(anonymous) 0xc1b5f2…ef5d85
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$225
Unrealized P&L
+$7.55K
Hit rate
58.6%
Resolved (90d)
589
Trades (90d)
4,440
4,440 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$571.1K
$571.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$129
Open exposure
$227.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-12
last 10-26 23:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Politics
49% 71% +$522
Other
43% 87% -$453
Sports
8% 100% +$159
Tech
1% 67% -$4
Crypto
0% 91% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 693 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +32,867 $28,586 94¢ $30.7K +$2,144 10-26 16:36
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +36,626 $25,361 68¢ $25.1K -$273 10-26 22:36
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +17,787 $16,130 100¢ $17.8K +$1,639 10-26 09:52
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +17,517 $14,761 100¢ $17.5K +$2,739 10-26 09:52
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +15,569 $15,311 100¢ $15.6K +$242 10-26 09:52
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +35,509 $10,909 32¢ $11.2K +$276 10-26 22:36
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +10,071 $10,051 100¢ $10.1K +$10 10-26 09:52
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +10,071 $10,042 100¢ $10.1K +$14 10-26 09:52
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +14,927 $9,177 65¢ $9.6K +$465 10-25 17:06
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +8,796 $8,773 99¢ $8.7K -$34 10-26 22:36
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +5,952 $5,946 100¢ $5.9K -$3 10-24 18:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +5,973 $5,827 97¢ $5.8K -$15 10-21 15:39
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +15,523 $5,938 35¢ $5.4K -$504 10-25 17:06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +6,042 $4,797 80¢ $4.8K +$6 10-21 15:39
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +6,054 $3,902 64¢ $3.9K +$3 10-22 02:37
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +5,430 $3,833 68¢ $3.7K -$168 10-25 01:52
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +5,380 $3,411 66¢ $3.5K +$113 10-18 00:42
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? No +3,642 $3,351 95¢ $3.5K +$102 10-26 14:39
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +3,462 $3,285 98¢ $3.4K +$116 10-26 14:39
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +3,055 $3,051 100¢ $3.1K -$1 10-26 01:37
Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026? No +3,059 $2,916 100¢ $3.1K +$134 10-25 00:17
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026? No +3,059 $2,948 99¢ $3.0K +$85 10-25 00:17
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,971 $2,967 100¢ $3.0K +$1 10-26 12:00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,971 $2,962 100¢ $3.0K -$1 10-26 12:00
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +3,394 $2,505 83¢ $2.8K +$312 10-21 23:28
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +3,059 $2,506 91¢ $2.8K +$278 10-25 00:17
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +7,916 $2,761 34¢ $2.7K -$30 10-23 09:16
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +3,059 $2,597 88¢ $2.7K +$110 10-25 00:17
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +2,821 $2,746 95¢ $2.7K -$64 10-25 00:17
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +3,059 $2,823 87¢ $2.7K -$148 10-25 00:17