Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.11K

Unrealized P&L

+$14

Hit rate

44.2%

Resolved

278

Trades

1,286

lifetime

Volume

$26.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$50

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-18 13:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Other

52% 38% -$634

Politics

42% 46% -$359

Tech

3% 57% -$48

Crypto

1% 75% -$7

Sports

1% 60% -$6

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$54

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	+50	$26	92¢	$46	+$20	05-24 08:26
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	+50	$24	8¢	$4	-$20	05-24 08:06
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	+0	-$13	0¢	$0	+$13	06-03 07:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	7	$504	400	400	+0	Yes	+$1	05-30 04:40
epstein blackmail evidence released by march 31	2	$482	200	400	-200	Yes	-$49	01-02 18:02
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the miami heat	10	$479	300	400	-100	No	-$7	02-05 09:54
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	14	$448	460	460	+0	Yes	+$8	08-18 13:30
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	6	$424	351	451	-100	No	-$46	01-09 13:10
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	6	$408	350	350	+0	Yes	+$6	06-14 19:09
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 540 559	7	$393	233	267	-35	Yes	+$82	01-15 03:10
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	8	$370	300	300	+0	Yes	+$2	05-24 22:57
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?	7	$359	250	250	+0	Yes	-$5	06-03 08:15
will ldp win a majority in the 2026 japanese snap election	3	$349	100	300	-200	Yes	-$33	02-05 09:34
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 31 2026 849 849 957 245	2	$340	200	200	+0	Yes	$0	01-09 13:10
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	8	$325	203	350	-147	Yes	-$74	06-01 13:55
will goat second weekend box office be less than 15m	4	$320	200	400	-200	No	+$96	02-20 13:02
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$292	100	200	-100	No	-$2	05-06 12:03
congress passes iran war powers resolution by march 31	7	$289	155	150	+5	No	+$0	03-08 15:14
nflx above 80 on february 27 2026	5	$275	240	240	+0	Yes	-$41	02-12 08:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	8	$271	200	200	+0	No	+$1	05-25 05:29
will iran strike saudi arabia in march	7	$263	282	118	+164	Yes	-$1	03-03 06:00
will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	10	$263	298	298	+0	Yes	+$5	06-27 00:13
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 1m 791 144 948	3	$260	200	200	+0	No	-$2	01-15 06:00
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	5	$255	150	150	+0	No	+$0	05-20 14:02
will turnout in the bangladesh parliamentary election be between 80 and 85	10	$248	150	150	+0	No	-$11	02-12 07:42
will israel strike gaza on february 19 2026	7	$245	160	140	+20	No	-$3	02-20 09:09
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$244	8	281	-272	No	-$42	01-22 13:55
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	7	$241	200	200	+0	No	-$3	05-25 16:44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	12	$240	200	195	+5	No	-$1	05-20 14:15
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	16	$233	400	400	+0	open	—	06-03 07:47
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	2	$233	100	300	-200	No	-$97	03-16 15:06
Will the US strike Somalia next?	2	$228	81	181	-100	Yes	-$12	02-05 09:30
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 400 419	2	$226	100	200	-100	No	-$26	01-22 13:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 13:30:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	No	SELL	220	49¢	$108	0x2a7e70…
08-18 13:30:37	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	Yes	SELL	240	50¢	$120	0x5c91b9…
07-13 13:18:50	Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?	No	SELL	13	78¢	$10	0x063fbe…
07-13 10:19:10	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	Yes	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0x85bf5f…
07-13 10:18:22	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	Yes	BUY	87	50¢	$44	0xd61878…
07-13 10:18:22	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	Yes	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x4853b5…
07-13 09:24:53	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	No	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x92c06c…
07-13 09:24:52	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	No	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0xd39d70…
07-13 09:24:44	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xdfab8f…
07-13 09:24:38	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	No	BUY	36	44¢	$16	0xe211f3…
07-13 05:01:23	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xf74182…
07-13 04:16:49	Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x720f61…
07-13 03:54:29	Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x4a2f40…
07-11 14:28:58	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	42	76¢	$32	0xe25243…
07-11 12:20:32	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x0eed2f…
07-11 11:49:40	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x226dbd…
07-11 07:42:31	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x5dfea8…
07-11 07:19:31	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xdd2e06…
07-11 07:18:53	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x09917f…
07-11 07:18:50	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x592142…
07-11 06:58:14	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	BUY	119	3¢	$4	0xd9fd39…
07-11 06:15:26	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	BUY	81	3¢	$3	0xc2f8d3…
07-07 16:23:23	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8?	No	SELL	40	57¢	$23	0x54e2a8…
07-07 13:05:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9?	No	SELL	46	50¢	$23	0x7f411a…
07-07 12:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9?	No	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xc82919…
07-07 12:55:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x1a77df…
07-07 12:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9?	No	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x1e804c…
07-07 12:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9?	No	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x98b9be…
07-07 11:24:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9?	No	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0xe326de…
07-07 11:24:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9?	No	SELL	35	50¢	$18	0x89fbbd…
07-07 11:23:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9?	Yes	SELL	60	53¢	$32	0x1422ef…
07-07 09:36:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8?	Yes	SELL	44	44¢	$19	0x6554ce…
07-07 09:29:20	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8?	Yes	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x27a47b…
