Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$149

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

73.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,056

lifetime

Volume

$569.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$277

Open exposure

$462

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-03 06:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

57% — —

Crypto

38% — —

Sports

5% 67% $-149

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	Yes		-472	$-467	98¢	$-462	+$5	06-03 06:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?	27	$50.4K	41,997	8,795	+33,202	open	—	03-06 09:04
kraken ipo by march 31 2026	12	$50.1K	42,618	7,898	+34,720	open	—	03-29 12:14
will solv energy incs market cap be greater than 5pt4b at market close on ipo day	79	$41.0K	41,644	41,644	+0	open	—	02-12 12:58
will alexander bublik win the 2026 australian open	1	$30.7K	31,136	0	+31,136	open	—	01-24 17:53
Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	27	$24.1K	12,151	12,151	+0	open	—	04-14 06:27
Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?	3	$22.6K	22,710	0	+22,710	open	—	02-01 09:52
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	131	$20.6K	10,555	10,555	+0	open	—	02-12 03:39
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	17	$19.6K	10,295	10,295	+0	open	—	02-11 15:57
cs2 vit navi 2026 03 29	29	$19.1K	15,332	4,139	+11,193	open	—	03-29 13:44
will solv energy incs market cap be less than 3pt8b at market close on ipo day	41	$18.3K	36,219	32,729	+3,490	open	—	02-12 16:36
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	51	$15.1K	9,854	5,392	+4,462	open	—	04-24 11:08
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	14	$14.6K	7,553	7,542	+11	open	—	03-23 13:41
cs2 vit navi 2026 04 17 game2	14	$14.0K	14,156	0	+14,156	open	—	04-17 19:56
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?	19	$13.2K	6,662	6,662	+0	open	—	02-03 14:05
will madison airs market cap be greater than 13pt5b at market close on ipo day	13	$9.5K	7,293	5,650	+1,643	open	—	04-17 09:47
Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?	9	$9.4K	6,650	2,979	+3,671	open	—	03-05 20:54
Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?	34	$9.2K	7,301	1,929	+5,371	open	—	02-06 14:32
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	18	$9.1K	5,885	5,885	+0	open	—	03-24 12:53
cs2 vit navi 2026 03 29 game2	46	$7.5K	4,108	4,108	+0	open	—	03-29 12:42
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	7	$6.9K	3,490	3,465	+25	open	—	03-19 12:11
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	16	$6.7K	3,286	3,488	-202	open	—	03-11 14:50
Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?	19	$5.9K	5,383	559	+4,823	open	—	03-05 21:47
cs2 vit aur1 2026 03 28	13	$5.7K	5,528	267	+5,261	open	—	03-28 15:48
will backpack launch a token on march 12	10	$5.4K	5,454	0	+5,454	open	—	03-12 19:51
cs2 vit navi 2026 03 29 game3	15	$5.3K	4,322	1,129	+3,193	open	—	03-29 13:50
will paradex launch a token on march 5	62	$5.2K	245,117	244,091	+1,025	open	—	03-05 21:41
deel ipo by march 31	3	$5.1K	2,603	2,550	+53	open	—	03-29 11:59
will spyglass pharma incs market cap be greater than 700m at market close on ipo day	39	$5.1K	5,893	0	+5,893	open	—	02-06 23:53
cs2 vit fal2 2026 01 24 game2	15	$4.9K	3,500	1,800	+1,700	open	—	01-24 19:19
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?	10	$4.7K	2,341	2,341	+0	open	—	03-19 21:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 06:31:03	Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	472	99¢	$467	0x2c3451…
04-24 17:22:18	will x energys market cap be greater than 9b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x971c38…
04-24 11:08:30	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	650	99¢	$642	0x89bc25…
04-24 01:12:28	will x energys market cap be greater than 9b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x70f07f…
04-22 19:40:16	will yesways market cap be greater than 1pt0b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x5fbcbe…
04-22 19:39:00	will yesways market cap be between 600m and 700m at market close on ipo day	No	BUY	530	100¢	$530	0x846735…
04-22 16:15:30	will yesway not ipo before june 2026	No	BUY	861	100¢	$859	0xee0fcb…
04-19 03:58:26	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be greater than 2pt1b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	265	100¢	$264	0xde07a5…
04-19 00:53:46	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be greater than 2pt1b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x729ab7…
04-18 22:11:22	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be greater than 2pt1b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3d6e17…
04-18 12:56:44	Will Newcastle be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0xd304ba…
04-17 21:35:32	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be greater than 2pt1b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0e1071…
04-17 21:07:02	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xcb00df…
04-17 21:04:16	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	85	98¢	$84	0x1afdc6…
04-17 20:59:20	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	82	98¢	$80	0xdd36f3…
04-17 20:57:14	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	83	98¢	$82	0x49c14d…
04-17 20:25:46	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be greater than 2pt1b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xeb8db7…
04-17 20:25:32	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	113	98¢	$111	0x0d9a13…
04-17 20:06:16	will alamar biosciencess market cap be greater than 1pt3b at market close on ipo day	No	SELL	23	3¢	$1	0xad9757…
04-17 20:06:16	will alamar biosciencess market cap be greater than 1pt3b at market close on ipo day	No	SELL	23	3¢	$1	0x825259…
