Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.0%

Resolved (30d)

252

Trades (30d)

474

463 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$900

$888 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-22

last 11-11 02:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 70% -$95

Politics

19% 50% +$74

Other

7% 50% +$16

Sports

2% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 99 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$134	141	141	+0	Yes	+$74	10-26 01:21
CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Team to Advance	2	$38	28	28	+0	Estudiantes de La Plata	+$19	10-23 02:47
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	2	$22	16	16	+0	Yes	+$2	10-24 06:56
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$20	14	14	+0	Yes	$0	10-24 06:12
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$19	33	33	+0	open	—	10-24 05:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	10-24 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	10-24 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	10-24 00:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	10-24 09:05
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3	$11	33	27	+6	No	-$1	10-26 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	11-03 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	10-24 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	11-03 02:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	11-03 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	3	$9	21	19	+2	Up	-$5	11-03 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	4	$8	14	14	+0	Up	-$4	10-24 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	8	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	11-11 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	7	$8	6	6	+0	Down	$0	11-10 01:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	4	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	11-04 00:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	6	$7	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	11-11 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	6	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	11-09 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	6	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	11-10 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	5	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	11-09 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	6	$6	4	4	+0	Down	$0	11-10 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	6	$6	4	4	+0	Down	$0	10-25 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	5	$6	5	5	+0	Down	$0	10-26 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	6	$5	6	6	+0	Down	-$1	11-10 03:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	-$5	10-24 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	-$5	10-24 09:27
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$5	42	0	+42	No	-$5	10-24 09:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 02:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xb765d2…
11-11 02:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x5b2fb7…
11-11 02:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x713c9d…
11-11 02:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xbf9149…
11-11 02:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x9f3429…
11-11 02:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xa1ddb8…
11-11 02:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x6aeef2…
11-11 02:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x41eb82…
11-11 02:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9c7e45…
11-11 02:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5e070b…
11-11 02:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x467ab0…
11-11 02:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x59f692…
11-11 02:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x071e66…
11-11 02:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd3e223…
11-11 02:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x8badae…
11-11 02:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xfa22fd…
11-11 02:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x8dafa9…
11-11 02:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6e1725…
11-11 02:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x090354…
11-11 02:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x67645c…
11-11 01:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x5776d4…
11-11 01:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x0ac792…
11-11 01:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x7a3adb…
11-11 01:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb8638b…
11-11 01:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x3e2a04…
11-11 01:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4178d2…
11-11 01:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x2fab9f…
11-11 01:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf40591…
11-11 01:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x95fdec…
11-11 01:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x5efe0b…
11-11 01:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x8a953d…
11-11 01:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3dc1c3…
11-11 01:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc3abde…
11-11 01:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xcfc4d5…
11-11 01:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x32282c…
11-11 01:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x287afd…
11-11 01:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x34b0ee…
11-11 01:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x457b3d…
11-11 01:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x4e38d7…
11-11 01:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	37¢	$1	0xfb2af0…
11-11 01:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3e7be0…
11-11 01:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x945dda…
11-10 20:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6abe44…
11-10 20:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd43fea…
11-10 03:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0xd5f993…
11-10 03:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0xe216c1…
11-10 03:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x60d9c1…
11-10 03:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x18ac98…
11-10 03:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x188754…
11-10 03:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xda7048…
11-10 02:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa337b7…
11-10 02:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc8a182…
11-10 02:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xc0efd0…
11-10 02:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x86b4b3…
11-10 02:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x3ab6c3…
11-10 02:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1cbc3f…
11-10 02:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xcc4aad…
11-10 02:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x0564e8…
11-10 02:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xce3e5c…
11-10 02:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xc7de6b…
11-10 02:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xb1acfb…
11-10 02:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x031368…
11-10 02:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x916ba3…
11-10 02:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5fe8af…
11-10 02:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x182770…
11-10 02:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x60d2b9…
11-10 02:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x6d6355…
11-10 02:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x0cef47…
11-10 02:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	26¢	$0	0xa40650…
11-10 02:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2657df…
11-10 02:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x84190b…
11-10 02:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x73427e…
11-10 02:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x43e2ba…
11-10 02:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x17ba3b…
11-10 02:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x0fd79d…
11-10 02:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9fb96b…
11-10 02:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xefd765…
11-10 02:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xea2398…
11-10 02:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xeec2b6…
11-10 02:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xcdd29c…
11-10 02:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xcc9dd3…
11-10 02:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xdb7802…
11-10 02:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x84491e…
11-10 02:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x186821…
11-10 02:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0xfd065a…
11-10 02:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa7b5dc…
11-10 01:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x4135ab…
11-10 01:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1fb814…
11-10 01:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x07a0e2…
11-10 01:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2e8ae6…
11-10 01:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xfe9b3c…
11-10 01:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa7104f…
11-10 01:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0xf0db25…
11-10 01:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x6d45ab…
11-10 01:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x54cc28…
11-10 01:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x015272…
11-10 01:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0x4757d7…
11-10 01:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd8b8e0…
11-10 01:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9c0bb6…
11-10 00:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xe10389…