Early-Hermit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$151

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.2%

Resolved

161

Trades

12,754

lifetime

Volume

$33.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 05-13 16:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 46% $-151

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 1030 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	70	$212	457	0	+457	open	—	04-24 21:14
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	61	$181	353	0	+353	open	—	04-24 22:22
eth updown 15m 1777050900	48	$176	350	0	+350	open	—	04-24 17:19
btc updown 15m 1777042800	89	$171	356	0	+356	open	—	04-24 15:05
eth updown 15m 1776868200	77	$162	311	0	+311	open	—	04-22 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	71	$157	416	0	+416	open	—	05-03 00:07
eth updown 15m 1777041900	69	$144	296	0	+296	open	—	04-24 14:50
eth updown 15m 1777049100	46	$139	287	0	+287	open	—	04-24 16:58
btc updown 15m 1777029300	49	$130	255	0	+255	open	—	04-24 11:24
btc updown 15m 1776814200	27	$127	103	79	+24	open	—	04-21 23:40
eth updown 15m 1777042800	61	$127	265	0	+265	open	—	04-24 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	51	$125	271	0	+271	open	—	05-03 00:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	42	$122	267	0	+267	open	—	05-02 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	19	$120	229	0	+229	open	—	04-28 15:47
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	40	$120	265	0	+265	open	—	04-24 23:28
btc updown 15m 1776870000	37	$114	233	0	+233	open	—	04-22 15:08
btc updown 15m 1777033800	45	$110	215	0	+215	open	—	04-24 12:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	19	$108	190	0	+190	open	—	04-27 20:46
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	34	$107	241	0	+241	open	—	04-25 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	44	$107	242	0	+242	open	—	05-03 00:41
eth updown 15m 1777032000	38	$103	210	0	+210	open	—	04-24 12:06
eth updown 15m 1776893400	32	$100	105	48	+57	open	—	04-22 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	20	$100	184	0	+184	open	—	05-01 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	15	$96	180	0	+180	open	—	04-30 01:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	44	$96	206	0	+206	open	—	05-02 23:26
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	37	$95	197	0	+197	open	—	04-25 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	24	$95	187	0	+187	open	—	04-29 02:30
btc updown 15m 1777032000	36	$95	190	0	+190	open	—	04-24 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	35	$89	195	0	+195	open	—	05-01 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	20	$89	169	0	+169	open	—	04-28 16:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 16:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0xee9ee6…
05-13 16:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xf3ce38…
05-13 16:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x70e826…
05-13 16:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x197d7d…
05-13 16:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	73¢	$11	0x1f3dff…
05-13 16:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x723df8…
05-13 16:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1a738e…
05-13 16:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xdd8cb1…
05-13 16:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x7b020e…
05-13 16:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	79¢	$12	0xab1411…
05-13 16:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xcb719c…
05-13 16:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x128726…
05-13 16:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xb6662d…
05-13 16:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7ead61…
05-13 16:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x65f642…
05-13 16:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa54807…
05-13 16:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	62¢	$13	0x04c37f…
05-13 16:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xfc1d63…
05-13 16:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0x081598…
05-13 16:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0x837c28…
05-13 16:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x71d80c…
05-13 16:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x60bc8e…
05-13 16:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xaf5137…
05-13 16:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0xc5198f…
05-13 16:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x4d28b8…
05-13 16:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	79¢	$12	0x236247…
05-13 16:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x49c4bc…
05-13 16:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xe10a83…
05-13 16:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0xdb4222…
05-13 16:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x4144aa…
05-13 15:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x703d07…
05-13 15:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$8	0x38499b…
05-13 15:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x1771cc…
05-13 15:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	28¢	$3	0x11c474…
05-13 15:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xa4f0f1…
05-13 15:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x5a83b0…
05-13 15:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf245ff…
05-13 15:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x58c535…
05-13 15:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xa29a17…
05-13 15:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0xd3e545…
05-13 15:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa8c18d…
05-13 15:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x629977…
05-13 15:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x757232…
05-13 15:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	72¢	$11	0xcf7f2d…
05-13 15:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0xafe0a0…
05-13 15:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x372a01…
05-13 15:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0x428f75…
05-13 15:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe83891…
05-13 15:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xcc9d74…
05-13 15:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0xd16e1e…
05-13 15:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x621fde…
05-13 15:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x058ce8…
05-13 15:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xd3dee4…
05-13 15:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x448006…
05-13 15:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x7399a2…
05-13 15:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$3	0xb7b55e…
05-13 15:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xc9547f…
05-13 15:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x680afc…
05-13 15:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x6b15d6…
05-13 14:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xa5e319…
05-13 14:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x81fdd7…
05-13 14:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x5223ab…
05-13 14:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	65¢	$10	0xa26058…
05-13 14:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0x838e2c…
05-13 14:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x90b80e…
05-13 14:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x894b9a…
05-13 14:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xa9a359…
05-13 14:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0xd4220e…
05-13 14:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0x0bfc73…
05-13 14:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x5996e5…
05-13 14:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xc2e559…
05-13 14:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0xab9a64…
05-13 14:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xd6a4f7…
05-13 14:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x8b4088…
05-13 14:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xda1851…
05-13 14:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x5d1512…
05-13 14:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8d572b…
05-13 14:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0xa49a73…
05-13 14:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0xa1655b…
05-13 14:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe30e40…
05-13 14:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0xa58b48…
05-13 14:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x631f57…
05-13 14:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xccfade…
05-13 14:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x2678b0…
05-13 14:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xdd8f91…
05-13 14:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0x646e19…
05-13 14:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xf79e6e…
05-13 14:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x52cf0f…
05-13 14:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0x1f4029…
05-12 20:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x19133a…
05-12 20:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9f2a5a…
05-12 20:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x989fb8…
05-12 20:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x4d514c…
05-12 20:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0x0520e8…
05-12 20:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd6ed9b…
05-12 20:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xdee260…
05-12 20:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2c9a17…
05-12 20:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x209eab…
05-12 20:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0x72e287…
05-12 20:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x512337…