Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.4%

Resolved

111

Trades

191

lifetime

Volume

$552

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-22

last 10-27 00:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 58% -$76

Politics

31% 100% +$74

Other

10% 33% +$13

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 99 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$134	141	141	+0	Yes	+$74	10-26 01:21
CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Team to Advance	2	$38	28	28	+0	Estudiantes de La Plata	+$19	10-23 02:47
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	2	$22	16	16	+0	open	—	10-24 06:56
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$20	14	14	+0	open	—	10-24 06:12
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$19	33	33	+0	open	—	10-24 05:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	10-24 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	10-24 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	10-24 00:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	10-24 09:05
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3	$11	33	27	+6	No	-$1	10-26 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	10-24 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	4	$8	14	14	+0	Up	-$4	10-24 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	6	$6	4	4	+0	Down	$0	10-25 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	5	$6	5	5	+0	Down	$0	10-26 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	-$5	10-24 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	-$5	10-24 09:27
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$5	42	0	+42	No	-$5	10-24 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	-$5	10-24 06:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	-$5	10-24 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	-$5	10-24 04:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	-$5	10-24 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	-$5	10-24 06:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	-$5	10-24 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$5	20	0	+20	Up	-$5	10-24 06:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$5	83	0	+83	Up	-$5	10-24 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	-$5	10-24 05:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	-$5	10-24 06:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	-$5	10-23 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	10-24 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	3	$5	4	3	+1	Up	+$1	10-24 17:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 00:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa4facd…
10-27 00:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xf9cfc8…
10-27 00:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x28dd6c…
10-27 00:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x253b7a…
10-27 00:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x1494fd…
10-27 00:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xdb2426…
10-27 00:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x0c5d68…
10-26 21:58:03	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb83a7a…
10-26 21:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x944511…
10-26 21:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1daad5…
10-26 21:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa86466…
10-26 21:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xef1fce…
10-26 20:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7cd43b…
10-26 20:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x83d2a9…
10-26 20:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc6f596…
10-26 20:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x9fcc94…
10-26 20:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x49b18b…
10-26 06:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x07c59a…
10-26 06:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x2fc5ed…
10-26 06:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x00ee07…
10-26 06:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcb828a…
10-26 06:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x27cad8…
10-26 06:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x518592…
10-26 06:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6e28ac…
10-26 06:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x7e5ea8…
10-26 06:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x392f96…
10-26 06:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x88c059…
10-26 06:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x35ead7…
10-26 06:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x67385d…
10-26 06:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x8a827c…
10-26 06:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x723dc7…
10-26 06:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8ce7f4…
10-26 06:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x4afa05…
10-26 06:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x33df65…
10-26 06:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x658e3a…
10-26 06:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x6b7c1b…
10-26 06:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xdf93c3…
10-26 05:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xaad712…
10-26 05:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa630ed…
10-26 05:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x5dbaee…
10-26 02:37:08	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	27	19¢	$5	0x2a9926…
10-26 02:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xfea8db…
10-26 02:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x0e9a46…
10-26 02:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x900caa…
10-26 02:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x0b3a84…
10-26 02:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb17e51…
10-26 02:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6a4838…
10-26 02:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd4caea…
10-26 02:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xfecc54…
10-26 01:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb80845…
10-26 01:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb0121d…
10-26 01:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x9943f7…
10-26 01:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc68acd…
10-26 01:21:38	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0xf6d035…
10-25 22:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe685a1…
10-25 22:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x8dd437…
10-25 22:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x901c2e…
10-25 22:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe3b0df…
10-25 22:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x99c65d…
10-25 22:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbda5ed…
10-25 21:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xceda27…
10-25 19:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x7b55a8…
10-25 19:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xeb1ce8…
10-25 19:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe96c33…
10-25 19:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8f8d5f…
10-25 19:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x0b00de…
10-25 19:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x98275e…
10-25 19:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x55015b…
10-25 19:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x84eeee…
10-25 01:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x20baec…
10-25 01:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x193ba5…
10-25 01:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x7af29b…
10-25 01:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xeca7b4…
10-25 01:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x3ab4e5…
10-25 01:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x97bc5d…
10-25 01:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x73496d…
10-25 01:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x56b690…
10-25 01:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd83dde…
10-25 01:03:18	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0xb45fd1…
10-25 01:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf1f667…
10-25 00:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf1410b…
10-25 00:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe90b29…
10-25 00:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0a016b…
10-25 00:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5c363b…
10-25 00:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6c8449…
10-24 23:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3f64cb…
10-24 22:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6c4a5b…
10-24 22:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe99b8a…
10-24 22:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xbe112f…
10-24 18:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfde8c1…
10-24 17:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe15d1f…
10-24 17:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x345e08…
10-24 17:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x92ee5d…
10-24 17:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf3d081…
10-24 17:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x64a8e5…
10-24 17:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x84013d…
10-24 17:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x97a3a0…
10-24 17:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8b6b76…
10-24 17:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8b76a5…
10-24 17:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x692b71…