Stupendous-Developing-Intuition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.8%

Resolved

Trades

106

lifetime

Volume

$384

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-01

last 06-02 11:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 50% +$1

Sports

6% 9% -$3

Politics

1% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	5	$31	53	39	+14	Down	+$1	06-02 08:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	7	$30	34	34	+0	Up	-$6	06-02 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	5	$30	29	22	+7	Up	$0	06-02 09:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	4	$26	23	23	+0	Down	+$4	06-02 09:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	5	$23	27	22	+5	Up	+$2	06-02 08:28
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	4	$23	21	21	+0	Down	+$3	06-02 07:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	3	$22	183	33	+150	Up	-$2	06-02 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	4	$19	25	25	+0	Down	+$7	06-02 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	6	$18	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	06-02 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	5	$16	18	15	+3	Down	+$1	06-02 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	3	$16	27	10	+18	Down	$0	06-02 09:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	4	$15	11	11	+0	Down	+$3	06-02 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Down	+$5	06-02 08:50
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$10	9	9	+0	Down	+$0	06-02 08:16
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	$0	06-02 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$9	14	14	+0	Up	-$1	06-02 08:34
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$8	8	8	+0	Down	-$2	06-02 08:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$6	18	18	+0	Down	+$2	06-02 08:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	-$5	06-02 08:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$5	42	0	+42	Up	-$5	06-02 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	-$5	06-02 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$5	15	15	+0	Down	-$3	06-02 09:27
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$4	21	21	+0	No	+$0	06-02 07:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$4	7	7	+0	Up	-$2	06-02 08:14
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$4	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-02 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	06-02 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$3	7	0	+7	Down	+$4	06-02 08:51
Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-01 06:52
will cody gakpo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	06-02 07:48
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-02 07:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 11:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x670273…
06-02 11:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x55d798…
06-02 11:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9a1e47…
06-02 09:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x99c7ca…
06-02 09:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xd41b0f…
06-02 09:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0x7ab0e2…
06-02 09:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x8e04da…
06-02 09:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x26e8d9…
06-02 09:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x083662…
06-02 09:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	12	74¢	$9	0x8c0841…
06-02 09:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xbb9851…
06-02 09:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x27e421…
06-02 09:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x596dd2…
06-02 09:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0xf142ab…
06-02 09:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	33	30¢	$10	0xfe12ab…
06-02 09:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	33	27¢	$9	0xda8aea…
06-02 09:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0xc9aea6…
06-02 09:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x5ccf21…
06-02 09:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	15	53¢	$8	0xc359d4…
06-02 09:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x9e57bf…
06-02 08:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x5c8a88…
06-02 08:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xb06e8e…
06-02 08:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xb8b162…
06-02 08:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x2e9ea6…
06-02 08:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe89cd2…
06-02 08:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0xd5d1b5…
06-02 08:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x941b4c…
06-02 08:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x93a4ca…
06-02 08:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x66769b…
06-02 08:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x2a0b9d…
06-02 08:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xc78b20…
06-02 08:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xc2a9cc…
06-02 08:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x848692…
06-02 08:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x8b78d9…
06-02 08:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	56¢	$5	0x16d3b9…
06-02 08:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x43dda9…
06-02 08:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xc78a60…
06-02 08:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	16	48¢	$8	0xbdced2…
06-02 08:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xd26697…
06-02 08:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	23	35¢	$8	0xa7bc5c…
06-02 08:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x8e3a68…
06-02 08:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	14	33¢	$4	0x4081f8…
06-02 08:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xda8e61…
06-02 08:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdc96fb…
06-02 08:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x8acdd7…
06-02 08:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xcb1aa1…
06-02 08:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x0abbe4…
06-02 08:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x871e18…
06-02 08:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	18	24¢	$4	0x44b654…
06-02 08:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xdc26a8…
06-02 08:23:09	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	8	30¢	$3	0x0560fe…
06-02 08:20:19	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x0ddf49…
06-02 08:19:57	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xc526c0…
06-02 08:19:51	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc512bb…
06-02 08:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x1f2191…
06-02 08:16:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0xafc559…
06-02 08:15:13	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x6d5f2f…
06-02 08:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xc8a18f…
06-02 08:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x494a74…
06-02 08:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x069712…
06-02 08:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x075977…
06-02 08:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xcc20c6…
06-02 08:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x25a39e…
06-02 08:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x983ad0…
06-02 08:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x7b28ba…
06-02 08:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xe1c212…
06-02 08:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x3b707b…
06-02 08:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x3b1e48…
06-02 08:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$4	0x368c30…
06-02 07:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x27cea1…
06-02 07:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	21	41¢	$8	0x2c6643…
06-02 07:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xf99ec1…
06-02 07:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2ede50…
06-02 07:52:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0x21171f…
06-02 07:51:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x45e5ca…
06-02 07:51:36	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	12	67¢	$8	0xa57776…
06-02 07:50:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x181972…
06-02 07:48:46	Will any World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xfd9214…
06-02 07:48:42	Will Italy replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	71	0¢	$0	0xa310ae…
06-02 07:48:37	Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xf87258…
06-02 07:48:35	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xa94ddb…
06-02 07:48:32	will cody gakpo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0x95dbb2…
06-02 07:48:30	Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xd5268f…
06-02 07:48:25	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0x3a0f22…
06-02 07:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x52706d…
06-02 07:44:30	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xb5ed0e…
06-02 07:44:29	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x794efb…
06-02 07:44:25	Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x3155b7…
06-02 07:44:18	Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xd7ddc5…
06-02 07:44:16	Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xc549de…
06-02 07:36:54	Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x4460db…
06-01 06:55:38	Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x95fbac…
06-01 06:54:46	Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x28bef8…
06-01 06:52:52	Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x924e49…
06-01 06:52:15	Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5a42ec…
06-01 06:51:31	Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xd8aa45…
06-01 06:51:07	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xffd71e…
06-01 06:48:22	will cody gakpo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x5a2a0f…
06-01 06:47:00	Will any World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xdf4731…
06-01 06:46:15	Will Trump say "NATO" this week?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4f111a…