Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.23K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

53.2%

Resolved

82,837

Trades

153,800

lifetime

Volume

$402.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-15

last 11-03 09:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 185 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 39% -$405

Other

3% 52% +$3,711

Tech

1% 100% +$2,927

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 1674 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	—	+10	$5	52¢	$5	+$0	11-03 09:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	16	$2.5K	4,167	2,308	+1,859	No	+$776	10-12 04:21
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	8	$1.1K	2,358	734	+1,624	No	+$927	10-19 16:43
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner	20	$730	1,000	1,000	+0	FURIA Esports	-$170	10-17 20:20
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	6	$681	2,383	521	+1,862	Yes	+$1,943	10-11 09:32
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	4	$421	1,327	259	+1,068	Yes	+$1,040	10-01 16:27
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	3	$416	621	621	+0	Yes	+$116	10-01 15:49
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?	4	$380	438	438	+0	Yes	+$219	10-02 00:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	35	$323	350	300	+50	Up	+$25	10-02 12:24
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	2	$300	376	0	+376	Yes	+$76	10-28 17:06
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	3	$260	1,088	0	+1,088	Yes	+$828	09-30 20:06
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	2	$255	429	0	+429	Yes	+$174	09-30 20:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 18:00 UTC	26	$187	200	180	+20	Up	-$10	09-16 17:59
Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	4	$149	152	152	+0	Yes	+$42	09-16 19:33
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	3	$132	167	167	+0	No	+$32	10-02 06:59
Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	3	$120	403	344	+59	No	-$45	10-29 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	20	$104	120	91	+29	Down	-$15	10-28 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	19	$99	125	75	+50	Down	-$25	09-20 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	13	$96	120	72	+48	Up	+$4	10-03 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	16	$94	150	40	+110	Down	-$14	09-19 20:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 06:25 UTC	14	$92	110	75	+35	Down	-$7	09-20 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	13	$89	100	80	+20	Up	-$10	09-19 06:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:45 UTC	19	$89	100	80	+20	Up	+$10	09-15 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	8	$87	100	75	+25	Up	+$13	09-20 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	10	$87	125	50	+75	Up	+$13	09-20 22:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 22:50 UTC	13	$86	100	75	+25	Up	-$12	09-20 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	7	$82	115	50	+65	Up	+$8	09-25 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	11	$80	100	60	+40	Up	+$0	10-03 23:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 16:55 UTC	17	$80	80	80	+0	Up	+$0	09-19 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	16	$80	80	80	+0	Down	$0	09-18 11:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 16:00 UTC	10	$79	100	60	+40	Down	-$20	09-19 15:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 10:31:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x921fb1…
11-03 10:14:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd7206a…
11-03 10:14:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x84ed9b…
11-03 10:14:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x66a399…
11-03 09:54:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdf42da…
11-03 09:53:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb7714a…
11-03 09:44:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x18f415…
11-03 09:43:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xde95c8…
11-03 09:38:15	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xed084d…
11-03 09:38:15	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x0302ac…
11-03 09:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xeb9ac3…
11-03 09:27:22	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3cb532…
11-03 08:34:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0xdd2ee5…
11-03 08:10:03	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe8b116…
11-03 08:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x58ad8f…
11-03 07:30:06	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe1b6df…
11-03 07:24:15	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x886789…
11-03 07:23:36	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7261de…
11-03 07:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x521dda…
11-03 07:22:22	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf01944…
11-03 07:21:45	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2d04f0…
11-03 07:21:06	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x15ba22…
11-03 06:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0xac14fb…
11-03 06:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xb63703…
11-03 06:06:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x072ad1…
11-03 06:06:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf35f6f…
11-03 06:05:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5feb0b…
11-03 06:04:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbaeffc…
11-03 06:04:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8c9b46…
11-03 06:03:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0f3f06…
11-03 06:02:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7f1234…
11-03 06:02:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xee99ad…
11-03 05:50:49	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc98b06…
11-03 05:50:34	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf6ed17…
11-03 05:50:15	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfb8901…
11-03 05:44:45	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-03 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x51f67a…
11-03 05:44:16	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-03 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1f1cd2…
11-03 05:43:52	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-03 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x73a1dc…
11-03 05:42:33	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-03 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x48f66d…
11-03 05:42:13	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-03 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6159bc…
11-03 05:41:43	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-03 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5f6836…
11-03 05:20:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb4dcd1…
11-03 04:28:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x742b79…
11-03 04:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0x7c1a62…
11-03 03:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xba4d42…
11-03 03:10:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x58fa33…
11-03 03:09:18	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfb6e23…
11-03 03:07:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5a93f8…
11-03 02:42:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x36ef79…
11-03 02:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x9987c3…
11-03 02:14:54	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4a4094…
11-03 02:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x4363bd…
11-03 00:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x19ba87…
11-03 00:29:49	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x44053e…
11-02 22:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc3b8f5…
11-02 19:37:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x54ef7f…
11-02 19:36:45	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xfd3a66…
11-02 19:26:31	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xed007f…
11-02 18:42:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcc7558…
11-02 18:42:37	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbbca23…
11-02 18:42:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0598c4…
11-02 18:05:07	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x0b2e0f…
11-02 17:50:06	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfee2ae…
11-02 17:45:37	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x7926cf…
11-02 17:45:34	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x6c335b…
11-02 17:45:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x13a8c4…
11-02 17:30:34	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x808508…
11-02 17:29:43	BNB Up or Down - November 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x77f514…
11-02 17:29:16	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xfe97b0…
11-02 17:23:28	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe70ff7…
11-02 17:23:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xd107ef…
11-02 16:31:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x189472…
11-02 16:11:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x80418b…
11-02 15:58:21	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb245ea…
11-02 15:55:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x9aa6b0…
11-02 15:29:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x07d9da…
11-02 14:57:58	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1abdae…
11-02 14:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x4cb2bf…
11-02 14:57:13	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0cd485…
11-02 14:56:55	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd1a986…
11-02 14:56:31	BNB Up or Down - November 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x9a638f…
11-02 14:56:16	BNB Up or Down - November 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x038459…
11-02 14:53:22	BNB Up or Down - November 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc975ad…
11-02 14:53:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x99dd01…
11-02 14:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xcaa898…
11-02 14:21:51	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0444aa…
11-02 14:21:39	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x981d37…
11-02 14:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x162bc1…
11-02 13:51:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x76f24a…
11-02 13:51:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xa799f5…
11-02 13:51:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x587bea…
11-02 13:51:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x531410…
11-02 13:50:16	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf2cfad…
11-02 13:50:10	BNB Up or Down - November 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x05864b…
11-02 13:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x4c3626…
11-02 13:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x28eba9…
11-02 13:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x312a62…
11-02 13:44:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x14366e…
11-02 13:43:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x51aef6…
11-02 13:43:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x18d8de…