Neglected-Brake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$715

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 05-13 14:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 54% $-25

Politics

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	11	$189	171	137	+34	Yes	+$29	05-08 15:04
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	7	$80	12,557	12,557	+0	open	—	04-29 20:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 27?	4	$31	221	26	+194	open	—	04-27 15:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 29?	5	$30	349	0	+349	open	—	04-29 21:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?	4	$28	4,843	4,495	+347	open	—	04-25 11:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 26?	2	$28	18	18	+1	open	—	04-26 16:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28?	2	$26	474	441	+33	open	—	04-27 18:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on April 27?	2	$25	33	32	+2	open	—	04-27 19:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	05-13 14:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	05-06 08:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	3	$21	50	0	+50	No	$-21	05-13 14:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-04 14:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-04 14:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	05-08 14:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	2	$20	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	05-10 11:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	$-0	05-05 19:37
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 26?	3	$18	29	27	+1	open	—	04-26 18:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	2	$16	11	11	+0	No	$-4	05-07 15:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	6	$15	2,347	0	+2,347	No	$-15	05-07 16:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	1	$11	12	0	+12	No	+$1	05-12 08:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	1	$10	139	0	+139	Yes	$-10	05-09 13:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	1	$10	62	0	+62	Yes	$-10	05-11 08:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	1	$10	12	0	+12	Yes	+$2	05-12 08:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27?	1	$5	45	0	+45	open	—	04-26 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	3	$3	101	1	+100	open	—	04-27 13:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 25?	1	$3	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	04-25 11:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on April 29?	1	$3	103	0	+103	open	—	04-29 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-26 16:20
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 26?	2	$2	17	16	+1	open	—	04-26 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$1	111	0	+111	open	—	04-26 17:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 14:13:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x89e15e…
05-13 14:11:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xef7b54…
05-13 14:10:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xf8d045…
05-13 08:04:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xfa2916…
05-13 08:04:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x0b4160…
05-12 08:31:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x3bf8ce…
05-12 08:31:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xe2516c…
05-11 08:24:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x8934bd…
05-10 11:54:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x6222eb…
05-10 10:13:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xce8575…
05-09 13:44:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	139	7¢	$10	0x0054ea…
05-08 15:04:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0c9b49…
05-08 14:52:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xe2f639…
05-08 14:51:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	14	73¢	$11	0xc86093…
05-08 14:50:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x211bd5…
05-08 14:49:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	70	68¢	$48	0x7d3920…
05-08 14:39:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	18	68¢	$12	0xff9c17…
05-08 14:10:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xe227f1…
05-08 14:09:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	No	SELL	32	64¢	$20	0x6f930e…
05-08 14:08:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xd0ba53…
05-08 14:05:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	No	SELL	21	65¢	$14	0x52084d…
05-08 14:04:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xf1d54e…
05-08 06:59:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x90d031…
05-08 06:58:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xa83d5e…
05-07 16:11:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6a64a3…
05-07 16:02:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x546635…
05-07 15:49:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	Yes	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0x54b4d9…
05-07 14:43:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x5927d4…
05-07 13:57:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x8dced4…
05-07 09:39:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe97ebf…
05-07 07:19:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x1404af…
05-06 15:27:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xab1285…
05-06 08:55:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x697bea…
05-05 19:37:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x90e62c…
05-05 19:37:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4037bb…
05-05 18:54:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x58fdf8…
05-04 14:16:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	11	94¢	$11	0x1335c1…
05-04 14:16:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0x27e42d…
05-04 12:32:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x731b4d…
05-04 12:28:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x38be31…
04-29 21:17:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0xddaa76…
04-29 21:05:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0x486616…
04-29 21:04:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0xc574db…
04-29 21:03:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0xcc8dac…
04-29 21:03:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0x21ed8d…
04-29 20:54:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	132	8¢	$10	0x1f27fd…
04-29 20:40:06	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	11,723	0¢	$35	0xbb7305…
04-28 12:54:22	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	7,500	0¢	$30	0x8da2b1…
04-27 21:28:56	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	3,723	0¢	$11	0x425c91…
04-27 19:37:06	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xed0da2…
04-27 19:34:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	32	40¢	$13	0x902985…
04-27 18:14:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	33	37¢	$12	0x5e3a17…
04-27 18:11:54	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	833	0¢	$1	0xb61ce4…
04-27 18:11:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28?	Yes	SELL	441	3¢	$12	0x88c16a…
04-27 16:38:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	474	3¢	$14	0xe7e7ae…
04-27 15:23:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xea78a4…
04-27 15:22:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	126	2¢	$2	0x869cc8…
04-27 15:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xba0d5c…
04-27 15:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf94628…
04-27 14:51:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	26	69¢	$18	0x01afe2…
04-27 13:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe7eab0…
04-27 13:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdc4d12…
04-27 13:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb0f495…
04-27 08:08:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x06161b…
04-27 06:26:08	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x5dba67…
04-26 19:49:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xc77c33…
04-26 18:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3ea770…
04-26 18:51:32	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 26?	Yes	SELL	16	7¢	$1	0x8c5d70…
04-26 18:51:24	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 26?	Yes	SELL	27	38¢	$10	0xc887f3…
04-26 18:12:10	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xbb8c6b…
04-26 17:42:52	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x2ceb74…
04-26 17:36:46	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe4ed69…
04-26 17:36:40	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xe28485…
04-26 17:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x9b99c0…
04-26 16:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xba26dc…
04-26 16:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9ff42d…
04-26 16:15:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 26?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x30eeb4…
04-26 08:20:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xe1487f…
04-25 11:49:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xc89823…
04-25 11:48:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?	Yes	SELL	1,401	0¢	$3	0x53a789…
04-25 11:37:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	1,509	0¢	$7	0x988fc4…
04-25 11:33:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?	Yes	SELL	3,094	0¢	$8	0xfff1a5…
04-25 11:27:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x42a89c…