Sure-Footed-Checkroom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$912

Unrealized P&L

+$77

Hit rate

40.8%

Resolved

337

Trades

639

lifetime

Volume

$21.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

$324

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-15 05:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Other

56% 55% -$673

Sports

24% 55% -$88

Politics

14% 42% -$31

Crypto

4% 22% -$138

Tech

2% 67% +$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	+1,000	$360	29¢	$285	-$75	10-15 05:50
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	-300	-$189	6¢	$-19	+$170	06-03 07:52
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	+299	$24	6¢	$16	-$7	09-30 20:40
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+100	$26	3¢	$3	-$23	09-08 20:14
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+0	-$13	19¢	$0	+$13	06-22 06:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	14	$2.9K	2,016	2,279	-263	No	-$164	02-03 16:51
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$997	3,086	3,086	+0	No	-$3	06-07 20:26
open up or down on february 13 2026	6	$841	460	460	+0	Up	-$8	02-13 18:20
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	7	$768	1,543	543	+1,000	open	—	10-15 05:50
republican house odds up or down this week	5	$736	504	504	+0	Up	-$5	02-13 11:46
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	2	$554	400	400	+0	No	-$6	02-09 14:00
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	3	$497	0	948	-948	Spurs	+$22	06-09 03:21
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	3	$450	0	908	-908	Justin Gaethje	-$5	06-11 16:33
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	7	$439	582	582	+0	open	—	06-24 15:26
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$432	222	222	+0	Yes	+$12	06-21 04:14
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	11	$426	948	948	+0	open	—	06-22 06:27
Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$409	239	239	+0	No	+$9	06-20 22:08
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	6	$395	400	400	+0	Yes	-$3	02-19 14:26
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$386	995	995	+0	No	-$14	07-15 19:57
spx up or down on february 2 2026	2	$334	200	200	+0	Up	-$2	02-02 15:50
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	4	$322	218	218	+0	Seahawks	+$22	02-09 04:52
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?	4	$244	207	207	+0	open	—	10-08 16:27
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	3	$233	143	143	+0	Yes	+$33	06-11 20:17
msft up or down on february 26 2026	3	$232	186	186	+0	Up	-$17	02-26 16:02
ethereum above 2500 on january 31	3	$232	160	80	+80	No	-$75	01-31 14:26
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	3	$228	119	119	+0	Yes	+$8	06-24 20:59
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	2	$223	125	125	+0	Alexander Zverev	+$23	06-02 15:12
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$210	111	111	+0	No	+$10	06-17 04:16
Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$208	110	110	+0	No	+$8	06-17 04:17
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?	1	$200	202	0	+202	No	+$2	06-20 18:13
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	6	$193	150	150	+0	No	-$5	03-01 16:43
Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026?	2	$193	200	200	+0	Yes	-$23	03-16 09:31
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	10	$189	0	300	-300	open	—	06-03 07:52
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	2	$174	667	567	+100	open	—	09-08 20:14
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	3	$160	120	70	+50	Yes	+$10	06-27 13:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 05:50:52	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	SELL	250	37¢	$92	0xabefd1…
10-13 18:39:52	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	250	39¢	$98	0x52e4cc…
10-11 19:24:00	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	SELL	293	38¢	$111	0xca8608…
10-09 03:36:50	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x31aad1…
10-08 16:27:54	Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	107	97¢	$105	0x8a3fe5…
10-08 06:03:11	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x38a2f9…
10-06 19:44:45	Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x50b0de…
10-06 19:42:57	Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x6054bb…
10-06 19:42:30	Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x4841a6…
10-04 18:46:47	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	343	34¢	$117	0x7a7939…
10-03 20:33:50	Will Spain win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x562fac…
10-03 20:20:43	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	417	36¢	$150	0xb0c169…
09-30 20:40:29	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	299	8¢	$24	0xa3db21…
09-08 20:14:10	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	567	13¢	$74	0x3a4f92…
09-04 18:42:27	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	667	15¢	$100	0xedf7c0…
07-15 19:57:44	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	200	20¢	$39	0x1d8ab4…
07-15 08:12:40	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	300	19¢	$58	0x93f292…
07-11 20:00:47	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Paddy Pimblett	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x68e66a…
07-11 19:57:29	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x5d7ed3…
07-11 19:09:34	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	495	18¢	$89	0x8d2464…
07-09 15:11:49	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	161	3¢	$5	0x54a7eb…
07-09 15:07:50	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	995	20¢	$200	0x541f93…
07-08 17:07:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xf025b3…
07-08 17:06:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x57c265…
07-08 17:06:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	124	2¢	$2	0xdf6169…
07-08 06:40:17	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	325	3¢	$10	0x473723…
07-08 06:39:50	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	235	6¢	$14	0xa299cf…
07-06 08:30:40	Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0xaee9c0…
07-06 08:29:07	will abstract launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0xf7bc57…