07-07 09:25:26	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8?	Yes	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x0522b7…
07-07 08:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9?	No	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x8e8ec4…
07-07 07:51:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9?	No	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xf407ce…
07-07 07:48:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9?	No	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x32cfc0…
07-07 07:28:32	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x73d6c6…
07-07 06:15:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9?	No	BUY	44	48¢	$21	0xd69aa0…
07-07 06:07:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9?	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xed4822…
07-07 05:59:38	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x5a4e89…
07-07 05:33:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x7f7cb8…
07-07 05:28:02	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x331b5f…
07-07 05:28:02	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x092090…
07-07 05:27:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb1b4c8…
07-07 05:27:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xffd098…
07-07 05:26:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8?	No	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xb890ef…
07-07 05:26:01	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x907fe6…
07-07 05:24:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe0a938…
07-07 05:21:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8?	No	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xc4169e…
07-07 05:18:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$3	0x5a882c…
07-07 05:18:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x67cad3…
07-07 05:18:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	18	47¢	$9	0xef4c5a…
07-07 05:18:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x9720d0…
07-07 05:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xb26902…
07-07 04:50:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x20783b…
07-07 04:50:38	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x74f510…
07-07 04:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x8b96a5…
07-07 03:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	1	43¢	$0	0x05f205…
07-07 03:53:22	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	8	43¢	$3	0xbcc089…
07-07 03:53:11	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	51	43¢	$22	0xca795a…
07-06 01:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 6?	No	SELL	60	54¢	$32	0xad8b85…
07-05 13:46:56	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 6?	Yes	SELL	12	48¢	$6	0x424d03…
07-05 13:18:44	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x32913a…
07-05 12:51:05	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4a2de1…
07-05 12:35:23	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 6?	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xb499cf…
07-05 12:22:02	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x07ac4e…
07-05 12:20:17	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x4d1485…
07-05 12:14:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x381d2e…
07-05 12:06:14	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x7d3aed…
07-05 11:55:31	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 6?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xdf25fd…
07-05 11:54:55	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 6?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xeba46b…
07-05 11:53:53	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 6?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5c1aeb…
07-05 11:48:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 6?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa48468…
07-05 11:46:53	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 6?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xea0c00…
07-05 11:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 6?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xfaff4c…
07-05 11:39:35	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 6?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x598ee9…
07-05 11:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 6?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2dfa91…
07-05 10:56:38	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x322561…
07-05 10:51:35	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 6?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x97e555…
07-05 10:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 6?	Yes	BUY	1	46¢	$1	0xc6dd6e…
07-04 13:18:32	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	74¢	$74	0x396151…
07-04 06:37:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 5?	No	SELL	22	54¢	$12	0xc49dee…
07-04 06:34:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 5?	No	SELL	3	54¢	$1	0x27da58…
07-04 06:07:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 5?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x17b44f…
07-04 05:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 5?	No	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x9ce514…
07-04 05:14:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 5?	No	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x6e92cc…
07-04 05:08:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 5?	No	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0xdc0037…
07-04 04:37:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 5?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xda82c1…
07-04 04:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 5?	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x46985e…
07-04 03:55:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x9f154b…
07-04 03:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 5?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x92e18c…
07-04 03:40:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x7ed594…
07-04 03:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf908c9…
07-04 03:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc9a0d6…
07-04 02:42:59	Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 42m?	Yes	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x8ec862…
07-04 02:42:59	Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 42m?	Yes	BUY	57	8¢	$5	0x272f03…
07-04 02:42:55	Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 42m?	Yes	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0xf4a4b1…
07-04 02:39:19	Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 42m?	Yes	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0x856013…
07-04 02:39:19	Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 42m?	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x0baa2e…