Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$324

Unrealized P&L

+$1.38K

Hit rate

52.5%

Resolved

81,596

Trades

151,656

lifetime

Volume

$395.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$1.85K

6 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-28 04:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 179 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 38% -$330

Other

3% 51% -$7

Tech

1% 100% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 1674 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes		+1,862	-$81	96¢	$1.8K	+$1,863	10-11 09:32
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes		+1,859	$537	3¢	$59	-$478	10-12 04:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	—	+10	$5	70¢	$7	+$2	10-28 05:30
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	—	+5	$2	51¢	$3	+$0	10-28 06:00
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	—	+5	$2	49¢	$2	+$0	10-28 06:00
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	—	+10	$5	2¢	$0	-$5	10-28 05:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	16	$2.5K	4,167	2,308	+1,859	open	—	10-12 04:21
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	8	$1.1K	2,358	734	+1,624	open	—	10-19 16:43
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner	20	$730	1,000	1,000	+0	FURIA Esports	-$170	10-17 20:20
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	6	$681	2,383	521	+1,862	open	—	10-11 09:32
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	4	$421	1,327	259	+1,068	open	—	10-01 16:27
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	3	$416	621	621	+0	open	—	10-01 15:49
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?	4	$380	438	438	+0	open	—	10-02 00:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	35	$323	350	300	+50	Up	+$25	10-02 12:24
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	3	$260	1,088	0	+1,088	open	—	09-30 20:06
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	2	$255	429	0	+429	Yes	+$174	09-30 20:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 18:00 UTC	26	$187	200	180	+20	Up	-$10	09-16 17:59
Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	4	$149	152	152	+0	Yes	+$42	09-16 19:33
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	3	$132	167	167	+0	open	—	10-02 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	20	$104	120	91	+29	Down	-$15	10-28 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	19	$99	125	75	+50	Down	-$25	09-20 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	13	$96	120	72	+48	Up	+$4	10-03 01:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 19:30 UTC	16	$94	150	40	+110	Down	-$14	09-19 20:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 06:25 UTC	14	$92	110	75	+35	Down	-$7	09-20 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	13	$89	100	80	+20	Up	-$10	09-19 06:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:45 UTC	19	$89	100	80	+20	Up	+$10	09-15 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	8	$87	100	75	+25	Up	+$13	09-20 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	10	$87	125	50	+75	Up	+$13	09-20 22:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 22:50 UTC	13	$86	100	75	+25	Up	-$12	09-20 22:49
Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	2	$82	403	0	+403	open	—	09-30 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	7	$82	115	50	+65	Up	+$8	09-25 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	11	$80	100	60	+40	Up	+$0	10-03 23:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 16:55 UTC	17	$80	80	80	+0	Up	+$0	09-19 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	16	$80	80	80	+0	Down	$0	09-18 11:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 16:00 UTC	10	$79	100	60	+40	Down	-$20	09-19 15:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 17:55 UTC	12	$79	100	60	+40	Up	+$20	09-16 17:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 06:01:23	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa248dc…
10-28 06:00:28	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x53cce3…
10-28 06:00:08	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x06cc0f…
10-28 06:00:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1a7fb2…
10-28 05:59:53	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xdb3ce9…
10-28 05:59:11	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x54f4a3…
10-28 05:58:35	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x21042a…
10-28 05:58:34	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfe46a4…
10-28 05:55:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9dba7d…
10-28 05:55:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xba4e5e…
10-28 05:55:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xac9ad2…
10-28 05:50:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x77bfc5…
10-28 05:50:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5500ee…
10-28 05:45:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x796f9d…
10-28 05:45:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x29d2e5…
10-28 05:40:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf09a6c…
10-28 05:40:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x887a8c…
10-28 05:35:13	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbc92d4…
10-28 05:35:13	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x72e6e1…
10-28 05:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbf73bc…
10-28 05:30:13	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7646e9…
10-28 05:30:11	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1d9ab9…
10-28 05:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x81a5ca…
10-28 05:29:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x233852…
10-28 05:25:11	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc1649b…
10-28 05:25:11	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x824b3c…
10-28 05:20:10	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb55e86…
10-28 05:20:10	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb1e001…
10-28 05:17:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-28 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x42c522…
10-28 05:15:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb0fc97…
10-28 05:15:10	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd00f89…
10-28 05:15:10	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x550f1a…
10-28 05:10:08	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe529e7…
10-28 05:10:08	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb5959f…
10-28 05:06:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xe33089…
10-28 05:05:08	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4a1c42…
10-28 05:05:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1c011c…
10-28 05:04:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6d1b4d…
10-28 05:03:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x13afca…
10-28 05:02:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x76b463…
10-28 05:02:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x67be68…
10-28 05:02:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xff9e99…
10-28 05:02:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc4bc99…
10-28 05:01:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xa7ffcc…
10-28 05:01:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x749a17…
10-28 05:00:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfe3ce8…
10-28 05:00:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6a58c2…
10-28 04:55:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2267d7…
10-28 04:55:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x88e97c…
10-28 04:50:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb50fc7…
10-28 04:50:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x668db3…
10-28 04:48:50	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4ede8c…
10-28 04:45:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x90bc05…
10-28 04:45:02	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1e41be…
10-28 04:40:11	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf32e41…
10-28 04:40:11	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x44e0ec…
10-28 04:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1999b7…
10-28 04:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x224387…
10-28 04:35:11	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x72b732…
10-28 04:35:10	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd09ed1…
10-28 04:34:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x31a164…
10-28 04:30:10	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe64c29…
10-28 04:30:08	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9c5689…
10-28 04:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6516cf…
10-28 04:25:08	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x65fab6…
10-28 04:25:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x955ce6…
10-28 04:20:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe75a9c…
10-28 04:20:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xde2db5…
10-28 04:18:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1496e5…
10-28 04:15:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfb981a…
10-28 04:15:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x90aceb…
10-28 04:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcf171b…
10-28 04:10:13	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x847fa2…
10-28 04:10:11	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdae0c5…
10-28 04:09:05	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x205df8…
10-28 04:08:49	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbba1b3…
10-28 04:06:13	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7015b2…
10-28 04:05:13	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1913dd…
10-28 04:05:11	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc3e995…
10-28 04:05:10	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6fb672…
10-28 04:00:10	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc730a8…
10-28 04:00:10	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5eb1e6…
10-28 03:56:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1b449c…
10-28 03:55:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcaf505…
10-28 03:55:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8f1e59…
10-28 03:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3ec4d8…
10-28 03:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa4d90b…
10-28 03:50:08	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb19d2d…
10-28 03:50:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6beb1d…
10-28 03:50:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x070d12…
10-28 03:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0xf7fe78…
10-28 03:45:07	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x18b7f5…
10-28 03:45:06	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x773ae1…
10-28 03:45:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x1b7e6a…
10-28 03:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0x14c91b…
10-28 03:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x1f1c23…
10-28 03:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcf7c80…
10-28 03:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x610aac…
10-28 03:40:06	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xccb1bd…
10-28 03:40:06	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x34856d…