Early-Hermit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.65K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.9%

Resolved

2,530

Trades

25,360

lifetime

Volume

$114.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 10-28 01:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% -$2,651

Other

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 1411 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 21:00 UTC	269	$2.4K	5,419	+5,419	Up	+$116	08-11 21:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 21:30 UTC	363	$2.2K	4,940	+4,940	Down	+$156	08-11 21:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 01:45 UTC	310	$2.1K	4,522	+4,522	Down	+$14	08-12 01:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 22:15 UTC	274	$1.9K	3,991	+3,991	Down	+$86	08-11 22:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 00:15 UTC	285	$1.8K	4,161	+4,161	Up	-$385	08-12 00:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 00:30 UTC	172	$1.6K	3,041	+3,041	Up	-$35	08-17 00:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 17:15 UTC	257	$1.6K	3,112	+3,112	Down	+$286	08-16 17:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 01:15 UTC	231	$1.4K	3,107	+3,107	Down	-$140	08-12 01:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 23:15 UTC	228	$1.4K	2,835	+2,835	Up	-$12	08-11 23:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 00:45 UTC	171	$1.4K	2,743	+2,743	Up	-$59	08-12 00:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 22:45 UTC	210	$1.4K	2,810	+2,810	Up	-$109	08-11 22:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 17:30 UTC	225	$1.4K	3,330	+3,330	Up	+$214	08-11 17:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 15:30 UTC	205	$1.2K	2,461	+2,461	Up	-$25	08-16 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	267	$1.2K	2,415	+2,415	Up	-$10	10-01 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	238	$1.1K	2,059	+2,059	Up	-$104	10-01 16:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 16:00 UTC	128	$1.1K	2,330	+2,330	Up	-$246	08-16 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	114	$1.1K	1,969	+1,969	Up	-$103	10-06 19:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 13:30 UTC	84	$970	2,597	+2,597	Up	+$329	08-21 13:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 20:45 UTC	80	$892	2,090	+2,090	Up	+$153	08-21 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	102	$820	1,491	+1,491	Up	-$91	09-11 20:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 19:15 UTC	70	$813	1,980	+1,980	Up	+$177	08-21 19:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 09:30 UTC	88	$801	1,438	+1,438	Down	-$251	08-17 09:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 11:45 UTC	85	$762	1,670	+1,670	Down	+$73	08-21 11:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 13:45 UTC	57	$761	1,362	+1,362	Up	-$81	08-21 13:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 22:00 UTC	75	$756	1,526	+1,526	Down	+$7	08-18 22:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 13:00 UTC	58	$752	1,426	+1,426	Down	-$41	08-21 13:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 19:45 UTC	55	$733	1,540	+1,540	Down	+$37	08-21 19:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 20:00 UTC	67	$725	1,650	+1,650	Up	+$100	08-21 20:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 19:45 UTC	91	$722	1,879	+1,879	Down	+$218	08-18 19:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 14:45 UTC	90	$717	1,561	+1,561	Up	+$63	08-22 14:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 01:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xfa86bd…
10-28 01:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc2c051…
10-28 01:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x6ac4b3…
10-28 01:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x7a425f…
10-28 01:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x1cd8a1…
10-28 01:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xd79ded…
10-28 01:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x95d0c7…
10-28 01:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x31d8f2…
10-28 01:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbd77e9…
10-28 01:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x998a78…
10-28 01:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0xfd3903…
10-28 01:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x34c186…
10-28 01:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$4	0xfc7b6d…
10-28 01:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$4	0x93f290…
10-28 01:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x3b5147…
10-28 01:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x7b9f61…
10-28 01:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3f5a7e…
10-28 01:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9a1315…
10-28 01:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xb12846…
10-28 01:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0x8553ab…
10-28 01:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x35cb22…
10-28 01:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0x2e5342…
10-28 01:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x79bdf6…
10-28 01:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa05980…
10-28 01:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x3576ff…
10-28 01:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$4	0xb4541f…
10-28 01:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x3b6695…
10-28 01:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x069e41…
10-28 01:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xec1ce5…
10-28 01:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$2	0xb2d423…
10-28 01:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x912234…
10-28 01:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x212c20…
10-28 01:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x0a49e3…
10-28 01:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x4acbce…
10-28 01:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xdab282…
10-28 01:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xd3bb2e…
10-28 01:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x29e9b2…
10-28 01:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x377d4b…
10-28 01:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xeb70e4…
10-28 01:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x37eebd…
10-28 01:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc45648…
10-28 01:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xca7b43…
10-28 01:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x5aff4a…
10-28 01:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xe4314a…
10-28 01:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x89a166…
10-28 01:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x7da4d2…
10-28 01:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$4	0xaac563…
10-28 01:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x969a6a…
10-28 01:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa4e281…
10-28 01:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x2069e3…
10-28 01:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xeac48d…
10-28 01:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0xdd6cd5…
10-28 01:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x5689da…
10-28 01:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x01a475…
10-28 01:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xefb632…
10-28 01:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x204e3b…
10-28 01:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0xe938f9…
10-28 01:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xccfe6b…
10-28 01:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x5fe65e…
10-28 01:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$4	0xb913bc…
10-28 01:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x638a15…
10-28 01:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xc79c87…
10-28 01:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xfbf702…
10-28 01:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0x6535e8…
10-28 01:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xd4c5f7…
10-28 01:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xd3c435…
10-28 01:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xfb83e7…
10-28 01:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0x70499a…
10-28 01:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9e2354…
10-28 01:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x0a7109…
10-28 01:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xca2164…
10-28 01:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x28cc9b…
10-28 01:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xe7b56c…
10-28 01:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x403db0…
10-28 01:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x4fc3ac…
10-28 01:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xb27f8d…
10-28 01:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xb9b435…
10-28 00:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xd40a1c…
10-28 00:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$5	0x7de06c…
10-28 00:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x96e547…
10-28 00:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x4e1c33…
10-28 00:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xd58430…
10-28 00:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$2	0xe5150b…
10-28 00:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xa067a2…
10-28 00:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x69dfb9…
10-28 00:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xb0ca55…
10-28 00:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xc2d1dd…
10-28 00:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x8317b2…
10-28 00:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xec79d8…
10-28 00:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xdef6f2…
10-28 00:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$4	0xc979a3…
10-28 00:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xa00150…
10-28 00:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x69259c…
10-28 00:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	64¢	$0	0x3ce91a…
10-28 00:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x83ee78…
10-28 00:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5e586a…
10-28 00:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8e9064…
10-28 00:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa7ee6d…
10-28 00:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0xce58a0…
10-28 00:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc223d0…