04-17 20:06:16	will alamar biosciencess market cap be greater than 1pt3b at market close on ipo day	No	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0x210f1e…
04-17 20:04:34	will alamar biosciencess market cap be less than 0pt9b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xa01e8e…
04-17 20:04:22	will alamar biosciencess market cap be between 0pt9b and 1pt0b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	244	0¢	$0	0x17b72a…
04-17 20:02:52	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be between 1pt7b and 1pt8b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	516	0¢	$1	0xa94686…
04-17 20:02:42	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be between 1pt8b and 1pt9b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	135	0¢	$0	0x6b28ee…
04-17 20:02:22	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be between 1pt9b and 2pt0b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	139	0¢	$0	0x4b0f3e…
04-17 20:00:56	will alamar biosciencess market cap be greater than 1pt3b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	169	98¢	$165	0x9d578b…
04-17 19:56:36	cs2 vit navi 2026 04 17 game2	Vitality	BUY	162	100¢	$162	0x5daf6c…
04-17 19:56:30	cs2 vit navi 2026 04 17 game2	Vitality	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xf18396…
04-17 19:56:28	cs2 vit navi 2026 04 17 game2	Vitality	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0xdf182e…
04-17 19:56:28	cs2 vit navi 2026 04 17 game2	Vitality	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x203808…
04-17 19:56:26	cs2 vit navi 2026 04 17 game2	Vitality	BUY	11,111	100¢	$11,067	0xa61e43…
04-17 19:55:10	cs2 vit navi 2026 04 17 game2	Vitality	BUY	979	95¢	$933	0x20e325…
04-17 19:55:08	cs2 vit navi 2026 04 17 game2	Vitality	BUY	1,000	96¢	$960	0x325a63…
04-17 19:55:06	cs2 vit navi 2026 04 17 game2	Vitality	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x472611…
04-17 19:54:02	cs2 vit navi 2026 04 17 game2	Vitality	BUY	368	96¢	$353	0x67dab7…
04-17 19:53:52	cs2 vit navi 2026 04 17 game2	Vitality	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xcd2fb5…
04-17 19:53:46	cs2 vit navi 2026 04 17 game2	Vitality	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xbd4d72…
04-17 19:53:42	cs2 vit navi 2026 04 17 game2	Vitality	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x13e027…
04-17 19:53:40	cs2 vit navi 2026 04 17 game2	Vitality	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xc033cd…
04-17 19:53:40	cs2 vit navi 2026 04 17 game2	Vitality	BUY	38	96¢	$36	0x44b108…
04-17 19:51:12	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	293	98¢	$288	0x394093…
04-17 19:50:18	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	331	98¢	$325	0xa3d4a0…
04-17 19:40:02	will alamar biosciences not ipo before june 2026	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x05bdfe…
04-17 17:09:08	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be greater than 2pt1b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	202	95¢	$193	0x9acf20…
04-17 16:36:00	will alamar biosciencess market cap be greater than 1pt3b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	170	84¢	$142	0xa94fa9…
04-17 16:31:52	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be greater than 2pt1b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	984	88¢	$866	0x2fa9ed…
04-17 16:01:56	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be greater than 2pt1b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0x514e6e…
04-17 15:57:38	Will Newcastle be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	SELL	156	100¢	$156	0xf7134c…
04-17 15:18:16	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be greater than 2pt1b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x9bca4c…
04-17 15:18:16	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be greater than 2pt1b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x42df39…
04-17 15:18:14	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be greater than 2pt1b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	425	85¢	$362	0x5dd17c…
04-17 13:56:30	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be greater than 2pt1b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x7adb8b…
04-17 13:20:14	will alamar biosciences not ipo before june 2026	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x301f8b…
04-17 11:51:14	will alamar biosciencess market cap be between 0pt9b and 1pt0b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xdc952c…
04-17 11:20:56	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be between 1pt9b and 2pt0b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa99666…
04-17 11:04:34	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be between 1pt9b and 2pt0b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	134	1¢	$1	0x23ce26…
04-17 11:04:34	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be greater than 2pt1b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	75	96¢	$72	0x01a9a5…
04-17 10:42:28	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be greater than 2pt1b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	99	84¢	$83	0x715d4c…
04-17 10:26:04	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be greater than 2pt1b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	199	70¢	$139	0x4f136d…
04-17 10:21:46	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be greater than 2pt1b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	2,490	58¢	$1,438	0xabea56…
04-17 10:15:32	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be between 1pt8b and 1pt9b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0xe5d02f…
