Opulent-Louse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$28

Hit rate

66.5%

Resolved

9,039

Trades

109,415

lifetime

Volume

$678.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$163

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 20:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 167 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 42% -$23,599

Other

13% 33% -$31

Sports

1% 36% -$1,017

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 3013 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	—	+158	$60	99¢	$156	+$96	10-28 21:21
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes		+300	$35	2¢	$4	-$30	10-28 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	—	+207	$40	1¢	$2	-$38	10-28 21:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp lajovic assche 2026 07 13	17	$3.1K	4,873	4,488	+386	Luca Van Assche	+$2,785	07-13 18:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 00:05 UTC	124	$2.4K	1,810	1,810	+0	Up	+$762	07-14 00:09
atp vukic broady 2026 07 13	57	$1.6K	1,487	1,364	+123	Aleksandar Vukic	+$692	07-14 03:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 23:00 UTC	67	$1.5K	10,467	1,183	+9,284	Up	+$477	07-13 23:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 23:25 UTC	80	$1.4K	1,751	1,326	+425	Down	+$530	07-13 23:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 23:30 UTC	68	$1.3K	1,188	1,053	+135	Up	+$407	07-13 23:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 00:30 UTC	86	$1.2K	1,730	801	+929	Up	+$178	07-14 00:34
chi qin ton 2026 08 14 total 0pt5	4	$1.2K	1,199	1,199	+0	Under	-$246	08-14 13:35
atp svrcina dimitro 2026 07 13	28	$1.2K	800	800	+0	Grigor Dimitrov	+$290	07-14 13:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 13:30 UTC	59	$1.2K	849	849	+0	Down	+$334	07-14 13:32
bra2 csc ath 2026 07 13 total 0pt5	31	$1.2K	2,000	0	+2,000	Under	-$1,156	07-14 01:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 01:55 UTC	80	$1.1K	1,304	809	+495	Up	+$194	07-14 01:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 13:45 UTC	70	$1.1K	944	944	+0	Up	+$325	07-14 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 13:50 UTC	66	$1.1K	1,347	624	+723	Down	+$12	07-14 13:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 11:15 UTC	82	$1.1K	882	882	+0	Up	+$383	07-14 11:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 00:20 UTC	86	$1.0K	901	901	+0	Up	+$407	07-14 00:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 00:35 UTC	49	$1.0K	860	860	+0	Down	+$430	07-14 00:39
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-07-11?	18	$1.0K	800	800	+0	Yes	+$566	07-14 13:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 11:05 UTC	56	$995	964	841	+123	Up	+$235	07-14 11:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 15:10 UTC	65	$994	660	660	+0	Up	+$194	07-13 15:14
atp nagal cretu 2026 07 13	40	$964	5,382	0	+5,382	Sumit Nagal	-$964	07-14 09:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 13:10 UTC	53	$958	739	739	+0	Up	+$258	07-14 13:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 12:05 UTC	57	$945	1,394	607	+787	Down	+$147	07-14 12:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 22:40 UTC	59	$938	1,079	624	+455	Up	+$16	07-13 22:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 11:20 UTC	67	$923	911	911	+0	Up	+$314	07-14 11:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 22:20 UTC	72	$912	1,285	641	+644	Down	+$112	07-13 22:24
atp barton silv 2026 07 13	21	$907	1,488	289	+1,199	Hynek Barton	-$516	07-14 15:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 09:40 UTC	63	$886	560	560	+0	Down	+$136	07-14 09:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 07:10 UTC	46	$886	798	548	+250	Down	+$96	07-14 07:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 12:00 UTC	46	$883	836	836	+0	Down	+$414	07-14 12:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 21:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa0753b…
10-28 21:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa5d0b9…
10-28 21:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6e7fda…
10-28 21:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xaf1c4d…
10-28 21:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x717f0e…
10-28 21:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xa86337…
10-28 21:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xb816ab…
10-28 21:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xec1531…
10-28 21:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x5c576b…
10-28 21:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xe2b519…
10-28 21:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xd7261a…
10-28 21:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x540086…
10-28 21:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0x23b529…
10-28 21:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x650f26…
10-28 21:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x73e517…
10-28 21:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x013d3f…
10-28 21:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x9ceb48…
10-28 21:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x47571c…
10-28 21:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xd42090…
10-28 21:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x808268…
10-28 21:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xf7beb5…
10-28 21:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xcae6a3…
10-28 21:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xfa0364…
10-28 21:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x02cc0c…
10-28 21:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x46ddea…
10-28 21:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x025bb6…
10-28 21:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2d761e…
10-28 21:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x3f82e7…
10-28 21:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x88ded5…
10-28 21:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6b46fe…
10-28 21:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x173e0a…
10-28 21:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x22861f…
10-28 21:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x13de15…
10-28 21:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x584e14…
10-28 21:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe56e4b…
10-28 21:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x55dc53…
10-28 21:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x034866…
10-28 21:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xee4e8a…
10-28 21:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x96caaa…
10-28 21:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xcf27a9…
10-28 21:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc831aa…
10-28 21:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x3cb4c9…
10-28 21:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9cc8a7…
10-28 21:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6c1d1b…
10-28 21:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x543068…
10-28 21:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfa2ebc…
10-28 21:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd2599c…
10-28 21:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x424499…
10-28 21:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xeeda16…
10-28 21:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x9d75c4…
10-28 21:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa88c3c…
10-28 21:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xfe47cd…
10-28 21:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xdee756…
10-28 21:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4ec211…
10-28 21:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2a0307…
10-28 21:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa6df91…
10-28 21:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xa61abc…
10-28 21:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x628a36…
10-28 21:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xeaae86…
10-28 21:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd1c7fe…
10-28 21:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	21	85¢	$18	0x51c9ce…
10-28 21:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7a2d44…
10-28 21:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbc2bb1…
10-28 21:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xb3c448…
10-28 21:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xc521c5…
10-28 21:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xecfd8e…
10-28 21:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x5f61aa…
10-28 21:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x02355b…
10-28 21:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xd4fdbc…
10-28 20:58:53	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xee5b9d…
10-28 20:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4eeead…
10-28 20:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x858e5e…
10-28 20:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3e70c3…
10-28 20:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb3941a…
10-28 20:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xcca48a…
10-28 20:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa491d1…
10-28 20:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x111547…
10-28 20:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xbc82a0…
10-28 20:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x04f06e…
10-28 20:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd8cf5c…
10-28 20:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbe08d1…
10-28 20:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe3c1ec…
10-28 20:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd1c0de…
10-28 20:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x27b8ad…
10-28 20:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x392699…
10-28 20:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x56a419…
10-28 20:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x1c7e67…
10-28 20:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xe9baf6…
10-28 20:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x9d47af…
10-28 20:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x0fadfd…
10-28 20:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xc64136…
10-28 20:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2fbbca…
10-28 20:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc451ea…
10-28 20:55:14	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x8bbe74…
10-28 20:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xeb3a6a…
10-28 20:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x85275b…
10-28 20:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdbb9be…
10-28 20:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6ade26…
10-28 20:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x292966…
10-28 20:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7b9acf…