Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.93K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.2%

Resolved

83,347

Trades

154,544

lifetime

Volume

$406.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 11-06 19:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 188 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 39% -$723

Other

3% 52% +$3,725

Tech

1% 100% +$2,927

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 1674 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	16	$2.5K	4,167	2,308	+1,859	No	+$776	10-12 04:21
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	8	$1.1K	2,358	734	+1,624	No	+$927	10-19 16:43
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner	20	$730	1,000	1,000	+0	FURIA Esports	-$170	10-17 20:20
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	6	$681	2,383	521	+1,862	Yes	+$1,943	10-11 09:32
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	4	$421	1,327	259	+1,068	Yes	+$1,040	10-01 16:27
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	3	$416	621	621	+0	Yes	+$116	10-01 15:49
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?	4	$380	438	438	+0	Yes	+$219	10-02 00:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	35	$323	350	300	+50	Up	+$25	10-02 12:24
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	2	$300	376	0	+376	Yes	+$76	10-28 17:06
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	3	$260	1,088	0	+1,088	Yes	+$828	09-30 20:06
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	2	$255	429	0	+429	Yes	+$174	09-30 20:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 18:00 UTC	26	$187	200	180	+20	Up	-$10	09-16 17:59
Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	4	$149	152	152	+0	Yes	+$42	09-16 19:33
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	3	$132	167	167	+0	No	+$32	10-02 06:59
Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	3	$120	403	344	+59	No	-$45	10-29 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	20	$104	120	91	+29	Down	-$15	10-28 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	19	$99	125	75	+50	Down	-$25	09-20 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	13	$96	120	72	+48	Up	+$4	10-03 01:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 19:30 UTC	16	$94	150	40	+110	Down	-$14	09-19 20:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 06:25 UTC	14	$92	110	75	+35	Down	-$7	09-20 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	13	$89	100	80	+20	Up	-$10	09-19 06:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:45 UTC	19	$89	100	80	+20	Up	+$10	09-15 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	8	$87	100	75	+25	Up	+$13	09-20 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	10	$87	125	50	+75	Up	+$13	09-20 22:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 22:50 UTC	13	$86	100	75	+25	Up	-$12	09-20 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	7	$82	115	50	+65	Up	+$8	09-25 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	11	$80	100	60	+40	Up	+$0	10-03 23:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 16:55 UTC	17	$80	80	80	+0	Up	+$0	09-19 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	16	$80	80	80	+0	Down	$0	09-18 11:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 16:00 UTC	10	$79	100	60	+40	Down	-$20	09-19 15:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 19:47:15	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x690df8…
11-06 18:34:25	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xd03a4e…
11-06 17:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x7460b4…
11-06 17:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xfc2349…
11-06 17:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x9e43cc…
11-06 17:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x97388e…
11-06 17:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xb9427d…
11-06 17:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x302bcb…
11-06 17:23:10	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd3fb83…
11-06 16:45:21	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3ce990…
11-06 16:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x8a0773…
11-06 16:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc6068d…
11-06 16:43:30	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x244da1…
11-06 15:58:07	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf8169c…
11-06 15:53:12	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xf8cd3b…
11-06 15:39:04	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd7edd2…
11-06 15:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x831089…
11-06 15:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x353182…
11-06 15:30:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x517dfa…
11-06 15:22:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa38a7e…
11-06 15:15:07	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2ef598…
11-06 15:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xf64898…
11-06 15:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x1aa404…
11-06 15:06:19	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa17345…
11-06 15:05:43	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xa9d99c…
11-06 15:03:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x5bb72a…
11-06 14:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x430da6…
11-06 14:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x5467d3…
11-06 14:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0xf15d51…
11-06 14:35:54	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0bbeea…
11-06 14:32:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x35b983…
11-06 14:32:46	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x7d9966…
11-06 14:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7e61c1…
11-06 14:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xfaf63a…
11-06 14:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9af01f…
11-06 14:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xbbc055…
11-06 14:05:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x9e05ef…
11-06 14:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x3bdbd2…
11-06 14:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x333a8b…
11-06 13:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xd99e72…
11-06 13:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x59e215…
11-06 13:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x940467…
11-06 13:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0xfcbedc…
11-06 13:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0xc42ca3…
11-06 13:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x7951bb…
11-06 13:31:10	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x98ed6a…
11-06 13:14:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x32a22c…
11-06 13:14:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7529d0…
11-06 13:09:04	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2e0b78…
11-06 13:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x845abf…
11-06 13:03:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd1a3e7…
11-06 13:03:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd494ea…
11-06 13:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x5b11c7…
11-06 13:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x58c1c7…
11-06 12:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe19187…
11-06 12:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0558aa…
11-06 12:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x2a681d…
11-06 12:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x860def…
11-06 12:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xafb4e8…
11-06 12:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x27a226…
11-06 12:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x6d6aca…
11-06 12:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xb998ee…
11-06 12:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x729256…
11-06 12:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x893d0f…
11-06 12:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x2d7c88…
11-06 12:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x59f997…
11-06 12:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xfa3eec…
11-06 12:24:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x3c92d1…
11-06 12:12:55	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa15381…
11-06 12:08:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe63a14…
11-06 12:08:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xb62136…
11-06 11:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf6b999…
11-06 11:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x94e4ec…
11-06 11:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0xd66b94…
11-06 10:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0xa19711…
11-06 10:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x983ad4…
11-06 10:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x16b376…
11-06 10:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x75c871…
11-06 10:17:10	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x3aacae…
11-06 10:17:09	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x0e5718…
11-06 10:17:07	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xc6f858…
11-06 10:17:06	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xfcb4b2…
11-06 10:02:07	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa4a456…
11-06 09:41:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9b46b8…
11-06 09:35:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x463549…
11-06 09:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0a01a4…
11-06 09:15:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x923129…
11-06 09:10:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7f1b8a…
11-06 09:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x5b5c40…
11-06 09:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x520234…
11-06 08:53:15	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-06 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6ccc96…
11-06 08:53:10	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-06 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa142f5…
11-06 08:53:10	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-06 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x600d85…
11-06 08:53:07	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-06 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd682f7…
11-06 08:50:37	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-06 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8682f9…
11-06 08:50:28	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-06 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe0c1b5…
11-06 07:34:13	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf9c3dc…
11-06 07:29:13	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xde9966…
11-06 07:14:28	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7cacc8…
11-06 07:02:49	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe31553…