04-17 10:15:32	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be between 1pt8b and 1pt9b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x3d0e65…
04-17 10:15:32	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be between 1pt8b and 1pt9b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x080fdb…
04-17 10:14:56	will alamar biosciencess market cap be greater than 1pt3b at market close on ipo day	No	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x9d2b80…
04-17 10:01:06	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,262	98¢	$1,238	0xfc87ad…
04-17 09:59:50	Will Brentford be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x66e20b…
04-17 09:59:32	Will Chelsea be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	SELL	1,227	100¢	$1,226	0x0255ef…
04-17 09:55:08	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be less than 1pt7b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0xb09c7f…
04-17 09:53:18	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be less than 1pt7b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xf0c209…
04-17 09:47:10	will madison airs market cap be greater than 13pt5b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	3,281	100¢	$3,278	0x804fa8…
04-17 09:46:52	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be between 1pt8b and 1pt9b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xedf71a…
04-17 09:46:30	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be between 1pt7b and 1pt8b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	536	6¢	$32	0x5c0719…
04-17 09:41:16	will arxiss market cap be greater than 13b at market close on ipo day	No	SELL	44	0¢	$0	0x34a178…
04-17 09:32:08	will alamar biosciences not ipo before june 2026	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xbcb2ee…
04-17 09:31:50	will alamar biosciences not ipo before june 2026	No	BUY	36	96¢	$34	0x0b066b…
04-17 09:31:44	will alamar biosciences not ipo before june 2026	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x31ee57…
04-17 07:08:00	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be less than 1pt7b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x502d7c…
04-17 06:01:46	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be less than 1pt7b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x819e98…
04-17 04:49:18	will alamar biosciencess market cap be less than 0pt9b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x387d3e…
04-17 04:43:36	will alamar biosciencess market cap be between 0pt9b and 1pt0b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	250	7¢	$18	0xb86a7d…
04-17 04:34:02	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be between 1pt8b and 1pt9b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0xcfe2f6…
04-17 03:35:06	will arxiss market cap be greater than 13b at market close on ipo day	No	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0xf3c951…
04-17 03:35:06	will arxiss market cap be greater than 13b at market close on ipo day	No	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x29b030…
04-17 03:18:20	will arxiss market cap be greater than 13b at market close on ipo day	No	SELL	1,230	0¢	$1	0xa210f9…
04-17 01:14:58	will arxiss market cap be greater than 13b at market close on ipo day	No	SELL	1,160	0¢	$1	0xce4203…
04-17 01:04:14	will arxiss market cap be greater than 13b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf2ace6…
04-17 01:04:14	will arxiss market cap be greater than 13b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xc042b1…
04-17 00:47:44	will kailera therapeutics not ipo before june 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$29	0x881d32…
04-17 00:42:02	will madison airs market cap be between 13pt0b and 13pt5b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	308	0¢	$0	0x5084cd…
04-17 00:17:26	will arxiss market cap be between 12b and 13b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	94	0¢	$0	0xbbd057…
04-17 00:07:24	will madison airs market cap be between 12pt5b and 13pt0b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	259	0¢	$0	0x05f64a…
04-16 22:06:42	will madison airs market cap be greater than 13pt5b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	1,200	99¢	$1,190	0x9f53f3…
04-16 21:58:26	will madison airs market cap be greater than 13pt5b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xa40d8c…
04-16 21:40:50	will arxiss market cap be less than 10b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	4,977	0¢	$5	0x2eed41…
04-16 21:40:28	will arxiss market cap be less than 10b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xf9e518…
04-16 21:40:24	will arxiss market cap be less than 10b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xa5c812…
04-16 21:39:40	will arxiss market cap be less than 10b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xff8839…
04-16 21:39:40	will arxiss market cap be greater than 13b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	1,171	100¢	$1,169	0xe3ca8a…
04-16 21:39:40	will arxiss market cap be greater than 13b at market close on ipo day	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xe3ca8a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	105	$3.66K	1,338	03-27 16:45
Different-Hazel 0x3dd2…9ab1	95	$43.2K	978	04-21 16:23
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	94	$15.9K	8,506	04-27 02:25
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	94	$8.04K	1,933	06-03 17:35
Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38	87	$55.8K	4,406	04-25 04:03
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	81	$69.3K	6,275	03-28 06:40
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	77	$253.2K	4,197	06-10 03:13
Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438	77	$12.1K	699	04-22 06:58