-19 15:50
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$201	263	1	+262	Yes	+$63	05-22 04:47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	2	$199	116	116	+0	open	—	05-21 23:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	2	$191	160	158	+2	Yes	-$5	04-22 00:26
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals	5	$181	210	109	+101	Washington Nationals	-$59	04-19 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$175	258	0	+258	Up	+$83	10-12 12:45
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	2	$166	100	100	+0	No	+$3	04-19 15:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	35	$159	322	0	+322	Down	-$17	06-02 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	29	$152	279	0	+279	Up	-$18	06-02 00:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	27	$149	286	0	+286	Down	-$29	06-02 00:44
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$148	100	100	+0	No	-$8	04-19 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	28	$144	288	0	+288	Down	-$18	06-02 00:38
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	3	$143	125	125	-0	No	-$30	04-19 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	27	$142	252	0	+252	Up	+$2	06-02 00:52
nba phi bos 2026 04 19 spread home 12pt5	4	$137	280	0	+280	Celtics	-$137	04-19 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	66	$132	7,982	0	+7,982	Up	-$132	05-19 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	22	$130	246	0	+246	Up	-$4	06-02 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	24	$129	234	0	+234	Up	-$3	06-02 00:57
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 07:40 UTC	4	$122	195	0	+195	Down	-$27	07-26 07:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 16:25 UTC	3	$122	184	0	+184	Down	-$82	07-25 16:29
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	38	$120	240	0	+240	Down	-$11	06-15 00:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 12:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	88	10¢	$9	0x8636a3…
11-01 12:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	884	1¢	$9	0x33e66d…
11-01 11:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	46	19¢	$9	0x3fa000…
11-01 11:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	49	18¢	$9	0xe3df27…
11-01 11:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	125	7¢	$9	0xd2ff03…
11-01 11:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	44	20¢	$9	0x2d5669…
11-01 11:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	88	10¢	$9	0xef2987…
11-01 11:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	44	20¢	$9	0x5ac9dc…
10-31 15:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x62a138…
10-31 15:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	125	35¢	$44	0x6ec9c1…
10-31 15:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xf3b197…
10-31 15:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	157	28¢	$44	0x4fa212…
10-31 15:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x72716b…
10-31 15:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	124	35¢	$44	0xbe98e2…
10-31 14:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x3802a2…
10-31 14:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	365	12¢	$44	0xad03de…
10-31 12:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	29	30¢	$9	0xd4a43e…
10-31 11:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x136783…
10-31 11:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	258	17¢	$44	0xbea745…
10-31 11:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	19¢	$3	0x30f8f3…
10-31 11:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	245	18¢	$44	0x26484f…
10-31 11:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xad52ce…
10-31 11:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	281	16¢	$44	0x7536de…
10-31 11:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	37	8¢	$3	0x1965c0…
10-31 11:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	456	10¢	$44	0x57f0de…
10-31 11:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xf82af2…
10-31 10:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	80	11¢	$9	0x4f4866…
10-31 10:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	44	20¢	$9	0x59e9f4…
10-31 10:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0xd719d4…
10-31 10:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	73	12¢	$9	0xef62a4…
10-31 10:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	21¢	$3	0x88a4d1…
10-31 10:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	199	22¢	$44	0xfdad3f…
10-31 10:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0xe1248d…
10-31 10:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	157	28¢	$44	0x49ee2f…
10-31 10:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	19	18¢	$3	0xbfbb75…
10-31 10:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	164	27¢	$44	0x057c26…
10-31 10:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	19	17¢	$3	0x4dcb49…
10-31 10:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	191	23¢	$44	0x192810…
10-31 10:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x3082ee…
10-31 10:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	119	37¢	$44	0xbc4867…
10-31 10:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x960665…
10-31 10:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	175	25¢	$44	0xcefbbb…
10-31 09:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x0da8ca…
10-31 09:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	137	32¢	$44	0xd1b7ce…
10-31 09:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0xf57283…
10-31 09:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	313	14¢	$44	0x0d4531…
10-31 09:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0xf1fc3c…
10-31 09:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	154	28¢	$44	0xfb6cf2…
10-31 03:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0xcdb223…
10-30 07:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xf59803…
10-30 07:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	89	49¢	$44	0xdc89f2…
10-30 07:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0x43843a…
10-30 07:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	105	42¢	$44	0xc17155…
10-30 07:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xc7322b…
10-30 07:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	92	48¢	$44	0x47dea7…
10-30 07:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	153	2¢	$3	0xecea67…
10-30 07:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	290	15¢	$44	0x0838ee…
10-30 07:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0x7aa491…
10-30 07:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	119	37¢	$44	0x3f4817…
10-30 07:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x344ff5…
10-30 07:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	95	46¢	$44	0x60ec1a…
10-30 06:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x1d49ef…
10-30 06:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	88	50¢	$44	0x13cb63…
10-30 06:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0x5858b2…
10-29 04:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	46	19¢	$9	0x4b94cb…
10-29 04:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	37	24¢	$9	0x594fa9…
10-29 04:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	877	1¢	$9	0x057dff…
10-29 04:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	877	1¢	$9	0xf849c1…
10-29 02:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0x30f8fe…
10-29 02:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x3f574d…
10-29 02:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	89	49¢	$44	0x817fd6…
10-29 02:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	91	48¢	$44	0x6d2495…
10-29 02:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xdef97c…
10-29 02:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	95	46¢	$44	0xf655ee…
10-29 01:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x336cc4…
10-29 01:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	95	46¢	$44	0x829aac…
10-29 01:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	19¢	$3	0x9fa29e…
10-29 01:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	232	19¢	$44	0x0ca5a6…
10-29 01:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x120795…
10-29 01:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0x735edd…
10-29 01:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	88	50¢	$44	0x6f3136…
10-29 01:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x9fdf74…
10-29 01:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	91	48¢	$44	0xee1afb…
10-29 01:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x5405cf…
10-29 01:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	110	40¢	$44	0x14c2ce…
10-29 00:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xd944e9…
10-29 00:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	91	48¢	$44	0x4faa74…
10-29 00:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	88	50¢	$44	0x65ce40…
10-29 00:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x8faf0e…
10-29 00:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	98	45¢	$44	0xe20376…
10-29 00:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x604329…
10-29 00:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	96	46¢	$44	0x4f6287…
10-29 00:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xa735f1…
10-29 00:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	93	47¢	$44	0x7fffed…
10-29 00:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x2be1b0…
10-29 00:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	89	49¢	$44	0x39bf20…
10-29 00:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x9bda38…
10-29 00:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	91	48¢	$44	0xc090a3…
10-29 00:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0xd87b70…
10-29 00:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	91	48¢	$44	0xa680f3…