07-06 08:27:17	Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x1bdcde…
07-04 21:35:55	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x544d72…
07-03 18:51:13	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	79	4¢	$3	0x220d3f…
07-03 18:44:50	Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?	No	SELL	42	91¢	$38	0x72c81e…
07-03 18:19:53	Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xbb295a…
07-03 05:13:44	Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xc43da6…
07-01 04:59:20	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0xf2d21c…
07-01 04:57:50	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0xb741a2…
06-28 08:41:40	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x1268c6…
06-28 08:41:20	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0xa28213…
06-28 08:40:59	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x038da2…
06-28 08:40:40	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xb5edf9…
06-28 08:40:11	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x9e2ad6…
06-28 08:39:52	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x30d7c4…
06-28 08:38:25	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x0950f2…
06-27 13:57:04	Argentina to score first vs. Jordan?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x4e32a5…
06-27 13:55:44	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xf2ec4e…
06-27 13:55:17	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	SELL	50	85¢	$43	0xd02d88…
06-27 06:47:37	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	143	8¢	$11	0x2d019f…
06-27 06:16:19	Will England win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x54017d…
06-26 18:33:49	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x5bef59…
06-26 18:33:34	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xe2a23b…
06-26 18:30:47	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x5c8dae…
06-25 20:40:43	Germany to score first vs. Ecuador?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xd2d8fc…
06-25 20:38:46	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	SELL	59	92¢	$54	0xad767d…
06-25 04:51:23	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xac6e45…
06-25 04:48:20	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x5f059b…
06-25 04:47:16	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xadc86e…
06-25 04:46:05	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x92cce8…
06-25 04:40:13	Germany to score first vs. Ecuador?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x2b33b1…
06-25 04:38:52	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x732f4b…
06-24 21:08:16	Korea Republic to score first vs. South Africa?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x531e33…
06-24 21:05:16	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x66b682…
06-24 21:05:01	Brazil to score first vs. Scotland?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xf9b2b7…
06-24 21:03:28	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x39feeb…
06-24 21:02:16	Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xefe002…
06-24 21:00:13	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xcb9fd9…
06-24 20:59:05	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	SELL	119	100¢	$118	0x6146f3…
06-24 20:57:53	Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,667	0¢	$2	0x6a0ecc…
06-24 20:53:52	Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6772ce…
06-24 20:51:59	Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	22	81¢	$18	0x4bb351…
06-24 20:37:02	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xa23230…
06-24 20:35:56	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 btts	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xa4b0d3…
06-24 20:29:26	Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x27a5bc…
06-24 20:29:05	Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0x9551b9…
06-24 20:28:56	Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	63	97¢	$61	0xa805ee…
06-24 20:23:08	Switzerland to score first vs. Canada?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xa58ab4…
06-24 20:22:50	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 btts	Yes	SELL	18	41¢	$7	0x0cefa0…
06-24 20:22:29	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x6fb824…
06-24 19:11:19	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0x1917db…
06-24 19:07:55	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x966902…
06-24 15:26:41	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	300	38¢	$115	0x811ac7…
06-24 15:14:13	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x529313…
06-23 20:49:31	Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	47	6¢	$3	0xd32019…
06-23 20:37:04	Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0x7e0147…
06-23 20:35:38	Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0x408ed6…
06-23 19:14:16	Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x7af81f…
06-23 19:09:14	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0xdcc810…
06-23 18:29:56	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xa2d5ad…
06-23 18:19:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x06ad43…
06-23 18:11:52	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x0d2f78…
06-23 18:10:34	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x6ffa38…
06-23 17:21:46	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x4f2d32…
06-23 04:57:56	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x648700…
06-23 04:49:44	Morocco to score first vs. Haiti?	Yes	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xf6ef1d…
06-23 04:48:47	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 btts	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x76df88…
06-23 04:47:53	Switzerland to score first vs. Canada?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x1950b1…
06-23 04:46:31	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 btts	Yes	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0xb53cea…
06-23 04:45:50	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x15d7ee…
06-23 04:45:26	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	No	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0xc46467…
06-23 04:44:29	Croatia to score first vs. Panama?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x528915…