Scary-Yurt — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

—

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

27 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$4.18K lifetime

Avg / trade

$155

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 05-21 06:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Tech

86% 89% -$420

Other

9% 100% +$51

Crypto

5% 70% -$16

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?	1	$600	640	+640	Yes	+$40	05-06 06:04
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?	1	$600	619	+619	No	-$600	05-13 07:12
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?	1	$590	600	+600	Yes	+$10	05-05 03:21
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$395	416	+416	Yes	+$21	04-27 08:19
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 24	1	$376	396	+396	Yes	+$20	04-22 08:21
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 14	1	$360	377	+377	Yes	+$17	04-14 06:33
will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 7	1	$313	360	+360	Yes	+$47	04-06 08:28
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$297	313	+313	Yes	+$16	03-10 07:28
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?	1	$200	251	+251	Yes	+$51	05-10 01:10
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$172	177	+177	Yes	+$5	04-28 03:49
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	1	$80	84	+84	Yes	+$4	05-16 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	3	$35	41	+41	Up	-$3	05-21 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$25	33	+33	Down	-$25	05-21 06:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	1	$25	27	+27	Up	+$2	05-21 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$25	25	+25	Down	+$0	05-21 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$20	27	+27	Up	-$20	05-21 06:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$20	28	+28	Up	+$8	05-21 05:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$20	21	+21	Up	+$1	05-21 06:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$10	20	+20	Down	+$9	05-21 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$10	20	+20	Down	+$10	05-21 06:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$10	12	+12	Up	+$2	05-21 06:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 06:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x38280d…
05-21 06:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x451a9d…
05-21 06:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x397e04…
05-21 06:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x133974…
05-21 06:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x9e1965…
05-21 06:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x820658…
05-21 06:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xbe88ef…
05-21 05:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xf57933…
05-21 05:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x4ce162…
05-21 04:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xcaf700…
05-21 04:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xe92faf…
05-21 04:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x713198…
05-21 04:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x8300dc…
05-21 04:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xaffd1c…
05-21 04:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0xe19a5c…
05-21 04:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x00af11…
05-16 14:43:41	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	Yes	BUY	84	96¢	$80	0x0b00a5…
05-13 07:12:43	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?	Yes	BUY	619	97¢	$600	0x1abac1…
05-10 01:10:16	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?	Yes	BUY	251	80¢	$200	0xea2fb1…
05-06 06:04:14	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?	Yes	BUY	640	94¢	$600	0xd7f2a2…
05-05 03:21:34	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?	Yes	BUY	600	98¢	$590	0xae375f…
04-28 03:49:40	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	177	97¢	$172	0xb19cca…
04-27 08:19:44	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	416	95¢	$395	0xd2fac3…
04-22 08:21:50	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 24	Yes	BUY	396	95¢	$376	0x614b31…
04-14 06:33:19	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 14	Yes	BUY	377	96¢	$360	0xd27fc4…
04-06 08:28:05	will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 7	Yes	BUY	360	87¢	$313	0x7e42ee…
03-10 07:28:51	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	313	95¢	$297	0x96ecb4…