Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$192

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.4%

Resolved

581

Trades

2,061

lifetime

Volume

$22.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-09

last 10-28 02:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 72% +$72

Other

15% 50% -$239

Tech

6% — —

Politics

1% 50% -$26

Sports

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 193 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	7	$1.3K	900	900	+0	open	—	09-10 23:37
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	12	$821	720	720	+0	Yes	+$24	09-11 08:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$460	500	500	+0	No	+$0	09-08 15:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:05 UTC	23	$437	276	276	+0	Down	+$17	09-24 13:08
Will the next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?	10	$368	225	225	+0	Yes	-$13	09-01 07:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 14:25 UTC	23	$367	288	237	+52	Up	+$11	09-21 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 12:40 UTC	15	$345	189	189	+0	Down	+$5	09-25 12:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 12:30 UTC	24	$338	185	185	+0	Up	+$8	09-25 12:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 12:45 UTC	12	$330	314	203	+111	Down	-$120	09-25 12:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 13:25 UTC	17	$313	173	173	+0	Down	+$11	09-21 13:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 14:05 UTC	21	$312	322	322	+0	Down	+$4	09-21 14:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 14:15 UTC	20	$284	874	174	+700	Up	+$2	09-21 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	15	$281	149	149	+0	Down	+$3	09-22 14:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 12:35 UTC	18	$279	198	198	+0	Up	+$19	09-25 12:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 13:15 UTC	16	$270	152	152	+0	Down	+$4	09-21 13:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 12:50 UTC	13	$241	124	124	+0	Up	+$1	10-05 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	13	$223	125	125	+0	Down	+$3	10-04 14:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 15:20 UTC	11	$218	200	200	+0	Down	+$38	10-04 15:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 14:10 UTC	13	$215	126	126	+0	Up	-$1	09-21 14:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:15 UTC	11	$209	114	114	+0	Up	+$9	09-24 13:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 14:00 UTC	21	$208	199	64	+135	Down	+$5	09-21 14:03
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	6	$205	570	570	+0	No	-$4	09-12 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:30 UTC	13	$205	119	119	+0	Up	+$5	10-04 22:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 22:20 UTC	12	$202	104	104	+0	Down	+$4	09-21 22:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:15 UTC	13	$197	104	104	+0	Up	+$3	09-19 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	10	$183	99	99	+0	Up	+$3	10-05 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	7	$182	93	93	+0	Up	+$2	10-05 13:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 12:55 UTC	8	$182	99	99	+0	Up	+$12	09-24 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	7	$180	92	92	+0	Up	+$0	10-05 13:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 13:30 UTC	7	$178	93	93	+0	Down	-$2	10-05 13:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 02:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xcc8dcc…
10-25 23:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$4	0x8500af…
10-23 08:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	29	1¢	$0	0x7e2c6b…
10-23 02:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb904f4…
10-23 00:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xa2afd8…
10-22 17:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6c6635…
10-22 14:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	83	5¢	$4	0x13297c…
10-22 14:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0xd5335b…
10-22 13:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x307618…
10-22 13:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x0c5b71…
10-22 07:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$5	0xbd0eb0…
10-22 07:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7f49dc…
10-22 04:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xcfde40…
10-21 23:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x19ea16…
10-21 15:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x19afa4…
10-21 15:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xf7400a…
10-21 14:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xd1501d…
10-21 10:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x9ab830…
10-21 06:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x1fceac…
10-21 05:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x366cdd…
10-21 04:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x71508c…
10-21 04:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x153c40…
10-20 14:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x3f0954…
10-20 14:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x0d57e1…
10-20 14:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x698929…
10-20 14:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x924298…
10-20 14:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x2adb56…
10-20 14:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x7050d4…
10-20 14:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xd5bade…
10-20 14:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x1c80a1…
10-20 14:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xed8f80…
10-20 14:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0xf4fe23…
10-20 14:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x52433e…
10-20 14:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x8e0b34…
10-20 14:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xe7dfdd…
10-20 14:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x2a7565…
10-20 14:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x0d23df…
10-20 14:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x6c38cd…
10-20 13:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd55556…
10-20 13:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc49e3b…
10-20 13:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xceb3c2…
10-20 13:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x722d0b…
10-20 13:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x194953…
10-20 13:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xeef19d…
10-20 13:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xe775b9…
10-20 13:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa51be8…
10-20 13:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x5aa59e…
10-20 13:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xf9b179…
10-19 23:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb84050…
10-19 23:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6735a6…
10-19 23:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	45¢	$1	0xf27df6…
10-19 23:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x381aba…
10-19 14:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa9388d…
10-19 14:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa87ad1…
10-19 14:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6440fc…
10-19 14:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd5d877…
10-19 14:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcc5644…
10-19 14:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x59216a…
10-19 14:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4f2d8b…
10-19 14:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4bbd2d…
10-19 14:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	86¢	$8	0x75715c…
10-19 14:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe9e37d…
10-19 14:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8085ba…
10-19 14:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3afe8a…
10-19 14:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb0685f…
10-19 14:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1a0d9e…
10-19 14:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x76cde9…
10-19 14:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x41eaf0…
10-19 14:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6a596c…
10-19 14:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x25ff85…
10-19 14:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x6a2fe0…
10-19 14:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xff73f0…
10-19 14:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9619d1…
10-19 14:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x7e2d21…
10-19 14:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x28912f…
10-19 14:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xeb5cac…
10-19 14:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa4b74e…
10-19 14:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x142632…
10-19 14:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0x32d94b…
10-19 14:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4530cf…
10-19 14:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x275766…
10-19 14:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xb68aa5…
10-19 14:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xd075ce…
10-19 14:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x601bff…
10-19 14:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8f139f…
10-19 14:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x6af172…
10-19 14:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x4647d3…
10-19 14:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xe540e2…
10-19 14:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x40a2e5…
10-19 14:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0306c3…
10-19 14:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xcb112b…
10-19 14:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x92bd33…
10-19 14:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x7bbc07…
10-19 14:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa70541…
10-19 14:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3a1cea…
10-19 14:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x121d5c…
10-19 14:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x61c045…
10-19 14:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x51c3c3…
10-19 14:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x590e65…
10-19 14:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x147d14…