Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$75,398

Trades

7,689

Unique wallets

1,337

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-07-14

First seen

2026-07-13

last 07-14 00:41

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

Rash-Alternative +1,920 (anon) +1,669 Uncomfortable-Rat +1,549 Suburban-Characterization +1,280 (anon) +1,200 (anon) +1,189 Unlawful-Shear +1,166 (anon) +1,140

NO holders

Popular-Insurrection +3,792 Rash-Alternative +1,760 Uncomfortable-Rat +1,707 Suburban-Characterization +1,360 (anon) +1,328 Studious-Hunger +1,235 (anon) +1,227 (anon) +1,170

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +0.6¢ (top1%: 35% YES on $45.7K vs crowd: 35% YES on $70.0K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	179	$17.1K	$34.3K	$17.3K
🐬 Dolphin	371	$4.9K	$7.1K	$2.2K
🐟 Fish	473	$1.6K	$3.6K	$1.9K
🦐 Shrimp	314	$580	$826	$247

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	186	$16.1K	$29.6K	$13.5K
🏆 Top 5%	176	$1.4K	$1.8K	$347
✅ Top 10%	72	$373	$799	$426
Median	72	$148	$298	$151
Below median	321	$754	$2.2K	$1.4K
⚠️ Bottom 10%	217	$837	$1.4K	$568
🔻 Bottom 5%	184	$2.1K	$4.2K	$2.1K
💀 Bottom 1%	109	$2.5K	$5.6K	$3.1K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	Down	+3,792	$3,582	$3,582	62	07-14 00:39
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	Up	+1,920	$770	$770	12	07-14 00:39
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	Down	+1,760	$892	$892	11	07-14 00:39
Uncomfortable-Rat 0xd425…c0e4	Down	+1,707	$1,142	$1,142	101	07-14 00:39
(anonymous) 0x0c3f…100c	Up	+1,669	$100	$100	2	07-14 00:39
Uncomfortable-Rat 0xd425…c0e4	Up	+1,549	$593	$593	104	07-14 00:39
Suburban-Characterization 0x251c…541f	Down	+1,360	$936	$936	17	07-14 00:39
(anonymous) 0x13e0…5204	Down	+1,328	$976	$976	20	07-14 00:39
Suburban-Characterization 0x251c…541f	Up	+1,280	$486	$486	16	07-14 00:39
Studious-Hunger 0x16bc…d23a	Down	+1,235	$772	$772	54	07-14 00:39
(anonymous) 0xd689…6ec7	Down	+1,227	$400	$400	1	07-14 00:35
(anonymous) 0xd689…6ec7	Up	+1,200	$132	$132	42	07-14 00:39
(anonymous) 0x13e0…5204	Up	+1,189	$522	$522	27	07-14 00:39
(anonymous) 0x3048…7537	Down	+1,170	$661	$661	38	07-14 00:39
Unlawful-Shear 0xb27b…5b82	Up	+1,166	$499	$499	102	07-14 00:39
Unlawful-Shear 0xb27b…5b82	Down	+1,160	$699	$699	101	07-14 00:38
(anonymous) 0x3048…7537	Up	+1,140	$461	$461	37	07-14 00:39
Wooden-Hearsay 0x3139…9e2e	Up	+1,096	$499	$499	76	07-14 00:39
Flaky-Wreck 0x0484…1b1a	Down	+1,050	$623	$623	14	07-14 00:39
Studious-Hunger 0x16bc…d23a	Up	+1,029	$390	$390	64	07-14 00:38
Upbeat-Necktie 0x48ea…3e30	Down	+1,018	$588	$588	64	07-14 00:38
Flaky-Wreck 0x0484…1b1a	Up	+1,000	$381	$381	15	07-14 00:39
(anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90	Down	+985	$771	$771	6	07-14 00:39
Extra-Small-Implement 0xf27d…9a88	Up	+979	$24	$33	17	07-14 00:39
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	Down	+874	$557	$557	122	07-14 00:39
Upbeat-Necktie 0x48ea…3e30	Up	+863	$453	$453	45	07-14 00:38
Ill-Babushka 0x44ab…bef3	Down	+862	$523	$523	51	07-14 00:39
Insignificant-Summary 0x1150…1054	Up	+833	$100	$100	1	07-14 00:38
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	Up	+807	$484	$484	5	07-14 00:39
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	Up	+780	$288	$288	65	07-14 00:39
Wooden-Hearsay 0x3139…9e2e	Down	+778	$401	$401	70	07-14 00:39
Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd	Down	+762	$341	$341	28	07-14 00:39
Mountainous-Buy 0x4228…34cb	Down	+757	$620	$620	2	07-14 00:38
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	Up	+756	$292	$292	111	07-14 00:39
Nice-Trapdoor 0xc1b4…624f	Down	+752	$433	$433	54	07-14 00:39
Nice-Trapdoor 0xc1b4…624f	Up	+746	$301	$301	50	07-14 00:39
(anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c	Down	+743	$430	$430	92	07-14 00:39
(anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b	Down	+731	$416	$416	88	07-14 00:39
(anonymous) 0xf731…e5c2	Up	+721	$100	$100	1	07-14 00:38
Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd	Up	+708	$376	$376	27	07-14 00:38
(anonymous) 0x791e…967c	Up	+706	$100	$100	1	07-14 00:38
Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea	Up	+693	$273	$273	44	07-14 00:39
Ill-Babushka 0x44ab…bef3	Up	+689	$356	$356	35	07-14 00:38
Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea	Down	+687	$395	$395	39	07-14 00:39
Corrupt-Dysfunction 0x0ee0…c16e	Down	+683	$676	$676	1	07-14 00:39
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	Down	+656	$552	$552	19	07-14 00:39
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	Up	+654	$211	$211	21	07-14 00:39
Harmonious-Pass 0x0710…06be	Up	+640	$314	$314	1	07-14 00:34
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	Down	+640	$455	$455	16	07-14 00:39
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	Up	+619	$171	$171	25	07-14 00:39
(anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c	Up	+614	$297	$297	62	07-14 00:39
(anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b	Up	+612	$311	$311	64	07-14 00:39
Legitimate-Randomization 0x1faa…ad8a	Up	+609	$6	$6	1	07-14 00:39
Zesty-Mosque 0xdf65…c36d	Down	+600	$400	$400	15	07-14 00:39
Crazy-Councilor 0xc017…7242	Down	+598	$363	$363	26	07-14 00:39
(anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90	Up	+598	$346	$371	10	07-14 00:39
Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9	Down	+589	$336	$336	43	07-14 00:39
Bite-Sized-Molding 0xf418…95a3	Down	+560	$313	$313	14	07-14 00:39
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	Down	+548	$428	$428	7	07-14 00:39
Elated-Atrium 0xbb72…b2cd	Down	+531	$389	$389	9	07-14 00:39